Conf = Sunshine                   Region = South        State = FL
   Nickname = Tars                   Coach  = Dennis Short            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.0210724    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 208 H Tampa                  Sunshine      ( 6-11, 68.7)    24- 6   
 219 H Lindenwood             Rocky Mountai (21- 2, 79.9)     8-16   
 224 A Queens                 South Atlanti (17- 4, 75.2)     3- 6   
 226 A Wingate                South Atlanti (13- 5, 66.4)     9- 3   
 303 H Wheeling Jesuit        Mountain East (10- 7, 65.5)    19- 5   
 305 H Stonehill              Northeast 10  (12- 7, 74.4)    16-11   
 309 H Limestone              Carolinas     (17- 3, 73.4)    13- 9   
 312 H Alabama-Huntsville     Gulf South    (14- 5, 65.8)    16- 5   
 314 H Seton Hill             PSAC          (10- 8, 71.9)     9- 7   
 318 H Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     (10- 8, 67.0)    16- 3   
 324 N Shepherd               Mountain East ( 6-12, 65.4)    16- 2   
 326 N Grand Valley State     Great Lakes   ( 8- 9, 71.4)    16-10   
 405 A Saint Leo              Sunshine      ( 6-11, 66.9)    17- 7   
 411 A Florida Southern       Sunshine      (21- 3, 79.7)     5-18   
 416 H Lenoir-Rhyne           South Atlanti (11- 8, 67.3)    11- 5   
 420 H Florida Tech           Sunshine      (14- 4, 77.1)    10-14   
 428 N Florida Tech           Sunshine      (14- 4, 77.1)    14-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 H Tampa                  24- 6      18     7    +      2.66
   219 H Lindenwood              8-16      -8    -3    --    -4.11
   224 A Queens                  3- 6      -3    -1          -1.76
   226 A Wingate                 9- 3       6     7          -1.63
   303 H Wheeling Jesuit        19- 5      14    10           0.00
   305 H Stonehill              16-11       5     1    +      3.33
   309 H Limestone              13- 9       4     2           1.36
   312 H Alabama-Huntsville     16- 5      11    10           0.00
   314 H Seton Hill              9- 7       2     4    -     -2.12
   318 H Belmont Abbey          16- 3      13     9           0.97
   324 N Shepherd               16- 2      14     9           0.35
   326 N Grand Valley State     16-10       6     3    +      2.38
   405 A Saint Leo              17- 7      10     7    +      2.94
   411 A Florida Southern        5-18     -13    -5    --    -4.35
   416 H Lenoir-Rhyne           11- 5       6     8    -     -2.74
   420 H Florida Tech           10-14      -4    -1    -     -2.94
   428 N Florida Tech           14-19      -5    -2    -     -2.93

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 H Lindenwood              8-16      -8    -3    --    -4.11
   411 A Florida Southern        5-18     -13    -5    --    -4.35
   314 H Seton Hill              9- 7       2     4    -     -2.12
   416 H Lenoir-Rhyne           11- 5       6     8    -     -2.74
   420 H Florida Tech           10-14      -4    -1    -     -2.94
   428 N Florida Tech           14-19      -5    -2    -     -2.93

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 H Tampa                  24- 6      18     7    +      2.66
   305 H Stonehill              16-11       5     1    +      3.33
   326 N Grand Valley State     16-10       6     3    +      2.38
   405 A Saint Leo              17- 7      10     7    +      2.94
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.02 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 43.40 Local SOS Rank.............    18
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   105
 Local Quality Win Rating. 40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   12.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/