Conf = Big South Region = South State = VA Nickname = Lancers Coach = Elaine JonesGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 76.7899933 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 205 A Navy Patriot Leagu (18- 5, 92.6) 3-20 212 A Lafayette Patriot Leagu (10- 8, 83.8) 3-18 218 H George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 3-13, 79.2) 11- 9 222 H Howard Atlantic Sun ( 0-12, 61.5) 24- 2 226 A Mount St. Mary's Northeast ( 4-11, 79.0) 13-10 303 A James Madison Colonial (14- 7, 94.2) 1-21 310 H St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 ( 4-13, 75.5) 13- 8 316 A UMBC America East (11- 6, 87.8) 5-17 319 A Saint Francis Northeast ( 6-10, 76.3) 12-13 325 H George Mason Atlantic 10 (11- 7, 86.0) 13-23 401 A Radford Big South ( 6-11, 74.7) 19-16 405 H Liberty Big South ( 6-13, 77.3) 8-18 408 A High Point Big South (16- 4, 88.8) 8-19 412 H Campbell Big South (10- 8, 79.6) 13-16 415 H Winthrop Big South ( 9-10, 81.5) 7-21 420 A Presbyterian Big South ( 2-14, 68.1) 23- 1 422 A Gardner-Webb Big South ( 0-17, 64.6) 21- 7 429 A Liberty Big South ( 6-13, 77.3) 13-20PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 205 A Navy 3-20 -17 -16 0.00 212 A Lafayette 3-18 -15 -7 - -2.17 218 H George Washington 11- 9 2 -1 + 3.56 222 H Howard 24- 2 22 16 0.00 226 A Mount St. Mary's 13-10 3 -2 ++ 5.97 303 A James Madison 1-21 -20 -18 0.00 310 H St. Bonaventure 13- 8 5 2 + 2.87 316 A UMBC 5-17 -12 -11 0.00 319 A Saint Francis 12-13 -1 0 -0.66 325 H George Mason 13-23 -10 -8 -1.57 401 A Radford 19-16 3 1 1.75 405 H Liberty 8-18 -10 0 --- -10.25 408 A High Point 8-19 -11 -12 0.00 412 H Campbell 13-16 -3 -2 -0.97 415 H Winthrop 7-21 -14 -3 --- -6.06 420 A Presbyterian 23- 1 22 7 + 2.12 422 A Gardner-Webb 21- 7 14 11 0.00 429 A Liberty 13-20 -7 -1 -- -5.65UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H Liberty 8-18 -10 0 --- -10.25 415 H Winthrop 7-21 -14 -3 --- -6.06 429 A Liberty 13-20 -7 -1 -- -5.65 212 A Lafayette 3-18 -15 -7 - -2.17OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 226 A Mount St. Mary's 13-10 3 -2 ++ 5.97 218 H George Washington 11- 9 2 -1 + 3.56 310 H St. Bonaventure 13- 8 5 2 + 2.87 420 A Presbyterian 23- 1 22 7 + 2.12/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 76.79 Local Power Rank........... 98 Local SOS Rating......... 57.30 Local SOS Rank............. 98 Local RPI Rating......... 0.40 Local RPI Rank............. 91 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 65 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 81 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 14.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -2.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 9.7