Conf = Great Midwest Region = North State = OH Nickname = Arrows Coach = Ed KarasekGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 71.9025879 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 227 A Wilmington (OH) Ohio ( 2-14, 53.2) 21- 6 229 N Montevallo Gulf South ( 6-12, 58.6) 18-13 301 A Alabama-Huntsville Gulf South (14- 4, 66.7) 10-20 311 A Notre Dame (OH) Mountain East ( 5- 6, 62.6) 13-14 313 A Lake Erie Great Lakes ( 6-11, 66.8) 4-13 320 A Urbana Mountain East ( 1-13, 54.6) 22- 9 324 A Wooster North Coast (11- 6, 69.5) 5-16 330 A Walsh Great Lakes ( 5-13, 64.0) 8-18 401 A Ohio Northern Ohio ( 7- 9, 58.0) 11-12 406 A Baldwin Wallace Ohio (11- 7, 70.8) 13-19 414 A Alderson Broaddus Great Midwest ( 9-10, 63.7) 13-11 415 A Davis & Elkins Great Midwest ( 1-10, 47.2) 21- 9 417 A Siena Heights NAIA NWLL ( 7-10, 55.6) 18-14 423 H Oberlin North Coast (10- 7, 72.0) 2-19 428 H Alderson Broaddus Great Midwest ( 9-10, 63.7) 18-11 430 H Davis & Elkins Great Midwest ( 1-10, 47.2) 17- 3 507 H Alderson Broaddus Great Midwest ( 9-10, 63.7) 16-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 A Wilmington (OH) 21- 6 15 9 n/a 229 N Montevallo 18-13 5 4 0.46 301 A Alabama-Huntsville 10-20 -10 -4 -- -5.59 311 A Notre Dame (OH) 13-14 -1 0 -0.67 313 A Lake Erie 4-13 -9 -4 -- -4.53 320 A Urbana 22- 9 13 7 + 2.27 324 A Wooster 5-16 -11 -7 n/a 330 A Walsh 8-18 -10 -1 --- -8.34 401 A Ohio Northern 11-12 -1 4 n/a 406 A Baldwin Wallace 13-19 -6 -8 n/a 414 A Alderson Broaddus 13-11 2 -1 + 3.40 415 A Davis & Elkins 21- 9 12 15 0.00 417 A Siena Heights 18-14 4 6 - -2.74 423 H Oberlin 2-19 -17 -7 n/a 428 H Alderson Broaddus 18-11 7 0 +++ 6.63 430 H Davis & Elkins 17- 3 14 16 0.00 507 H Alderson Broaddus 16-11 5 0 ++ 4.63UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 A Wilmington (OH) 21- 6 324 A Wooster 5-16 330 A Walsh 8-18 -10 -1 --- -8.34 401 A Ohio Northern 11-12 406 A Baldwin Wallace 13-19 423 H Oberlin 2-19 227 A Wilmington (OH) 21- 6 301 A Alabama-Huntsville 10-20 -10 -4 -- -5.59 313 A Lake Erie 4-13 -9 -4 -- -4.53 324 A Wooster 5-16 401 A Ohio Northern 11-12 406 A Baldwin Wallace 13-19 423 H Oberlin 2-19 227 A Wilmington (OH) 21- 6 324 A Wooster 5-16 401 A Ohio Northern 11-12 406 A Baldwin Wallace 13-19 417 A Siena Heights 18-14 4 6 - -2.74 423 H Oberlin 2-19OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 A Wilmington (OH) 21- 6 324 A Wooster 5-16 401 A Ohio Northern 11-12 406 A Baldwin Wallace 13-19 423 H Oberlin 2-19 428 H Alderson Broaddus 18-11 7 0 +++ 6.63 227 A Wilmington (OH) 21- 6 324 A Wooster 5-16 401 A Ohio Northern 11-12 406 A Baldwin Wallace 13-19 423 H Oberlin 2-19 507 H Alderson Broaddus 16-11 5 0 ++ 4.63 227 A Wilmington (OH) 21- 6 320 A Urbana 22- 9 13 7 + 2.27 324 A Wooster 5-16 401 A Ohio Northern 11-12 406 A Baldwin Wallace 13-19 414 A Alderson Broaddus 13-11 2 -1 + 3.40 423 H Oberlin 2-19/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 63.18 Local Power Rank........... 88 Local SOS Rating......... 27.97 Local SOS Rank............. 108 Local RPI Rating......... 0.45 Local RPI Rank............. 82 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 121 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 41 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 8.7