Conf = Atlantic Coast             Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Tar Heels              Coach  = Jenny Levy              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.5349731    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 204 H James Madison          Colonial      (14- 7, 94.2)    16-14   
 211 A Florida                Big East      (17- 3, 97.4)    13-10   
 217 H High Point             Big South     (16- 4, 88.8)    16- 6   
 225 A Maryland               Big Ten       (23- 0, 99.9)    10-13   
 303 N Albany                 America East  (12- 6, 91.5)    14- 5   
 305 N Canisius               Metro Atlanti (15- 5, 90.8)    16- 8   
 311 H Virginia               Atlantic Coas (12- 9, 92.9)    21-11   
 314 H Elon                   Colonial      (13- 7, 90.9)    15- 5   
 319 H Northwestern           Big Ten       (11-10, 93.3)    17-12   
 325 H Boston College         Atlantic Coas (17- 7, 94.8)    15-13   
 328 A Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 91.1)    14- 6   
 402 A Notre Dame             Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 92.8)    16- 9   
 408 A Louisville             Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 90.3)    15-11   
 415 H Syracuse               Atlantic Coas (15- 7, 93.8)    11-13   
 422 A Duke                   Atlantic Coas ( 8- 9, 90.2)    19- 7   
 427 N Duke                   Atlantic Coas ( 8- 9, 90.2)    18- 6   
 428 N Boston College         Atlantic Coas (17- 7, 94.8)    17-14   
 430 N Syracuse               Atlantic Coas (15- 7, 93.8)    18-11   
 514 H Virginia               Atlantic Coas (12- 9, 92.9)    23-12   
 520 H Navy                   Patriot Leagu (18- 5, 92.6)    14-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   204 H James Madison          16-14       2     5    -     -3.11
   211 A Florida                13-10       3     0    +      2.65
   217 H High Point             16- 6      10    10           0.00
   225 A Maryland               10-13      -3    -2          -0.83
   303 N Albany                 14- 5       9     6    +      2.01
   305 N Canisius               16- 8       8     7           0.25
   311 H Virginia               21-11      10     6    +      3.59
   314 H Elon                   15- 5      10     8           1.58
   319 H Northwestern           17-12       5     6          -1.02
   325 H Boston College         15-13       2     4    -     -2.52
   328 A Virginia Tech          14- 6       8     6           1.33
   402 A Notre Dame             16- 9       7     4    +      2.05
   408 A Louisville             15-11       4     7    -     -3.39
   415 H Syracuse               11-13      -2     5    ---   -7.55
   422 A Duke                   19- 7      12     7    +      2.46
   427 N Duke                   18- 6      12     8           1.66
   428 N Boston College         17-14       3     3          -0.71
   430 N Syracuse               18-11       7     4    +      2.25
   514 H Virginia               23-12      11     6    +      3.59
   520 H Navy                   14-16      -2     6    ---   -8.71

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Syracuse               11-13      -2     5    ---   -7.55
   520 H Navy                   14-16      -2     6    ---   -8.71
   204 H James Madison          16-14       2     5    -     -3.11
   325 H Boston College         15-13       2     4    -     -2.52
   408 A Louisville             15-11       4     7    -     -3.39

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   211 A Florida                13-10       3     0    +      2.65
   303 N Albany                 14- 5       9     6    +      2.01
   311 H Virginia               21-11      10     6    +      3.59
   402 A Notre Dame             16- 9       7     4    +      2.05
   422 A Duke                   19- 7      12     7    +      2.46
   430 N Syracuse               18-11       7     4    +      2.25
   514 H Virginia               23-12      11     6    +      3.59
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 98.53 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 83.20 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.72 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   20.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.145.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    4.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    4.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3
/