Conf = Great Midwest              Region = North        State = OH
   Nickname = Arrows                 Coach  = Ed Karasek              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   71.9025879    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 227 A Wilmington (OH)        Ohio          ( 2-14, 53.2)    21- 6   
 229 N Montevallo             Gulf South    ( 6-12, 58.6)    18-13   
 301 A Alabama-Huntsville     Gulf South    (14- 4, 66.7)    10-20   
 311 A Notre Dame (OH)        Mountain East ( 5- 6, 62.6)    13-14   
 313 A Lake Erie              Great Lakes   ( 6-11, 66.8)     4-13   
 320 A Urbana                 Mountain East ( 1-13, 54.6)    22- 9   
 324 A Wooster                North Coast   (11- 6, 69.5)     5-16   
 330 A Walsh                  Great Lakes   ( 5-13, 64.0)     8-18   
 401 A Ohio Northern          Ohio          ( 7- 9, 58.0)    11-12   
 406 A Baldwin Wallace        Ohio          (11- 7, 70.8)    13-19   
 414 A Alderson Broaddus      Great Midwest ( 9-10, 63.7)    13-11   
 415 A Davis & Elkins         Great Midwest ( 1-10, 47.2)    21- 9   
 417 A Siena Heights          NAIA NWLL     ( 7-10, 55.6)    18-14   
 423 H Oberlin                North Coast   (10- 7, 72.0)     2-19   
 428 H Alderson Broaddus      Great Midwest ( 9-10, 63.7)    18-11   
 430 H Davis & Elkins         Great Midwest ( 1-10, 47.2)    17- 3   
 507 H Alderson Broaddus      Great Midwest ( 9-10, 63.7)    16-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 A Wilmington (OH)        21- 6      15     9          n/a  
   229 N Montevallo             18-13       5     4           0.46
   301 A Alabama-Huntsville     10-20     -10    -4    --    -5.59
   311 A Notre Dame (OH)        13-14      -1     0          -0.67
   313 A Lake Erie               4-13      -9    -4    --    -4.53
   320 A Urbana                 22- 9      13     7    +      2.27
   324 A Wooster                 5-16     -11    -7          n/a  
   330 A Walsh                   8-18     -10    -1    ---   -8.34
   401 A Ohio Northern          11-12      -1     4          n/a  
   406 A Baldwin Wallace        13-19      -6    -8          n/a  
   414 A Alderson Broaddus      13-11       2    -1    +      3.40
   415 A Davis & Elkins         21- 9      12    15           0.00
   417 A Siena Heights          18-14       4     6    -     -2.74
   423 H Oberlin                 2-19     -17    -7          n/a  
   428 H Alderson Broaddus      18-11       7     0    +++    6.63
   430 H Davis & Elkins         17- 3      14    16           0.00
   507 H Alderson Broaddus      16-11       5     0    ++     4.63

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 A Wilmington (OH)        21- 6   
   324 A Wooster                 5-16   
   330 A Walsh                   8-18     -10    -1    ---   -8.34
   401 A Ohio Northern          11-12   
   406 A Baldwin Wallace        13-19   
   423 H Oberlin                 2-19   
   227 A Wilmington (OH)        21- 6   
   301 A Alabama-Huntsville     10-20     -10    -4    --    -5.59
   313 A Lake Erie               4-13      -9    -4    --    -4.53
   324 A Wooster                 5-16   
   401 A Ohio Northern          11-12   
   406 A Baldwin Wallace        13-19   
   423 H Oberlin                 2-19   
   227 A Wilmington (OH)        21- 6   
   324 A Wooster                 5-16   
   401 A Ohio Northern          11-12   
   406 A Baldwin Wallace        13-19   
   417 A Siena Heights          18-14       4     6    -     -2.74
   423 H Oberlin                 2-19   

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 A Wilmington (OH)        21- 6   
   324 A Wooster                 5-16   
   401 A Ohio Northern          11-12   
   406 A Baldwin Wallace        13-19   
   423 H Oberlin                 2-19   
   428 H Alderson Broaddus      18-11       7     0    +++    6.63
   227 A Wilmington (OH)        21- 6   
   324 A Wooster                 5-16   
   401 A Ohio Northern          11-12   
   406 A Baldwin Wallace        13-19   
   423 H Oberlin                 2-19   
   507 H Alderson Broaddus      16-11       5     0    ++     4.63
   227 A Wilmington (OH)        21- 6   
   320 A Urbana                 22- 9      13     7    +      2.27
   324 A Wooster                 5-16   
   401 A Ohio Northern          11-12   
   406 A Baldwin Wallace        13-19   
   414 A Alderson Broaddus      13-11       2    -1    +      3.40
   423 H Oberlin                 2-19   
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 63.18 Local Power Rank...........    88
 Local SOS Rating......... 27.97 Local SOS Rank.............   108
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    82
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   121
 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    41
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    8.7
/