Conf = Liberty League Region = East State = NY Nickname = Herons Coach = Anne PhillipsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 97.3922882 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 305 H Geneseo SUNYAC ( 9- 9, 81.1) 7- 5 308 A Hamilton NESCAC (12- 6, 87.3) 8- 4 310 A Nazareth Empire Eight (10- 7, 81.5) 17-10 314 N Bowdoin NESCAC (10- 6, 85.7) 6- 7 316 N Wesleyan (CT) NESCAC (11- 6, 87.3) 8- 1 321 H St. John Fisher Empire Eight (15- 5, 87.0) 6- 5 2o 325 H Buffalo State SUNYAC ( 6-11, 76.3) 9- 2 331 A Bard Liberty Leagu ( 4-10, 66.9) 15- 1 401 A Vassar Liberty Leagu ( 8- 7, 77.9) 14- 4 404 H Ithaca Empire Eight (14- 5, 86.1) 10- 8 408 A Union Liberty Leagu ( 5- 9, 80.3) 12- 7 414 H Rensselaer Liberty Leagu ( 6- 9, 79.1) 13- 3 415 H Skidmore Liberty Leagu (12- 6, 83.1) 8- 3 421 A St. Lawrence Liberty Leagu ( 8- 9, 81.4) 11- 4 422 A Clarkson Liberty Leagu (10- 7, 80.6) 7- 4 428 H Rochester Liberty Leagu ( 9- 6, 78.6) 15- 5 429 H RIT Liberty Leagu ( 8- 8, 79.9) 13- 4 505 H Rochester Liberty Leagu ( 9- 6, 78.6) 13- 4 506 H Skidmore Liberty Leagu (12- 6, 83.1) 14- 4 514 H Westfield State MASCAC (14- 6, 73.8) 15- 1 520 N Colorado College Independent (15- 5, 83.1) 18-13 521 A Washington & Lee Old Dominion (19- 2, 87.5) 6- 7 oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 305 H Geneseo 7- 5 2 7 -- -5.13 308 A Hamilton 8- 4 4 0 ++ 4.72 310 A Nazareth 17-10 7 5 1.98 314 N Bowdoin 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.72 316 N Wesleyan (CT) 8- 1 7 0 +++ 6.88 321 H St. John Fisher 6- 5 2o 1 1 -0.20 325 H Buffalo State 9- 2 7 11 - -3.00 331 A Bard 15- 1 14 19 0.00 401 A Vassar 14- 4 10 8 1.35 404 H Ithaca 10- 8 2 2 -0.13 408 A Union 12- 7 5 6 -1.29 414 H Rensselaer 13- 3 10 9 0.90 415 H Skidmore 8- 3 5 5 -0.17 421 A St. Lawrence 11- 4 7 5 1.80 422 A Clarkson 7- 4 3 5 - -2.92 428 H Rochester 15- 5 10 9 0.39 429 H RIT 13- 4 9 8 0.67 505 H Rochester 13- 4 9 9 -0.61 506 H Skidmore 14- 4 10 5 ++ 4.83 514 H Westfield State 15- 1 14 14 0.00 520 N Colorado College 18-13 5 4 0.70 521 A Washington & Lee 6- 7 o -1 0 -0.08UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 305 H Geneseo 7- 5 2 7 -- -5.13 314 N Bowdoin 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.72 325 H Buffalo State 9- 2 7 11 - -3.00 422 A Clarkson 7- 4 3 5 - -2.92OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 316 N Wesleyan (CT) 8- 1 7 0 +++ 6.88 308 A Hamilton 8- 4 4 0 ++ 4.72 506 H Skidmore 14- 4 10 5 ++ 4.83/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.39 Local Power Rank........... 9 Local SOS Rating......... 59.79 Local SOS Rank............. 20 Local RPI Rating......... 0.68 Local RPI Rank............. 4 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 18 Local Quality Win Rating.105.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 7 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 4.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 20- 2 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 6.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 14.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 6.0