Conf = Northeast                  Region = Northeast    State = PA
   Nickname = Colonials              Coach  = Katy Phillips           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.6960754    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 204 A Bucknell               Patriot Leagu ( 9- 8, 83.3)    10-11   
 212 A Louisville             Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 90.3)     4- 9   
 218 H Central Michigan       Atlantic Sun  ( 7-10, 75.4)    21- 6   
 224 H St. Mary's (CA)        MPSF          ( 1-13, 72.9)    22-11   
 226 A Yale                   Ivy League    ( 7- 9, 89.6)     4-15   
 304 H Detroit Mercy          Atlantic Sun  ( 6-11, 77.3)     9- 7   
 311 A George Washington      Atlantic 10   ( 3-13, 79.2)     9-10   
 313 H Liberty                Big South     ( 6-13, 77.3)    13-10   
 319 A St. Bonaventure        Atlantic 10   ( 4-13, 75.5)    12- 7   
 325 H Duquesne               Atlantic 10   ( 2-15, 76.6)    17- 6   
 407 A Mount St. Mary's       Northeast     ( 4-11, 79.0)     7- 6   
 409 A Wagner                 Northeast     ( 7-12, 80.2)    15-14   
 414 H Saint Francis          Northeast     ( 6-10, 76.3)    22-13   
 421 H Central Connecticut    Northeast     ( 4-12, 76.3)    14-13   
 423 H Bryant                 Northeast     (13- 5, 86.6)    13-15   
 428 A LIU Brooklyn           Northeast     ( 3-12, 74.7)    22-17   
 430 A Sacred Heart           Northeast     ( 6-11, 78.2)    15-16   
 505 N Wagner                 Northeast     ( 7-12, 80.2)    10-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   204 A Bucknell               10-11      -1    -2           1.39
   212 A Louisville              4- 9      -5    -9    ++     4.45
   218 H Central Michigan       21- 6      15     7    +      2.91
   224 H St. Mary's (CA)        22-11      11     9           0.42
   226 A Yale                    4-15     -11    -8          -1.31
   304 H Detroit Mercy           9- 7       2     5    -     -3.24
   311 A George Washington       9-10      -1     1    -     -2.74
   313 H Liberty                13-10       3     5    -     -2.16
   319 A St. Bonaventure        12- 7       5     5          -0.43
   325 H Duquesne               17- 6      11     5    ++     4.08
   407 A Mount St. Mary's        7- 6       1     1          -0.94
   409 A Wagner                 15-14       1     0           0.28
   414 H Saint Francis          22-13       9     6    +      2.83
   421 H Central Connecticut    14-13       1     6    --    -5.25
   423 H Bryant                 13-15      -2    -4    +      2.13
   428 A LIU Brooklyn           22-17       5     6          -1.20
   430 A Sacred Heart           15-16      -1     2    -     -3.70
   505 N Wagner                 10-12      -2     1    -     -3.53

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Central Connecticut    14-13       1     6    --    -5.25
   304 H Detroit Mercy           9- 7       2     5    -     -3.24
   311 A George Washington       9-10      -1     1    -     -2.74
   313 H Liberty                13-10       3     5    -     -2.16
   430 A Sacred Heart           15-16      -1     2    -     -3.70
   505 N Wagner                 10-12      -2     1    -     -3.53

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   212 A Louisville              4- 9      -5    -9    ++     4.45
   325 H Duquesne               17- 6      11     5    ++     4.08
   218 H Central Michigan       21- 6      15     7    +      2.91
   414 H Saint Francis          22-13       9     6    +      2.83
   423 H Bryant                 13-15      -2    -4    +      2.13
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.70 Local Power Rank...........    73
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.53 Local SOS Rank.............    99
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    82
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    88
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    55
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/