Conf = Commonwealth Region = Mid-Atlantic State = PA Nickname = Falcons Coach = Heather GreerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 97.5379639 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 222 A Gettysburg Centennial (21- 3, 89.9) 6- 7 o 225 H Muhlenberg Centennial (13- 4, 83.2) 17- 9 304 H Mary Washington Capital (15- 6, 85.3) 7- 6 308 H York Capital (16- 4, 86.8) 5- 9 314 N Geneseo SUNYAC ( 9- 9, 81.1) 15-10 322 A Dickinson Centennial (10- 8, 83.1) 13- 4 325 A Stevenson Commonwealth (10- 8, 82.0) 16- 8 329 H Hood Commonwealth ( 4-12, 67.0) 17- 3 401 A Albright Commonwealth (10- 7, 77.8) 16- 7 405 H Alvernia Commonwealth ( 6- 9, 71.0) 20- 1 411 H Franklin & Marshall Centennial (17- 5, 87.8) 17-11 413 A Arcadia Commonwealth ( 9- 9, 73.7) 16- 0 419 H Lebanon Valley Commonwealth ( 5-11, 74.3) 15- 4 422 A Lycoming Commonwealth (10- 7, 76.3) 16- 5 425 H Widener Commonwealth ( 4-12, 71.1) 15- 3 503 H Lycoming Commonwealth (10- 7, 76.3) 15- 5 506 H Stevenson Commonwealth (10- 8, 82.0) 15- 4 514 H Cortland SUNYAC (14- 5, 86.9) 14-13 520 N York Capital (16- 4, 86.8) 7- 8 oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 A Gettysburg 6- 7 o -1 -3 + 2.21 225 H Muhlenberg 17- 9 8 5 + 2.83 304 H Mary Washington 7- 6 1 3 - -2.10 308 H York 5- 9 -4 1 -- -5.59 314 N Geneseo 15-10 5 6 -1.43 322 A Dickinson 13- 4 9 3 ++ 5.44 325 A Stevenson 16- 8 8 4 + 3.31 329 H Hood 17- 3 14 21 0.00 401 A Albright 16- 7 9 8 0.11 405 H Alvernia 20- 1 19 17 0.00 411 H Franklin & Marshall 17-11 6 0 ++ 5.40 413 A Arcadia 16- 0 16 12 0.00 419 H Lebanon Valley 15- 4 11 14 0.00 422 A Lycoming 16- 5 11 10 0.00 425 H Widener 15- 3 12 17 0.00 503 H Lycoming 15- 5 10 12 0.00 506 H Stevenson 15- 4 11 6 + 3.62 514 H Cortland 14-13 1 1 -0.45 520 N York 7- 8 o -1 0 -1.74UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 H York 5- 9 -4 1 -- -5.59 304 H Mary Washington 7- 6 1 3 - -2.10OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 A Dickinson 13- 4 9 3 ++ 5.44 411 H Franklin & Marshall 17-11 6 0 ++ 5.40 222 A Gettysburg 6- 7 o -1 -3 + 2.21 225 H Muhlenberg 17- 9 8 5 + 2.83 325 A Stevenson 16- 8 8 4 + 3.31 506 H Stevenson 15- 4 11 6 + 3.62/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.54 Local Power Rank........... 7 Local SOS Rating......... 58.17 Local SOS Rank............. 28 Local RPI Rating......... 0.66 Local RPI Rank............. 12 Championship Probability . 5.0 Championship Rank ....... 7 Local Quality Win Rating. 70.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 11 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 7.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 9.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 14.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 14.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.7