Conf = Big East Region = Mid-Atlantic State = TN Nickname = Commodores Coach = Cathy SwezeyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.7282562 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 211 H Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun ( 8- 9, 77.2) 17- 5 222 A Louisville Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 90.3) 10-11 226 A Furman Atlantic Sun (12- 7, 79.0) 18- 8 308 A Elon Colonial (13- 7, 90.9) 9-12 312 A Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun (13- 6, 84.8) 11- 7 318 A Villanova Big East ( 4-12, 83.5) 14-12 322 A Johns Hopkins Big Ten (11- 7, 91.1) 8-13 325 H Butler Big East ( 1-16, 69.5) 22- 4 401 A Florida Big East (17- 3, 97.4) 6-16 405 H Connecticut Big East ( 8- 8, 87.5) 16- 8 408 A Georgetown Big East ( 9- 9, 90.1) 11-18 412 A Denver Big East (14- 4, 91.7) 4-17 415 H Temple Big East (13- 5, 86.2) 10-11 422 A Cincinnati Big East ( 6-11, 81.0) 9-10 430 H Marquette Big East ( 6-11, 85.6) 12-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 211 H Kennesaw State 17- 5 12 10 0.00 222 A Louisville 10-11 -1 -4 + 3.41 226 A Furman 18- 8 10 6 + 3.10 308 A Elon 9-12 -3 -4 2.00 312 A Coastal Carolina 11- 7 4 1 + 2.87 318 A Villanova 14-12 2 2 -0.43 322 A Johns Hopkins 8-13 -5 -5 0.19 325 H Butler 22- 4 18 17 0.00 401 A Florida 6-16 -10 -11 0.00 405 H Connecticut 16- 8 8 0 +++ 8.00 408 A Georgetown 11-18 -7 -4 - -2.82 412 A Denver 4-17 -13 -5 -- -4.27 415 H Temple 10-11 -1 1 - -2.32 422 A Cincinnati 9-10 -1 4 -- -5.90 430 H Marquette 12-14 -2 1 - -3.96UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 412 A Denver 4-17 -13 -5 -- -4.27 422 A Cincinnati 9-10 -1 4 -- -5.90 408 A Georgetown 11-18 -7 -4 - -2.82 415 H Temple 10-11 -1 1 - -2.32 430 H Marquette 12-14 -2 1 - -3.96OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H Connecticut 16- 8 8 0 +++ 8.00 222 A Louisville 10-11 -1 -4 + 3.41 226 A Furman 18- 8 10 6 + 3.10 312 A Coastal Carolina 11- 7 4 1 + 2.87/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 86.73 Local Power Rank........... 48 Local SOS Rating......... 68.82 Local SOS Rank............. 52 Local RPI Rating......... 0.49 Local RPI Rank............. 55 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 104 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 64 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 18.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 7.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.3