Conf = Commonwealth Region = Mid-Atlantic State = MD Nickname = Mustangs Coach = Kathy RaileyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 85.1308212 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 220 H Salisbury Capital (18- 3, 84.4) 5- 9 225 H Gettysburg Centennial (18- 3, 85.1) 10-17 305 A Franklin & Marshall Centennial (21- 3, 85.6) 2-16 310 A Washington College Centennial (11- 7, 78.2) 6-16 314 N Colby-Sawyer North Atlanti (12- 7, 63.5) 17- 5 316 N Springfield NEWMAC (16- 6, 78.2) 10- 9 2o 320 H Geneseo SUNYAC (12- 6, 80.5) 2- 4 324 H Tufts NESCAC ( 9- 7, 81.9) 10-11 330 H Middlebury NESCAC (22- 1, 87.1) 6-18 401 A Alvernia Commonwealth ( 6- 9, 68.0) 15- 6 409 A Arcadia Commonwealth ( 6-10, 67.8) 11- 6 413 H Lycoming Commonwealth (12- 5, 73.8) 13-12 o 416 H Albright Commonwealth (11- 7, 74.1) 19-13 420 A Messiah Commonwealth (14- 6, 81.2) 5-17 423 H Lebanon Valley Commonwealth (11- 8, 73.9) 9- 7 426 H Hood Commonwealth ( 4-13, 60.7) 20- 5 430 A Widener Commonwealth ( 5-10, 69.2) 15-14 504 H Lebanon Valley Commonwealth (11- 8, 73.9) 8- 6 507 A Messiah Commonwealth (14- 6, 81.2) 3-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 H Salisbury 5- 9 -4 -8 ++ 4.27 225 H Gettysburg 10-17 -7 -8 2.00 305 A Franklin & Marshall 2-16 -14 -11 0.00 310 A Washington College 6-16 -10 -4 -- -5.93 314 N Colby-Sawyer 17- 5 12 11 0.00 316 N Springfield 10- 9 2o 1 -3 ++ 4.03 320 H Geneseo 2- 4 -2 -4 + 2.37 324 H Tufts 10-11 -1 -5 ++ 4.77 330 H Middlebury 6-18 -12 -11 0.00 401 A Alvernia 15- 6 9 6 + 2.91 409 A Arcadia 11- 6 5 6 -1.33 413 H Lycoming 13-12 o 1 2 -1.33 416 H Albright 19-13 6 1 ++ 4.02 420 A Messiah 5-17 -12 -7 - -2.90 423 H Lebanon Valley 9- 7 2 2 -0.20 426 H Hood 20- 5 15 15 0.00 430 A Widener 15-14 1 4 - -3.94 504 H Lebanon Valley 8- 6 2 2 -0.20 507 A Messiah 3-13 -10 -7 - -2.90UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 A Washington College 6-16 -10 -4 -- -5.93 420 A Messiah 5-17 -12 -7 - -2.90 430 A Widener 15-14 1 4 - -3.94 507 A Messiah 3-13 -10 -7 - -2.90OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 H Salisbury 5- 9 -4 -8 ++ 4.27 316 N Springfield 10- 9 2o 1 -3 ++ 4.03 324 H Tufts 10-11 -1 -5 ++ 4.77 416 H Albright 19-13 6 1 ++ 4.02 320 H Geneseo 2- 4 -2 -4 + 2.37 401 A Alvernia 15- 6 9 6 + 2.91/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 75.13 Local Power Rank........... 57 Local SOS Rating......... 51.66 Local SOS Rank............. 25 Local RPI Rating......... 0.59 Local RPI Rank............. 43 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 231 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 79 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 6.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 6.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 6.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.3