Conf = Atlantic 10                Region = Mid-Atlantic State = VA
   Nickname = Patriots               Coach  = Jessy Morgan            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.0228729    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 218 A William & Mary         Colonial      ( 3-14, 84.7)     9- 7   
 304 A Georgetown             Big East      ( 9- 9, 90.1)     6-11   
 308 H Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 91.1)    10-11  o
 311 H Liberty                Big South     ( 6-13, 77.3)    16-10   
 315 A High Point             Big South     (16- 4, 88.8)    11-17   
 318 A Coastal Carolina       Atlantic Sun  (13- 6, 84.8)    12- 6   
 325 A Longwood               Big South     ( 7-11, 76.8)    23-13   
 327 H Oregon                 MPSF          ( 9- 8, 87.3)    12-17   
 331 H La Salle               Atlantic 10   ( 7-11, 79.5)    15- 8   
 402 H St. Bonaventure        Atlantic 10   ( 4-13, 75.5)    21- 9   
 407 A Duquesne               Atlantic 10   ( 2-15, 76.6)    17- 9   
 409 A Virginia Commonwealth  Atlantic 10   ( 7-10, 79.0)    19- 8   
 413 H George Washington      Atlantic 10   ( 3-13, 79.2)    11- 9   
 416 H Richmond               Atlantic 10   (14- 6, 87.9)    16-11   
 421 H Saint Joseph's         Atlantic 10   (11- 7, 84.9)    10-20   
 423 A Massachusetts          Atlantic 10   (17- 4, 90.7)    17-18   
 429 A Davidson               Atlantic 10   ( 8-10, 81.8)    19- 9   
 504 N Davidson               Atlantic 10   ( 8-10, 81.8)    13-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   218 A William & Mary          9- 7       2     0           1.46
   304 A Georgetown              6-11      -5    -4          -0.12
   308 H Virginia Tech          10-11  o   -1    -4    +      3.23
   311 H Liberty                16-10       6     9    -     -3.49
   315 A High Point             11-17      -6    -3    -     -2.45
   318 A Coastal Carolina       12- 6       6     0    ++     5.58
   325 A Longwood               23-13      10     8           1.57
   327 H Oregon                 12-17      -5     0    --    -4.48
   331 H La Salle               15- 8       7     7          -0.32
   402 H St. Bonaventure        21- 9      12    11           0.00
   407 A Duquesne               17- 9       8     8          -0.63
   409 A Virginia Commonwealth  19- 8      11     6    +      3.79
   413 H George Washington      11- 9       2     7    --    -5.67
   416 H Richmond               16-11       5    -1    +++    6.04
   421 H Saint Joseph's         10-20     -10     1    ---  -11.91
   423 A Massachusetts          17-18      -1    -5    ++     4.44
   429 A Davidson               19- 9      10     3    +++    6.56
   504 N Davidson               13-14      -1     4    --    -5.24

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Saint Joseph's         10-20     -10     1    ---  -11.91
   327 H Oregon                 12-17      -5     0    --    -4.48
   413 H George Washington      11- 9       2     7    --    -5.67
   504 N Davidson               13-14      -1     4    --    -5.24
   311 H Liberty                16-10       6     9    -     -3.49
   315 A High Point             11-17      -6    -3    -     -2.45

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H Richmond               16-11       5    -1    +++    6.04
   429 A Davidson               19- 9      10     3    +++    6.56
   318 A Coastal Carolina       12- 6       6     0    ++     5.58
   423 A Massachusetts          17-18      -1    -5    ++     4.44
   308 H Virginia Tech          10-11  o   -1    -4    +      3.23
   409 A Virginia Commonwealth  19- 8      11     6    +      3.79
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.02 Local Power Rank...........    53
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.59 Local SOS Rank.............    74
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    49
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    48
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    54
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
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