Conf = Northeast Region = Northeast State = PA Nickname = Colonials Coach = Katy PhillipsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 81.6960754 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 204 A Bucknell Patriot Leagu ( 9- 8, 83.3) 10-11 212 A Louisville Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 90.3) 4- 9 218 H Central Michigan Atlantic Sun ( 7-10, 75.4) 21- 6 224 H St. Mary's (CA) MPSF ( 1-13, 72.9) 22-11 226 A Yale Ivy League ( 7- 9, 89.6) 4-15 304 H Detroit Mercy Atlantic Sun ( 6-11, 77.3) 9- 7 311 A George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 3-13, 79.2) 9-10 313 H Liberty Big South ( 6-13, 77.3) 13-10 319 A St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 ( 4-13, 75.5) 12- 7 325 H Duquesne Atlantic 10 ( 2-15, 76.6) 17- 6 407 A Mount St. Mary's Northeast ( 4-11, 79.0) 7- 6 409 A Wagner Northeast ( 7-12, 80.2) 15-14 414 H Saint Francis Northeast ( 6-10, 76.3) 22-13 421 H Central Connecticut Northeast ( 4-12, 76.3) 14-13 423 H Bryant Northeast (13- 5, 86.6) 13-15 428 A LIU Brooklyn Northeast ( 3-12, 74.7) 22-17 430 A Sacred Heart Northeast ( 6-11, 78.2) 15-16 505 N Wagner Northeast ( 7-12, 80.2) 10-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 204 A Bucknell 10-11 -1 -2 1.39 212 A Louisville 4- 9 -5 -9 ++ 4.45 218 H Central Michigan 21- 6 15 7 + 2.91 224 H St. Mary's (CA) 22-11 11 9 0.42 226 A Yale 4-15 -11 -8 -1.31 304 H Detroit Mercy 9- 7 2 5 - -3.24 311 A George Washington 9-10 -1 1 - -2.74 313 H Liberty 13-10 3 5 - -2.16 319 A St. Bonaventure 12- 7 5 5 -0.43 325 H Duquesne 17- 6 11 5 ++ 4.08 407 A Mount St. Mary's 7- 6 1 1 -0.94 409 A Wagner 15-14 1 0 0.28 414 H Saint Francis 22-13 9 6 + 2.83 421 H Central Connecticut 14-13 1 6 -- -5.25 423 H Bryant 13-15 -2 -4 + 2.13 428 A LIU Brooklyn 22-17 5 6 -1.20 430 A Sacred Heart 15-16 -1 2 - -3.70 505 N Wagner 10-12 -2 1 - -3.53UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 421 H Central Connecticut 14-13 1 6 -- -5.25 304 H Detroit Mercy 9- 7 2 5 - -3.24 311 A George Washington 9-10 -1 1 - -2.74 313 H Liberty 13-10 3 5 - -2.16 430 A Sacred Heart 15-16 -1 2 - -3.70 505 N Wagner 10-12 -2 1 - -3.53OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 212 A Louisville 4- 9 -5 -9 ++ 4.45 325 H Duquesne 17- 6 11 5 ++ 4.08 218 H Central Michigan 21- 6 15 7 + 2.91 414 H Saint Francis 22-13 9 6 + 2.83 423 H Bryant 13-15 -2 -4 + 2.13/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 81.70 Local Power Rank........... 73 Local SOS Rating......... 56.53 Local SOS Rank............. 99 Local RPI Rating......... 0.43 Local RPI Rank............. 82 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 88 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 55 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.7