Conf = Colonial                   Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Phoenix                Coach  = Josh Hexter             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.9193497    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 204 H Campbell               Big South     (10- 8, 79.6)    15- 5   
 211 A Virginia               Atlantic Coas (12- 9, 92.9)    11-10   
 215 H Winthrop               Big South     ( 9-10, 81.5)    13- 5   
 219 H High Point             Big South     (16- 4, 88.8)    14- 7   
 223 H Notre Dame             Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 92.8)     7-16   
 301 A Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 91.1)    13-12  o
 308 H Vanderbilt             Big East      ( 6- 9, 86.7)    12- 9   
 314 A North Carolina         Atlantic Coas (17- 3, 98.5)     5-15   
 324 H Coastal Carolina       Atlantic Sun  (13- 6, 84.8)    15- 6   
 326 H Davidson               Atlantic 10   ( 8-10, 81.8)    15- 7   
 329 H Duke                   Atlantic Coas ( 8- 9, 90.2)     9-10   
 407 A James Madison          Colonial      (14- 7, 94.2)     5-14   
 409 A Towson                 Colonial      (12- 7, 93.5)     7-19   
 414 H Drexel                 Colonial      ( 7- 9, 85.9)    15- 2   
 416 H Delaware               Colonial      ( 9- 8, 91.5)     6- 3   
 423 H Hofstra                Colonial      ( 8- 8, 87.5)    15- 7   
 429 A William & Mary         Colonial      ( 3-14, 84.7)    18- 4   
 505 A Towson                 Colonial      (12- 7, 93.5)    10- 9  o
 507 N James Madison          Colonial      (14- 7, 94.2)     7-15   
 512 N Virginia               Atlantic Coas (12- 9, 92.9)     9-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   204 H Campbell               15- 5      10    12           0.00
   211 A Virginia               11-10       1    -2    +      3.81
   215 H Winthrop               13- 5       8    10    -     -2.00
   219 H High Point             14- 7       7     2    ++     4.04
   223 H Notre Dame              7-16      -9    -1    ---   -7.94
   301 A Virginia Tech          13-12  o    1     0           1.94
   308 H Vanderbilt             12- 9       3     4          -2.00
   314 A North Carolina          5-15     -10    -8          -1.58
   324 H Coastal Carolina       15- 6       9     6    +      2.07
   326 H Davidson               15- 7       8     9          -1.94
   329 H Duke                    9-10      -1     1    -     -2.53
   407 A James Madison           5-14      -9    -4    --    -4.89
   409 A Towson                  7-19     -12    -3    ---   -6.65
   414 H Drexel                 15- 2      13     5    ++     4.15
   416 H Delaware                6- 3       3     0    +      2.76
   423 H Hofstra                15- 7       8     4    +      3.79
   429 A William & Mary         18- 4      14     5    ++     4.56
   505 A Towson                 10- 9  o    1    -3    ++     4.35
   507 N James Madison           7-15      -8    -3    --    -4.69
   512 N Virginia                9-11      -2    -2           0.01

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   223 H Notre Dame              7-16      -9    -1    ---   -7.94
   409 A Towson                  7-19     -12    -3    ---   -6.65
   407 A James Madison           5-14      -9    -4    --    -4.89
   507 N James Madison           7-15      -8    -3    --    -4.69
   215 H Winthrop               13- 5       8    10    -     -2.00
   329 H Duke                    9-10      -1     1    -     -2.53

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 H High Point             14- 7       7     2    ++     4.04
   414 H Drexel                 15- 2      13     5    ++     4.15
   429 A William & Mary         18- 4      14     5    ++     4.56
   505 A Towson                 10- 9  o    1    -3    ++     4.35
   211 A Virginia               11-10       1    -2    +      3.81
   324 H Coastal Carolina       15- 6       9     6    +      2.07
   416 H Delaware                6- 3       3     0    +      2.76
   423 H Hofstra                15- 7       8     4    +      3.79
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.92 Local Power Rank...........    25
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.85 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    43
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    9.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
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