Conf = Commonwealth Region = Mid-Atlantic State = MD Nickname = Mustangs Coach = Kathy RaileyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.0038757 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 218 A Salisbury Capital (16- 6, 86.7) 9-16 222 A McDaniel Centennial ( 5-11, 74.3) 16- 9 225 H Gettysburg Centennial (21- 3, 89.9) 6-16 304 H Montclair State NJAC (12- 6, 80.7) 7-11 308 H Washington College Centennial (10- 7, 82.1) 17-10 312 N Vassar Liberty Leagu ( 8- 7, 77.9) 18- 9 316 N Skidmore Liberty Leagu (12- 6, 83.1) 11-12 325 H Messiah Commonwealth (16- 3, 87.5) 8-16 329 A Lebanon Valley Commonwealth ( 5-11, 74.3) 5-11 401 H Arcadia Commonwealth ( 9- 9, 73.7) 21- 8 405 A Hood Commonwealth ( 4-12, 67.0) 21- 3 408 H Widener Commonwealth ( 4-12, 71.1) 18- 8 413 H Alvernia Commonwealth ( 6- 9, 71.0) 20- 5 419 A Albright Commonwealth (10- 7, 77.8) 23-11 425 A Lycoming Commonwealth (10- 7, 76.3) 17-10 429 N Denison North Coast (15- 4, 81.0) 10-13 503 H Albright Commonwealth (10- 7, 77.8) 14- 5 506 A Messiah Commonwealth (16- 3, 87.5) 4-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 218 A Salisbury 9-16 -7 -5 -1.43 222 A McDaniel 16- 9 7 6 0.18 225 H Gettysburg 6-16 -10 -7 - -2.95 304 H Montclair State 7-11 -4 2 --- -6.10 308 H Washington College 17-10 7 0 +++ 6.22 312 N Vassar 18- 9 9 4 ++ 4.90 316 N Skidmore 11-12 -1 -1 0.06 325 H Messiah 8-16 -8 -4 - -3.31 329 A Lebanon Valley 5-11 -6 6 --- -12.87 401 H Arcadia 21- 8 13 9 0.86 405 A Hood 21- 3 18 14 0.00 408 H Widener 18- 8 10 11 0.00 413 H Alvernia 20- 5 15 11 0.00 419 A Albright 23-11 12 3 +++ 6.65 425 A Lycoming 17-10 7 4 + 2.11 429 N Denison 10-13 -3 0 - -3.96 503 H Albright 14- 5 9 5 + 3.96 506 A Messiah 4-15 -11 -6 - -3.62UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 H Montclair State 7-11 -4 2 --- -6.10 329 A Lebanon Valley 5-11 -6 6 --- -12.87 225 H Gettysburg 6-16 -10 -7 - -2.95 325 H Messiah 8-16 -8 -4 - -3.31 429 N Denison 10-13 -3 0 - -3.96 506 A Messiah 4-15 -11 -6 - -3.62OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 H Washington College 17-10 7 0 +++ 6.22 419 A Albright 23-11 12 3 +++ 6.65 312 N Vassar 18- 9 9 4 ++ 4.90 425 A Lycoming 17-10 7 4 + 2.11 503 H Albright 14- 5 9 5 + 3.96/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 82.00 Local Power Rank........... 33 Local SOS Rating......... 55.93 Local SOS Rank............. 37 Local RPI Rating......... 0.57 Local RPI Rank............. 54 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 243 Local Quality Win Rating.-95.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 89 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 10.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 4- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 12.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 12.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.7