Conf = Colonial Region = South State = NC Nickname = Phoenix Coach = Josh HexterGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.9193497 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 204 H Campbell Big South (10- 8, 79.6) 15- 5 211 A Virginia Atlantic Coas (12- 9, 92.9) 11-10 215 H Winthrop Big South ( 9-10, 81.5) 13- 5 219 H High Point Big South (16- 4, 88.8) 14- 7 223 H Notre Dame Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 92.8) 7-16 301 A Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 91.1) 13-12 o 308 H Vanderbilt Big East ( 6- 9, 86.7) 12- 9 314 A North Carolina Atlantic Coas (17- 3, 98.5) 5-15 324 H Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun (13- 6, 84.8) 15- 6 326 H Davidson Atlantic 10 ( 8-10, 81.8) 15- 7 329 H Duke Atlantic Coas ( 8- 9, 90.2) 9-10 407 A James Madison Colonial (14- 7, 94.2) 5-14 409 A Towson Colonial (12- 7, 93.5) 7-19 414 H Drexel Colonial ( 7- 9, 85.9) 15- 2 416 H Delaware Colonial ( 9- 8, 91.5) 6- 3 423 H Hofstra Colonial ( 8- 8, 87.5) 15- 7 429 A William & Mary Colonial ( 3-14, 84.7) 18- 4 505 A Towson Colonial (12- 7, 93.5) 10- 9 o 507 N James Madison Colonial (14- 7, 94.2) 7-15 512 N Virginia Atlantic Coas (12- 9, 92.9) 9-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 204 H Campbell 15- 5 10 12 0.00 211 A Virginia 11-10 1 -2 + 3.81 215 H Winthrop 13- 5 8 10 - -2.00 219 H High Point 14- 7 7 2 ++ 4.04 223 H Notre Dame 7-16 -9 -1 --- -7.94 301 A Virginia Tech 13-12 o 1 0 1.94 308 H Vanderbilt 12- 9 3 4 -2.00 314 A North Carolina 5-15 -10 -8 -1.58 324 H Coastal Carolina 15- 6 9 6 + 2.07 326 H Davidson 15- 7 8 9 -1.94 329 H Duke 9-10 -1 1 - -2.53 407 A James Madison 5-14 -9 -4 -- -4.89 409 A Towson 7-19 -12 -3 --- -6.65 414 H Drexel 15- 2 13 5 ++ 4.15 416 H Delaware 6- 3 3 0 + 2.76 423 H Hofstra 15- 7 8 4 + 3.79 429 A William & Mary 18- 4 14 5 ++ 4.56 505 A Towson 10- 9 o 1 -3 ++ 4.35 507 N James Madison 7-15 -8 -3 -- -4.69 512 N Virginia 9-11 -2 -2 0.01UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 223 H Notre Dame 7-16 -9 -1 --- -7.94 409 A Towson 7-19 -12 -3 --- -6.65 407 A James Madison 5-14 -9 -4 -- -4.89 507 N James Madison 7-15 -8 -3 -- -4.69 215 H Winthrop 13- 5 8 10 - -2.00 329 H Duke 9-10 -1 1 - -2.53OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 219 H High Point 14- 7 7 2 ++ 4.04 414 H Drexel 15- 2 13 5 ++ 4.15 429 A William & Mary 18- 4 14 5 ++ 4.56 505 A Towson 10- 9 o 1 -3 ++ 4.35 211 A Virginia 11-10 1 -2 + 3.81 324 H Coastal Carolina 15- 6 9 6 + 2.07 416 H Delaware 6- 3 3 0 + 2.76 423 H Hofstra 15- 7 8 4 + 3.79/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 90.92 Local Power Rank........... 25 Local SOS Rating......... 75.85 Local SOS Rank............. 19 Local RPI Rating......... 0.59 Local RPI Rank............. 20 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 43 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 27 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 9.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.0