Conf = MPSF Region = Central/West State = OR Nickname = Ducks Coach = Katrina DowdGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.3498840 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 204 H Michigan Big Ten ( 5-12, 86.2) 11- 8 211 H San Diego State MPSF (10- 8, 85.6) 11- 9 213 H Canisius Metro Atlanti (15- 5, 90.8) 11-15 219 H California MPSF ( 5-13, 82.4) 18- 9 226 A Fresno State MPSF ( 9- 7, 81.3) 12- 9 303 A Winthrop Big South ( 9-10, 81.5) 18- 5 305 A High Point Big South (16- 4, 88.8) 13-17 317 N Vermont America East ( 1-15, 80.1) 17- 7 319 A Colorado MPSF (16- 4, 94.5) 11-16 325 A Towson Colonial (12- 7, 93.5) 7-10 327 A George Mason Atlantic 10 (11- 7, 86.0) 17-12 329 A Virginia Atlantic Coas (12- 9, 92.9) 6-15 407 H Southern California MPSF (18- 4, 95.6) 7-17 414 A Stanford MPSF (12- 6, 91.3) 13-17 416 A UC Davis MPSF ( 6-11, 83.5) 10- 9 423 H St. Mary's (CA) MPSF ( 1-13, 72.9) 19-11 427 N San Diego State MPSF (10- 8, 85.6) 13-18PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 204 H Michigan 11- 8 3 1 1.06 211 H San Diego State 11- 9 2 2 -0.52 213 H Canisius 11-15 -4 -2 -1.37 219 H California 18- 9 9 5 + 3.24 226 A Fresno State 12- 9 3 5 - -2.26 303 A Winthrop 18- 5 13 5 ++ 4.99 305 A High Point 13-17 -4 -2 -1.78 317 N Vermont 17- 7 10 7 + 2.77 319 A Colorado 11-16 -5 -7 + 2.96 325 A Towson 7-10 -3 -6 + 3.92 327 A George Mason 17-12 5 0 ++ 4.48 329 A Virginia 6-15 -9 -6 - -2.62 407 H Southern California 7-17 -10 -7 - -2.59 414 A Stanford 13-17 -4 -4 0.77 416 A UC Davis 10- 9 1 3 - -2.08 423 H St. Mary's (CA) 19-11 8 15 - -2.00 427 N San Diego State 13-18 -5 1 --- -6.72UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 427 N San Diego State 13-18 -5 1 --- -6.72 226 A Fresno State 12- 9 3 5 - -2.26 329 A Virginia 6-15 -9 -6 - -2.62 407 H Southern California 7-17 -10 -7 - -2.59 416 A UC Davis 10- 9 1 3 - -2.08 423 H St. Mary's (CA) 19-11 8 15 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 A Winthrop 18- 5 13 5 ++ 4.99 327 A George Mason 17-12 5 0 ++ 4.48 219 H California 18- 9 9 5 + 3.24 317 N Vermont 17- 7 10 7 + 2.77 319 A Colorado 11-16 -5 -7 + 2.96 325 A Towson 7-10 -3 -6 + 3.92/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.35 Local Power Rank........... 45 Local SOS Rating......... 70.43 Local SOS Rank............. 44 Local RPI Rating......... 0.52 Local RPI Rank............. 43 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 83 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 50 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3