Conf = Commonwealth               Region = Mid-Atlantic State = PA
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Heather Greer           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.5379639    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 222 A Gettysburg             Centennial    (21- 3, 89.9)     6- 7  o
 225 H Muhlenberg             Centennial    (13- 4, 83.2)    17- 9   
 304 H Mary Washington        Capital       (15- 6, 85.3)     7- 6   
 308 H York                   Capital       (16- 4, 86.8)     5- 9   
 314 N Geneseo                SUNYAC        ( 9- 9, 81.1)    15-10   
 322 A Dickinson              Centennial    (10- 8, 83.1)    13- 4   
 325 A Stevenson              Commonwealth  (10- 8, 82.0)    16- 8   
 329 H Hood                   Commonwealth  ( 4-12, 67.0)    17- 3   
 401 A Albright               Commonwealth  (10- 7, 77.8)    16- 7   
 405 H Alvernia               Commonwealth  ( 6- 9, 71.0)    20- 1   
 411 H Franklin & Marshall    Centennial    (17- 5, 87.8)    17-11   
 413 A Arcadia                Commonwealth  ( 9- 9, 73.7)    16- 0   
 419 H Lebanon Valley         Commonwealth  ( 5-11, 74.3)    15- 4   
 422 A Lycoming               Commonwealth  (10- 7, 76.3)    16- 5   
 425 H Widener                Commonwealth  ( 4-12, 71.1)    15- 3   
 503 H Lycoming               Commonwealth  (10- 7, 76.3)    15- 5   
 506 H Stevenson              Commonwealth  (10- 8, 82.0)    15- 4   
 514 H Cortland               SUNYAC        (14- 5, 86.9)    14-13   
 520 N York                   Capital       (16- 4, 86.8)     7- 8  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 A Gettysburg              6- 7  o   -1    -3    +      2.21
   225 H Muhlenberg             17- 9       8     5    +      2.83
   304 H Mary Washington         7- 6       1     3    -     -2.10
   308 H York                    5- 9      -4     1    --    -5.59
   314 N Geneseo                15-10       5     6          -1.43
   322 A Dickinson              13- 4       9     3    ++     5.44
   325 A Stevenson              16- 8       8     4    +      3.31
   329 H Hood                   17- 3      14    21           0.00
   401 A Albright               16- 7       9     8           0.11
   405 H Alvernia               20- 1      19    17           0.00
   411 H Franklin & Marshall    17-11       6     0    ++     5.40
   413 A Arcadia                16- 0      16    12           0.00
   419 H Lebanon Valley         15- 4      11    14           0.00
   422 A Lycoming               16- 5      11    10           0.00
   425 H Widener                15- 3      12    17           0.00
   503 H Lycoming               15- 5      10    12           0.00
   506 H Stevenson              15- 4      11     6    +      3.62
   514 H Cortland               14-13       1     1          -0.45
   520 N York                    7- 8  o   -1     0          -1.74

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 H York                    5- 9      -4     1    --    -5.59
   304 H Mary Washington         7- 6       1     3    -     -2.10

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Dickinson              13- 4       9     3    ++     5.44
   411 H Franklin & Marshall    17-11       6     0    ++     5.40
   222 A Gettysburg              6- 7  o   -1    -3    +      2.21
   225 H Muhlenberg             17- 9       8     5    +      2.83
   325 A Stevenson              16- 8       8     4    +      3.31
   506 H Stevenson              15- 4      11     6    +      3.62
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.54 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.17 Local SOS Rank.............    28
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.66 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    5.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   14.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   14.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/