2017 NCAA Women's Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Maryland Big Ten 23 0 1 5 1 1 2 1 4 42.00 2 Princeton Ivy League 15 4 5 6 7 3 5 5 13 7.00 3 Florida Big East 17 3 4 15 5 4 4 6 14 10.00 4 North Carolina Atlantic Coast 17 3 2 3 4 2 10 2 14 20.00 5 Penn State Big Ten 17 4 7 7 3 5 8 3 16 2.00 6 Boston College Atlantic Coast 17 7 9 8 10 8 3 10 21 0.10 7 Stony Brook America East 20 2 3 20 2 6 11 4 21 7.00 8 Syracuse Atlantic Coast 15 7 13 2 8 7 6 8 21 0.10 9 Southern Califor MPSF 18 4 6 29 6 10 9 7 26 3.00 10 Colorado MPSF 16 4 10 33 9 11 12 9 32 1.00 11 Northwestern Big Ten 11 10 15 1 20 12 1 22 35 0.10 12 Penn Ivy League 13 4 8 9 11 9 17 11 37 4.00 13 Virginia Atlantic Coast 12 9 16 4 23 13 7 19 39 1.00 14 Cornell Ivy League 13 6 12 10 13 15 15 13 43 1.00 15 James Madison Colonial 14 7 11 12 24 14 13 20 47 1.00 16 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 17 4 27 51 12 16 22 15 53 1.00 17 Navy Patriot League 18 5 18 42 15 17 24 12 53 0.10 18 Johns Hopkins Big Ten 11 7 23 13 21 18 14 23 55 0.10 19 Albany America East 12 6 20 26 17 22 21 17 60 0.10 20 Towson Colonial 12 7 14 17 29 19 18 27 64 0.10 21 Loyola Patriot League 11 8 30 24 31 21 16 29 66 0.10 22 Notre Dame Atlantic Coast 11 8 17 14 26 26 23 24 73 0.10 23 Denver Big East 14 4 19 41 16 27 34 16 77 0.10 24 High Point Big South 16 4 34 67 14 23 40 14 77 0.10 25 Duke Atlantic Coast 8 9 31 11 37 24 19 35 78 0.10 26 Elon Colonial 13 7 25 19 27 20 33 28 81 0.10 27 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 14 6 35 83 25 29 29 26 84 0.10 28 Temple Big East 13 5 51 46 19 25 43 21 89 0.10 29 Lehigh Patriot League 12 6 37 53 30 28 37 30 95 0.10 30 Rutgers Big Ten 8 8 38 21 39 33 25 37 95 0.10 31 Delaware Colonial 9 8 21 16 36 30 26 40 96 0.10 32 Louisville Atlantic Coast 11 8 29 23 33 32 32 32 96 0.10 33 Canisius Metro Atlantic 15 5 26 55 18 31 48 18 97 0.10 34 Virginia Tech Atlantic Coast 11 8 24 39 35 34 31 34 99 0.10 35 Harvard Ivy League 8 8 28 18 38 38 28 36 102 0.10 36 Georgetown Big East 9 9 32 31 47 36 20 51 107 0.10 37 Richmond Atlantic 10 14 6 40 72 34 37 46 31 114 0.10 38 Stanford MPSF 12 6 22 40 28 35 49 33 117 0.10 39 Connecticut Big East 8 8 43 38 49 47 35 46 128 0.10 40 Hofstra Colonial 8 8 44 36 45 45 39 44 128 0.10 41 Dartmouth Ivy League 7 8 36 22 41 46 41 42 129 0.10 42 Oregon MPSF 9 8 45 44 50 43 36 52 131 0.10 43 Yale Ivy League 7 9 33 25 48 41 38 54 133 0.10 44 Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun 13 6 58 95 40 40 56 39 135 0.10 45 Boston Universit Patriot League 10 8 47 48 51 39 50 49 138 0.10 46 San Diego State MPSF 10 8 55 45 46 44 52 48 144 0.10 47 Bryant Northeast 13 5 49 73 22 48 72 25 145 0.10 48 Columbia Ivy League 7 8 39 28 53 42 53 55 150 0.10 49 Michigan Big Ten 5 12 52 27 77 52 27 75 154 0.10 50 Ohio State Big Ten 6 11 50 32 67 61 30 65 156 0.10 51 Drexel Colonial 7 9 54 34 61 51 51 61 163 0.10 52 George Mason Atlantic 10 11 7 53 74 54 49 66 50 165 0.10 53 UMBC America East 11 6 41 60 32 50 77 38 165 0.10 54 Vanderbilt Big East 6 9 48 52 64 55 54 63 172 0.10 55 Davidson Atlantic 10 8 10 72 66 74 63 47 70 180 0.10 56 Fresno State MPSF 9 7 76 80 44 60 75 45 180 0.10 57 Brown Ivy League 6 9 42 37 58 58 64 59 181 0.10 58 Marquette Big East 6 11 56 43 69 64 45 72 181 0.10 59 Marist Metro Atlantic 10 9 61 70 62 65 58 62 185 0.10 60 Campbell Big South 10 8 83 93 60 57 74 57 188 0.10 61 Mercer Atlantic Sun 13 6 78 112 42 62 85 41 188 0.10 62 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 12 6 46 75 43 54 93 43 190 0.10 63 Bucknell Patriot League 9 8 66 62 59 53 79 60 192 0.10 64 Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 11 7 57 78 56 56 83 53 192 0.10 65 Lafayette Patriot League 10 8 60 69 57 59 76 58 193 0.10 66 Furman Atlantic Sun 12 7 89 103 52 66 87 47 200 0.10 67 Holy Cross Patriot League 7 10 67 56 71 67 62 71 200 0.10 68 Binghamton America East 6 11 65 49 72 69 60 73 202 0.10 69 New Hampshire America East 3 14 62 30 96 70 42 98 210 0.10 70 UC Davis MPSF 6 11 64 63 75 74 57 79 210 0.10 71 William & Mary Colonial 3 14 59 35 101 71 44 99 214 0.10 72 Old Dominion Atlantic Sun 9 9 81 100 68 68 82 67 217 0.10 73 La Salle Atlantic 10 7 11 84 86 83 75 61 82 218 0.10 74 Villanova Big East 4 12 63 47 84 72 59 87 218 0.10 75 Colgate Patriot League 6 9 68 61 65 73 81 66 220 0.10 76 Cincinnati Big East 6 11 77 68 79 79 69 80 228 0.10 77 Stetson Atlantic Sun 5 13 96 90 91 81 55 93 229 0.10 78 Massachusetts-Lo America East 7 9 71 59 63 77 89 64 230 0.10 79 Virginia Commonw Atlantic 10 7 10 90 92 78 76 80 76 232 0.10 80 Monmouth Metro Atlantic 6 12 75 58 86 84 68 89 241 0.10 81 Winthrop Big South 9 10 74 94 70 80 92 69 241 0.10 82 California MPSF 5 13 70 50 93 86 65 94 245 0.10 83 Niagara Metro Atlantic 9 10 69 76 73 78 94 74 246 0.10 84 Robert Morris Northeast 11 7 73 99 55 82 110 56 248 0.10 85 Wagner Northeast 7 12 79 82 92 83 78 91 252 0.10 86 American Patriot League 3 13 87 57 104 85 67 102 254 0.10 87 Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun 8 9 95 106 66 88 98 68 254 0.10 88 Liberty Big South 6 13 93 88 98 87 71 100 258 0.10 89 Longwood Big South 7 11 98 98 81 91 88 81 260 0.10 90 Army Patriot League 5 12 82 79 94 89 84 92 265 0.10 91 Duquesne Atlantic 10 2 15 99 64 109 95 63 107 265 0.10 92 George Washingto Atlantic 10 3 13 88 65 105 90 73 103 266 0.10 93 Detroit Mercy Atlantic Sun 6 11 94 101 82 92 95 84 271 0.10 94 Central Michigan Atlantic Sun 7 10 104 109 76 94 101 77 272 0.10 95 Sacred Heart Northeast 6 11 92 89 88 93 97 86 276 0.10 96 Vermont America East 1 15 80 54 108 101 70 109 280 0.10 97 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 5 11 86 91 89 98 104 88 290 0.10 98 St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 4 13 103 87 103 99 86 105 290 0.10 99 Iona Metro Atlantic 5 12 85 84 95 96 100 95 291 0.10 100 Mount St. Mary's Northeast 4 11 91 96 90 97 105 90 292 0.10 101 St. Mary's (CA) MPSF 1 13 107 71 100 103 90 101 294 0.10 102 Radford Big South 6 11 105 111 87 102 108 85 295 0.10 103 Saint Francis Northeast 6 10 100 110 80 105 112 78 295 0.10 104 Delaware State Atlantic Sun 1 10 112 107 85 106 107 83 296 0.10 105 Central Connecti Northeast 4 12 101 97 97 104 109 96 309 0.10 106 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 4 13 97 81 106 100 103 106 309 0.10 107 Butler Big East 1 16 108 85 110 110 91 111 312 0.10 108 Presbyterian Big South 2 14 109 102 107 107 99 108 314 0.10 109 Siena Metro Atlantic 1 15 102 77 111 109 96 110 315 0.10 110 LIU Brooklyn Northeast 3 12 106 105 99 108 111 97 316 0.10 111 Howard Atlantic Sun 0 12 111 108 102 111 106 104 321 0.10 112 Gardner-Webb Big South 0 17 110 104 112 112 102 112 326 0.10