Conf = Little East Region = New England State = CT Nickname = Colonials Coach = Jennifer ThomasGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 81.8752136 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 301 H Bard Liberty Leagu ( 4-10, 66.9) 18-10 308 A Smith NEWMAC (10- 7, 68.8) 7- 8 314 N Mount Holyoke NEWMAC ( 3-13, 69.1) 12- 9 315 N Franklin & Marshall Centennial (17- 5, 87.8) 2-18 316 N St. Mary's (IN) MIAA (10- 7, 64.8) 19- 9 322 A Farmingdale State Skyline (18- 2, 77.3) 14-15 325 A Coast Guard NEWMAC ( 3-13, 65.2) 12- 6 328 A Worcester State MASCAC ( 5-13, 63.9) 8- 9 401 A Keene State Little East ( 7-11, 73.0) 7-13 405 A Westfield State MASCAC (14- 6, 73.8) 8-12 413 H Western New England Comm. Coast ( 6-12, 70.0) 16-15 415 A Plymouth State Little East (11- 4, 76.6) 10-13 418 A Mass.-Dartmouth Little East ( 8- 9, 68.2) 15-13 420 A Connecticut College NESCAC ( 3-12, 78.5) 8-17 422 H Rhode Island College Little East ( 2-13, 56.1) 17- 2 425 H Eastern Connecticut Little East (14- 5, 75.2) 8-13 429 H Southern Maine Little East ( 6-10, 67.6) 19- 7 502 H Mass.-Dartmouth Little East ( 8- 9, 68.2) 17- 9 504 A Eastern Connecticut Little East (14- 5, 75.2) 8-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Bard 18-10 8 5 + 2.19 308 A Smith 7- 8 -1 2 - -3.28 314 N Mount Holyoke 12- 9 3 2 0.19 315 N Franklin & Marshall 2-18 -16 -15 0.00 316 N St. Mary's (IN) 19- 9 10 7 + 2.91 322 A Farmingdale State 14-15 -1 -6 ++ 5.25 325 A Coast Guard 12- 6 6 5 0.17 328 A Worcester State 8- 9 -1 7 --- -8.09 401 A Keene State 7-13 -6 -2 - -3.99 405 A Westfield State 8-12 -4 -2 -1.20 413 H Western New England 16-15 1 2 -1.69 415 A Plymouth State 10-13 -3 -5 + 2.54 418 A Mass.-Dartmouth 15-13 2 2 -0.79 420 A Connecticut College 8-17 -9 -7 -1.50 422 H Rhode Island College 17- 2 15 16 0.00 425 H Eastern Connecticut 8-13 -5 -2 - -2.56 429 H Southern Maine 19- 7 12 5 ++ 4.86 502 H Mass.-Dartmouth 17- 9 8 4 + 3.53 504 A Eastern Connecticut 8-11 -3 -4 1.13UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 A Worcester State 8- 9 -1 7 --- -8.09 308 A Smith 7- 8 -1 2 - -3.28 401 A Keene State 7-13 -6 -2 - -3.99 425 H Eastern Connecticut 8-13 -5 -2 - -2.56OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 A Farmingdale State 14-15 -1 -6 ++ 5.25 429 H Southern Maine 19- 7 12 5 ++ 4.86 301 H Bard 18-10 8 5 + 2.19 316 N St. Mary's (IN) 19- 9 10 7 + 2.91 415 A Plymouth State 10-13 -3 -5 + 2.54 502 H Mass.-Dartmouth 17- 9 8 4 + 3.53/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 71.88 Local Power Rank........... 113 Local SOS Rating......... 42.97 Local SOS Rank............. 117 Local RPI Rating......... 0.48 Local RPI Rank............. 152 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 268 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 185 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 8.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.7