Conf = Commonwealth               Region = Mid-Atlantic State = MD
   Nickname = Mustangs               Coach  = Kathy Railey            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.1308212    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 220 H Salisbury              Capital       (18- 3, 84.4)     5- 9   
 225 H Gettysburg             Centennial    (18- 3, 85.1)    10-17   
 305 A Franklin & Marshall    Centennial    (21- 3, 85.6)     2-16   
 310 A Washington College     Centennial    (11- 7, 78.2)     6-16   
 314 N Colby-Sawyer           North Atlanti (12- 7, 63.5)    17- 5   
 316 N Springfield            NEWMAC        (16- 6, 78.2)    10- 9 2o
 320 H Geneseo                SUNYAC        (12- 6, 80.5)     2- 4   
 324 H Tufts                  NESCAC        ( 9- 7, 81.9)    10-11   
 330 H Middlebury             NESCAC        (22- 1, 87.1)     6-18   
 401 A Alvernia               Commonwealth  ( 6- 9, 68.0)    15- 6   
 409 A Arcadia                Commonwealth  ( 6-10, 67.8)    11- 6   
 413 H Lycoming               Commonwealth  (12- 5, 73.8)    13-12  o
 416 H Albright               Commonwealth  (11- 7, 74.1)    19-13   
 420 A Messiah                Commonwealth  (14- 6, 81.2)     5-17   
 423 H Lebanon Valley         Commonwealth  (11- 8, 73.9)     9- 7   
 426 H Hood                   Commonwealth  ( 4-13, 60.7)    20- 5   
 430 A Widener                Commonwealth  ( 5-10, 69.2)    15-14   
 504 H Lebanon Valley         Commonwealth  (11- 8, 73.9)     8- 6   
 507 A Messiah                Commonwealth  (14- 6, 81.2)     3-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 H Salisbury               5- 9      -4    -8    ++     4.27
   225 H Gettysburg             10-17      -7    -8           2.00
   305 A Franklin & Marshall     2-16     -14   -11           0.00
   310 A Washington College      6-16     -10    -4    --    -5.93
   314 N Colby-Sawyer           17- 5      12    11           0.00
   316 N Springfield            10- 9 2o    1    -3    ++     4.03
   320 H Geneseo                 2- 4      -2    -4    +      2.37
   324 H Tufts                  10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.77
   330 H Middlebury              6-18     -12   -11           0.00
   401 A Alvernia               15- 6       9     6    +      2.91
   409 A Arcadia                11- 6       5     6          -1.33
   413 H Lycoming               13-12  o    1     2          -1.33
   416 H Albright               19-13       6     1    ++     4.02
   420 A Messiah                 5-17     -12    -7    -     -2.90
   423 H Lebanon Valley          9- 7       2     2          -0.20
   426 H Hood                   20- 5      15    15           0.00
   430 A Widener                15-14       1     4    -     -3.94
   504 H Lebanon Valley          8- 6       2     2          -0.20
   507 A Messiah                 3-13     -10    -7    -     -2.90

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 A Washington College      6-16     -10    -4    --    -5.93
   420 A Messiah                 5-17     -12    -7    -     -2.90
   430 A Widener                15-14       1     4    -     -3.94
   507 A Messiah                 3-13     -10    -7    -     -2.90

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 H Salisbury               5- 9      -4    -8    ++     4.27
   316 N Springfield            10- 9 2o    1    -3    ++     4.03
   324 H Tufts                  10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.77
   416 H Albright               19-13       6     1    ++     4.02
   320 H Geneseo                 2- 4      -2    -4    +      2.37
   401 A Alvernia               15- 6       9     6    +      2.91
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.13 Local Power Rank...........    57
 Local SOS Rating......... 51.66 Local SOS Rank.............    25
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    43
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   231
 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    79
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    6.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/