Conf = Atlantic Coast Region = South State = NC Nickname = Tar Heels Coach = Jenny LevyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 98.5349731 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 204 H James Madison Colonial (14- 7, 94.2) 16-14 211 A Florida Big East (17- 3, 97.4) 13-10 217 H High Point Big South (16- 4, 88.8) 16- 6 225 A Maryland Big Ten (23- 0, 99.9) 10-13 303 N Albany America East (12- 6, 91.5) 14- 5 305 N Canisius Metro Atlanti (15- 5, 90.8) 16- 8 311 H Virginia Atlantic Coas (12- 9, 92.9) 21-11 314 H Elon Colonial (13- 7, 90.9) 15- 5 319 H Northwestern Big Ten (11-10, 93.3) 17-12 325 H Boston College Atlantic Coas (17- 7, 94.8) 15-13 328 A Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 91.1) 14- 6 402 A Notre Dame Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 92.8) 16- 9 408 A Louisville Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 90.3) 15-11 415 H Syracuse Atlantic Coas (15- 7, 93.8) 11-13 422 A Duke Atlantic Coas ( 8- 9, 90.2) 19- 7 427 N Duke Atlantic Coas ( 8- 9, 90.2) 18- 6 428 N Boston College Atlantic Coas (17- 7, 94.8) 17-14 430 N Syracuse Atlantic Coas (15- 7, 93.8) 18-11 514 H Virginia Atlantic Coas (12- 9, 92.9) 23-12 520 H Navy Patriot Leagu (18- 5, 92.6) 14-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 204 H James Madison 16-14 2 5 - -3.11 211 A Florida 13-10 3 0 + 2.65 217 H High Point 16- 6 10 10 0.00 225 A Maryland 10-13 -3 -2 -0.83 303 N Albany 14- 5 9 6 + 2.01 305 N Canisius 16- 8 8 7 0.25 311 H Virginia 21-11 10 6 + 3.59 314 H Elon 15- 5 10 8 1.58 319 H Northwestern 17-12 5 6 -1.02 325 H Boston College 15-13 2 4 - -2.52 328 A Virginia Tech 14- 6 8 6 1.33 402 A Notre Dame 16- 9 7 4 + 2.05 408 A Louisville 15-11 4 7 - -3.39 415 H Syracuse 11-13 -2 5 --- -7.55 422 A Duke 19- 7 12 7 + 2.46 427 N Duke 18- 6 12 8 1.66 428 N Boston College 17-14 3 3 -0.71 430 N Syracuse 18-11 7 4 + 2.25 514 H Virginia 23-12 11 6 + 3.59 520 H Navy 14-16 -2 6 --- -8.71UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 H Syracuse 11-13 -2 5 --- -7.55 520 H Navy 14-16 -2 6 --- -8.71 204 H James Madison 16-14 2 5 - -3.11 325 H Boston College 15-13 2 4 - -2.52 408 A Louisville 15-11 4 7 - -3.39OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 211 A Florida 13-10 3 0 + 2.65 303 N Albany 14- 5 9 6 + 2.01 311 H Virginia 21-11 10 6 + 3.59 402 A Notre Dame 16- 9 7 4 + 2.05 422 A Duke 19- 7 12 7 + 2.46 430 N Syracuse 18-11 7 4 + 2.25 514 H Virginia 23-12 11 6 + 3.59/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 98.53 Local Power Rank........... 2 Local SOS Rating......... 83.20 Local SOS Rank............. 3 Local RPI Rating......... 0.72 Local RPI Rank............. 2 Championship Probability . 20.0 Championship Rank ....... 2 Local Quality Win Rating.145.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 4 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 15.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 17- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 4.7 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 4.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 5.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.3