Conf = Atlantic Sun               Region = South        State = VA
   Nickname = Monarchs               Coach  = Heather Holt            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.0373077    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 215 A Virginia Commonwealth  Atlantic 10   ( 7-10, 79.0)    10- 7   
 218 A Campbell               Big South     (10- 8, 79.6)    11-10   
 225 A Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 91.1)     6-19   
 301 A Richmond               Atlantic 10   (14- 6, 87.9)     8-11   
 304 A Liberty                Big South     ( 6-13, 77.3)    11- 8   
 311 H American               Patriot Leagu ( 3-13, 79.2)    10-11   
 315 H William & Mary         Colonial      ( 3-14, 84.7)    13-10   
 324 H Jacksonville           Atlantic Sun  (14- 6, 88.2)     7-12   
 326 H Stetson                Atlantic Sun  ( 5-13, 77.1)    15- 4   
 407 A Furman                 Atlantic Sun  (12- 7, 79.0)     7- 8   
 409 A Coastal Carolina       Atlantic Sun  (13- 6, 84.8)    13-12   
 413 A Central Michigan       Atlantic Sun  ( 7-10, 75.4)    10-11  o
 415 A Detroit Mercy          Atlantic Sun  ( 6-11, 77.3)     8-15   
 421 H Kennesaw State         Atlantic Sun  ( 8- 9, 77.2)    16-14   
 423 H Mercer                 Atlantic Sun  (13- 6, 80.5)     8-10   
 428 A Howard                 Atlantic Sun  ( 0-12, 61.5)    19- 6   
 429 A Delaware State         Atlantic Sun  ( 1-10, 61.2)    20- 5   
 504 N Mercer                 Atlantic Sun  (13- 6, 80.5)    14-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 A Virginia Commonwealth  10- 7       3     0    +      2.77
   218 A Campbell               11-10       1     0           1.40
   225 A Virginia Tech           6-19     -13   -11           0.00
   301 A Richmond                8-11      -3    -8    ++     5.64
   304 A Liberty                11- 8       3     1           1.11
   311 H American               10-11      -1     1    -     -2.63
   315 H William & Mary         13-10       3    -3    +++    6.83
   324 H Jacksonville            7-12      -5    -7    +      2.40
   326 H Stetson                15- 4      11     3    +++    6.29
   407 A Furman                  7- 8      -1     0          -1.20
   409 A Coastal Carolina       13-12       1    -5    +++    6.56
   413 A Central Michigan       10-11  o   -1     3    --    -4.82
   415 A Detroit Mercy           8-15      -7     1    ---   -8.97
   421 H Kennesaw State         16-14       2     3          -1.64
   423 H Mercer                  8-10      -2     0    -     -2.34
   428 A Howard                 19- 6      13    17           0.00
   429 A Delaware State         20- 5      15    17           0.00
   504 N Mercer                 14-18      -4     0    -     -3.53

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Detroit Mercy           8-15      -7     1    ---   -8.97
   413 A Central Michigan       10-11  o   -1     3    --    -4.82
   311 H American               10-11      -1     1    -     -2.63
   423 H Mercer                  8-10      -2     0    -     -2.34
   504 N Mercer                 14-18      -4     0    -     -3.53

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H William & Mary         13-10       3    -3    +++    6.83
   326 H Stetson                15- 4      11     3    +++    6.29
   409 A Coastal Carolina       13-12       1    -5    +++    6.56
   301 A Richmond                8-11      -3    -8    ++     5.64
   215 A Virginia Commonwealth  10- 7       3     0    +      2.77
   324 H Jacksonville            7-12      -5    -7    +      2.40
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.04 Local Power Rank...........    81
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.37 Local SOS Rank.............   100
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    68
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    82
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    68
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    8.0
/