Conf = Atlantic 10                Region = Mid-Atlantic State = DC
   Nickname = Colonials              Coach  = Tracy Coyne             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.1533203    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 211 H Monmouth               Metro Atlanti ( 6-12, 81.4)    15-16   
 215 H Georgetown             Big East      ( 9- 9, 90.1)     5-16   
 218 A Longwood               Big South     ( 7-11, 76.8)     9-11   
 225 H UMBC                   America East  (11- 6, 87.8)     8-17   
 301 H Navy                   Patriot Leagu (18- 5, 92.6)     5-16   
 311 H Robert Morris          Northeast     (11- 7, 81.7)    10- 9   
 318 H Delaware               Colonial      ( 9- 8, 91.5)     2-13   
 331 H St. Bonaventure        Atlantic 10   ( 4-13, 75.5)    10- 9   
 402 A Davidson               Atlantic 10   ( 8-10, 81.8)    11-14   
 407 H Richmond               Atlantic 10   (14- 6, 87.9)     6-17   
 409 A La Salle               Atlantic 10   ( 7-11, 79.5)    11-13   
 413 A George Mason           Atlantic 10   (11- 7, 86.0)     9-11   
 415 H Virginia Commonwealth  Atlantic 10   ( 7-10, 79.0)    13-15   
 421 A Massachusetts          Atlantic 10   (17- 4, 90.7)     9-19   
 423 H Duquesne               Atlantic 10   ( 2-15, 76.6)     9- 7   
 429 A Saint Joseph's         Atlantic 10   (11- 7, 84.9)    12-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   211 H Monmouth               15-16      -1    -1           0.41
   215 H Georgetown              5-16     -11   -10           0.00
   218 A Longwood                9-11      -2     1    -     -3.56
   225 H UMBC                    8-17      -9    -7          -1.17
   301 H Navy                    5-16     -11   -12           0.00
   311 H Robert Morris          10- 9       1    -1    +      2.74
   318 H Delaware                2-13     -11   -11           0.00
   331 H St. Bonaventure        10- 9       1     4    -     -3.49
   402 A Davidson               11-14      -3    -3           0.43
   407 H Richmond                6-17     -11    -7    -     -2.09
   409 A La Salle               11-13      -2    -1          -0.84
   413 A George Mason            9-11      -2    -7    ++     5.67
   415 H Virginia Commonwealth  13-15      -2     0    -     -2.95
   421 A Massachusetts           9-19     -10   -12           0.00
   423 H Duquesne                9- 7       2     3          -1.37
   429 A Saint Joseph's         12-15      -3    -6    +      3.57

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   218 A Longwood                9-11      -2     1    -     -3.56
   331 H St. Bonaventure        10- 9       1     4    -     -3.49
   407 H Richmond                6-17     -11    -7    -     -2.09
   415 H Virginia Commonwealth  13-15      -2     0    -     -2.95

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A George Mason            9-11      -2    -7    ++     5.67
   311 H Robert Morris          10- 9       1    -1    +      2.74
   429 A Saint Joseph's         12-15      -3    -6    +      3.57
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.15 Local Power Rank...........    88
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.15 Local SOS Rank.............    65
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............    90
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    49
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   105
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
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