Conf = Big South Region = South State = VA Nickname = Flames Coach = Kelly NangleGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 77.3406525 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 210 A Notre Dame Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 92.8) 2-18 212 A Butler Big East ( 1-16, 69.5) 16- 9 218 H Richmond Atlantic 10 (14- 6, 87.9) 7-18 222 H Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 91.1) 2-15 225 H Navy Patriot Leagu (18- 5, 92.6) 4-20 304 H Old Dominion Atlantic Sun ( 9- 9, 80.0) 8-11 311 A George Mason Atlantic 10 (11- 7, 86.0) 10-16 313 A Robert Morris Northeast (11- 7, 81.7) 10-13 322 A William & Mary Colonial ( 3-14, 84.7) 2-19 325 A Virginia Commonwealth Atlantic 10 ( 7-10, 79.0) 12-21 401 A Presbyterian Big South ( 2-14, 68.1) 18- 8 405 A Longwood Big South ( 7-11, 76.8) 18- 8 408 H Campbell Big South (10- 8, 79.6) 11-12 o 412 A Gardner-Webb Big South ( 0-17, 64.6) 21- 7 415 H High Point Big South (16- 4, 88.8) 7-25 419 H Radford Big South ( 6-11, 74.7) 13-10 422 A Winthrop Big South ( 9-10, 81.5) 13-18 429 H Longwood Big South ( 7-11, 76.8) 20-13 505 A High Point Big South (16- 4, 88.8) 9-20PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 A Notre Dame 2-18 -16 -16 0.00 212 A Butler 16- 9 7 7 -0.00 218 H Richmond 7-18 -11 -9 -0.27 222 H Virginia Tech 2-15 -13 -12 0.00 225 H Navy 4-20 -16 -14 0.00 304 H Old Dominion 8-11 -3 -1 -1.11 311 A George Mason 10-16 -6 -9 + 3.49 313 A Robert Morris 10-13 -3 -5 + 2.16 322 A William & Mary 2-19 -17 -8 -1.86 325 A Virginia Commonwealth 12-21 -9 -2 --- -6.53 401 A Presbyterian 18- 8 10 8 1.57 405 A Longwood 18- 8 10 0 +++ 10.25 408 H Campbell 11-12 o -1 -1 0.48 412 A Gardner-Webb 21- 7 14 11 0.00 415 H High Point 7-25 -18 -10 0.00 419 H Radford 13-10 3 3 -0.41 422 A Winthrop 13-18 -5 -4 -0.00 429 H Longwood 20-13 7 1 ++ 5.65 505 A High Point 9-20 -11 -12 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 A Virginia Commonwealth 12-21 -9 -2 --- -6.53OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A Longwood 18- 8 10 0 +++ 10.25 429 H Longwood 20-13 7 1 ++ 5.65 311 A George Mason 10-16 -6 -9 + 3.49 313 A Robert Morris 10-13 -3 -5 + 2.16/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 77.34 Local Power Rank........... 93 Local SOS Rating......... 60.72 Local SOS Rank............. 88 Local RPI Rating......... 0.42 Local RPI Rank............. 87 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 63 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 98 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 14.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-13 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -4.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 7.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.0