Conf = Atlantic 10 Region = Mid-Atlantic State = VA Nickname = Patriots Coach = Jessy MorganGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.0228729 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 218 A William & Mary Colonial ( 3-14, 84.7) 9- 7 304 A Georgetown Big East ( 9- 9, 90.1) 6-11 308 H Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 91.1) 10-11 o 311 H Liberty Big South ( 6-13, 77.3) 16-10 315 A High Point Big South (16- 4, 88.8) 11-17 318 A Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun (13- 6, 84.8) 12- 6 325 A Longwood Big South ( 7-11, 76.8) 23-13 327 H Oregon MPSF ( 9- 8, 87.3) 12-17 331 H La Salle Atlantic 10 ( 7-11, 79.5) 15- 8 402 H St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 ( 4-13, 75.5) 21- 9 407 A Duquesne Atlantic 10 ( 2-15, 76.6) 17- 9 409 A Virginia Commonwealth Atlantic 10 ( 7-10, 79.0) 19- 8 413 H George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 3-13, 79.2) 11- 9 416 H Richmond Atlantic 10 (14- 6, 87.9) 16-11 421 H Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 (11- 7, 84.9) 10-20 423 A Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (17- 4, 90.7) 17-18 429 A Davidson Atlantic 10 ( 8-10, 81.8) 19- 9 504 N Davidson Atlantic 10 ( 8-10, 81.8) 13-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 218 A William & Mary 9- 7 2 0 1.46 304 A Georgetown 6-11 -5 -4 -0.12 308 H Virginia Tech 10-11 o -1 -4 + 3.23 311 H Liberty 16-10 6 9 - -3.49 315 A High Point 11-17 -6 -3 - -2.45 318 A Coastal Carolina 12- 6 6 0 ++ 5.58 325 A Longwood 23-13 10 8 1.57 327 H Oregon 12-17 -5 0 -- -4.48 331 H La Salle 15- 8 7 7 -0.32 402 H St. Bonaventure 21- 9 12 11 0.00 407 A Duquesne 17- 9 8 8 -0.63 409 A Virginia Commonwealth 19- 8 11 6 + 3.79 413 H George Washington 11- 9 2 7 -- -5.67 416 H Richmond 16-11 5 -1 +++ 6.04 421 H Saint Joseph's 10-20 -10 1 --- -11.91 423 A Massachusetts 17-18 -1 -5 ++ 4.44 429 A Davidson 19- 9 10 3 +++ 6.56 504 N Davidson 13-14 -1 4 -- -5.24UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 421 H Saint Joseph's 10-20 -10 1 --- -11.91 327 H Oregon 12-17 -5 0 -- -4.48 413 H George Washington 11- 9 2 7 -- -5.67 504 N Davidson 13-14 -1 4 -- -5.24 311 H Liberty 16-10 6 9 - -3.49 315 A High Point 11-17 -6 -3 - -2.45OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 416 H Richmond 16-11 5 -1 +++ 6.04 429 A Davidson 19- 9 10 3 +++ 6.56 318 A Coastal Carolina 12- 6 6 0 ++ 5.58 423 A Massachusetts 17-18 -1 -5 ++ 4.44 308 H Virginia Tech 10-11 o -1 -4 + 3.23 409 A Virginia Commonwealth 19- 8 11 6 + 3.79/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 86.02 Local Power Rank........... 53 Local SOS Rating......... 63.59 Local SOS Rank............. 74 Local RPI Rating......... 0.51 Local RPI Rank............. 49 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 48 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 54 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 6.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.7