Conf = Gulf South                 Region = South        State = AL
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Frank Rogers            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   70.5291748    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 211 H Oklahoma Baptist       Rocky Mountai ( 4-10, 62.1)    10- 9   
 214 A Point                  NAIA          ( 7-11, 55.4)    19- 9   
 218 A Shorter                Gulf South    (10- 6, 65.6)    10-18   
 219 A Young Harris           Gulf South    (12- 7, 65.8)     5-24   
 222 A Alabama-Huntsville     Gulf South    (14- 5, 65.8)    11-21   
 225 H Lee                    Gulf South    ( 0-14, 50.4)    20- 4   
 304 A Tampa                  Sunshine      ( 6-11, 68.7)     1-15   
 305 N Florida Tech           Sunshine      (14- 4, 77.1)     2-18   
 308 H Ohio Valley            Great Midwest ( 0- 3, 51.5)    18- 5   
 311 H Davis & Elkins         Great Midwest ( 0-12, 51.4)    17- 4   
 317 N Barton                 Carolinas     ( 1-11, 51.1)    15- 5   
 318 A North Greenville       Carolinas     (10- 9, 65.4)     5-17   
 325 A Lee                    Gulf South    ( 0-14, 50.4)    14- 3   
 401 A Oglethorpe             SAA           ( 6-12, 59.8)    17-11   
 408 H Young Harris           Gulf South    (12- 7, 65.8)     9-20   
 409 H Shorter                Gulf South    (10- 6, 65.6)     8-14   
 415 H Alabama-Huntsville     Gulf South    (14- 5, 65.8)     7-22   
 421 A Young Harris           Gulf South    (12- 7, 65.8)     3-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   211 H Oklahoma Baptist       10- 9       1     0           0.47
   214 A Point                  19- 9      10     5    ++     4.83
   218 A Shorter                10-18      -8    -4    -     -3.03
   219 A Young Harris            5-24     -19    -5    --    -4.81
   222 A Alabama-Huntsville     11-21     -10    -5    --    -4.84
   225 H Lee                    20- 4      16    12           0.00
   304 A Tampa                   1-15     -14    -8          -1.89
   305 N Florida Tech            2-18     -16   -15           0.00
   308 H Ohio Valley            18- 5      13    11           0.00
   311 H Davis & Elkins         17- 4      13    11           0.00
   317 N Barton                 15- 5      10    10           0.00
   318 A North Greenville        5-17     -12    -4    --    -5.16
   325 A Lee                    14- 3      11    10           0.00
   401 A Oglethorpe             17-11       6     0          n/a  
   408 H Young Harris            9-20     -11    -3    ---   -6.84
   409 H Shorter                 8-14      -6    -2    -     -3.07
   415 H Alabama-Huntsville      7-22     -15    -3    ---   -6.87
   421 A Young Harris            3-14     -11    -5    --    -4.81

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Oglethorpe             17-11   
   408 H Young Harris            9-20     -11    -3    ---   -6.84
   415 H Alabama-Huntsville      7-22     -15    -3    ---   -6.87
   219 A Young Harris            5-24     -19    -5    --    -4.81
   222 A Alabama-Huntsville     11-21     -10    -5    --    -4.84
   318 A North Greenville        5-17     -12    -4    --    -5.16
   401 A Oglethorpe             17-11   
   421 A Young Harris            3-14     -11    -5    --    -4.81
   218 A Shorter                10-18      -8    -4    -     -3.03
   401 A Oglethorpe             17-11   
   409 H Shorter                 8-14      -6    -2    -     -3.07

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Oglethorpe             17-11   
   214 A Point                  19- 9      10     5    ++     4.83
   401 A Oglethorpe             17-11   
   401 A Oglethorpe             17-11   
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 61.61 Local Power Rank...........    93
 Local SOS Rating......... 30.40 Local SOS Rank.............   101
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............   101
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    83
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    98
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -10.7
/