Conf = Big South                  Region = South        State = VA
   Nickname = Flames                 Coach  = Kelly Nangle            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   77.3406525    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 210 A Notre Dame             Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 92.8)     2-18   
 212 A Butler                 Big East      ( 1-16, 69.5)    16- 9   
 218 H Richmond               Atlantic 10   (14- 6, 87.9)     7-18   
 222 H Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 91.1)     2-15   
 225 H Navy                   Patriot Leagu (18- 5, 92.6)     4-20   
 304 H Old Dominion           Atlantic Sun  ( 9- 9, 80.0)     8-11   
 311 A George Mason           Atlantic 10   (11- 7, 86.0)    10-16   
 313 A Robert Morris          Northeast     (11- 7, 81.7)    10-13   
 322 A William & Mary         Colonial      ( 3-14, 84.7)     2-19   
 325 A Virginia Commonwealth  Atlantic 10   ( 7-10, 79.0)    12-21   
 401 A Presbyterian           Big South     ( 2-14, 68.1)    18- 8   
 405 A Longwood               Big South     ( 7-11, 76.8)    18- 8   
 408 H Campbell               Big South     (10- 8, 79.6)    11-12  o
 412 A Gardner-Webb           Big South     ( 0-17, 64.6)    21- 7   
 415 H High Point             Big South     (16- 4, 88.8)     7-25   
 419 H Radford                Big South     ( 6-11, 74.7)    13-10   
 422 A Winthrop               Big South     ( 9-10, 81.5)    13-18   
 429 H Longwood               Big South     ( 7-11, 76.8)    20-13   
 505 A High Point             Big South     (16- 4, 88.8)     9-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   210 A Notre Dame              2-18     -16   -16           0.00
   212 A Butler                 16- 9       7     7          -0.00
   218 H Richmond                7-18     -11    -9          -0.27
   222 H Virginia Tech           2-15     -13   -12           0.00
   225 H Navy                    4-20     -16   -14           0.00
   304 H Old Dominion            8-11      -3    -1          -1.11
   311 A George Mason           10-16      -6    -9    +      3.49
   313 A Robert Morris          10-13      -3    -5    +      2.16
   322 A William & Mary          2-19     -17    -8          -1.86
   325 A Virginia Commonwealth  12-21      -9    -2    ---   -6.53
   401 A Presbyterian           18- 8      10     8           1.57
   405 A Longwood               18- 8      10     0    +++   10.25
   408 H Campbell               11-12  o   -1    -1           0.48
   412 A Gardner-Webb           21- 7      14    11           0.00
   415 H High Point              7-25     -18   -10           0.00
   419 H Radford                13-10       3     3          -0.41
   422 A Winthrop               13-18      -5    -4          -0.00
   429 H Longwood               20-13       7     1    ++     5.65
   505 A High Point              9-20     -11   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Virginia Commonwealth  12-21      -9    -2    ---   -6.53

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Longwood               18- 8      10     0    +++   10.25
   429 H Longwood               20-13       7     1    ++     5.65
   311 A George Mason           10-16      -6    -9    +      3.49
   313 A Robert Morris          10-13      -3    -5    +      2.16
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.34 Local Power Rank...........    93
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.72 Local SOS Rank.............    88
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    87
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    63
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    98
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
/