Erie                          5 - 7


 
                                                           State = NY
   Nickname = Kats                   Coach  = Gary Boughton           



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   79.2484131    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 A Anne Arundel                         (11- 6, 72.7)     6-20   
 325 A Essex                                ( 6- 7, 66.2)     7-16   
 326 A Howard CC                            (16- 2, 75.8)     2-15   
 329 A Genesee                              ( 2- 5, 53.0)    17- 3   
 401 A Jefferson                            ( 6- 5, 65.0)     3-15   
 405 A Mohawk Valley                        ( 1- 8, 48.8)    24-14   
 412 H Genesee                              ( 2- 5, 53.0)    17- 5   
 415 H Mohawk Valley                        ( 1- 8, 48.8)    17- 2   
 419 A Onondaga                             ( 9- 4, 72.6)     4-17   
 422 A North Country                        ( 0- 8, 47.4)    17- 3   
 429 H Monroe                               (14- 0, 81.9)     5-25   
 506 A Monroe                               (14- 0, 81.9)     2-23   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Anne Arundel            6-20     -14   -12           0.00
   325 A Essex                   7-16      -9    -5    -     -3.25
   326 A Howard CC               2-15     -13   -15           0.00
   329 A Genesee                17- 3      14     7    +      2.54
   401 A Jefferson               3-15     -12    -4    --    -5.40
   405 A Mohawk Valley          24-14      10    11           0.00
   412 H Genesee                17- 5      12     9           0.88
   415 H Mohawk Valley          17- 2      15    13           0.00
   419 A Onondaga                4-17     -13   -12           0.00
   422 A North Country          17- 3      14    13           0.00
   429 H Monroe                  5-25     -20   -19           0.00
   506 A Monroe                  2-23     -21   -21           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Jefferson               3-15     -12    -4    --    -5.40
   325 A Essex                   7-16      -9    -5    -     -3.25


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Genesee                17- 3      14     7    +      2.54




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 61.25 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 35.06 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.0


  
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