Conf = Atlantic Coast Region = South State = NC Nickname = Tar Heels Coach = Jenny LevyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 98.0783615 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 206 A James Madison Colonial (10-10, 91.3) 11- 7 212 A High Point Big South (13- 6, 87.6) 17- 5 214 H San Diego State MPSF ( 4-11, 82.7) 20- 7 220 H Florida Big East (18- 2, 96.2) 15-16 227 H Maryland Big Ten (22- 1, 99.9) 7- 8 306 H Albany America East (11- 6, 93.4) 20- 9 312 A Virginia Atlantic Coas ( 9- 9, 91.8) 11-10 o 315 A Elon Colonial (10- 7, 88.9) 13- 2 320 A Northwestern Big Ten (11-10, 94.9) 9- 8 o 326 A Boston College Atlantic Coas (10- 9, 92.4) 13-12 330 H Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas ( 5-13, 84.8) 15- 6 403 H Notre Dame Atlantic Coas (14- 7, 97.0) 14- 8 409 H Louisville Atlantic Coas (12- 6, 93.1) 15- 5 416 A Syracuse Atlantic Coas (19- 6, 95.6) 12-11 423 H Duke Atlantic Coas (11- 9, 94.0) 16- 8 428 A Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas ( 5-13, 84.8) 19- 6 429 N Duke Atlantic Coas (11- 9, 94.0) 7- 6 501 N Syracuse Atlantic Coas (19- 6, 95.6) 15-14 o 515 H Duke Atlantic Coas (11- 9, 94.0) 15-10 521 H Notre Dame Atlantic Coas (14- 7, 97.0) 10- 6 527 N Penn State Big Ten (14- 7, 94.0) 12-11 529 N Maryland Big Ten (22- 1, 99.9) 13- 7PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 A James Madison 11- 7 4 5 -1.59 212 A High Point 17- 5 12 9 0.69 214 H San Diego State 20- 7 13 16 0.00 220 H Florida 15-16 -1 3 -- -4.06 227 H Maryland 7- 8 -1 0 -0.31 306 H Albany 20- 9 11 5 ++ 4.18 312 A Virginia 11-10 o 1 5 -- -4.15 315 A Elon 13- 2 11 7 + 2.00 320 A Northwestern 9- 8 o 1 2 -1.02 326 A Boston College 13-12 1 4 - -3.55 330 H Virginia Tech 15- 6 9 14 -1.00 403 H Notre Dame 14- 8 6 2 + 3.80 409 H Louisville 15- 5 10 6 + 3.86 416 A Syracuse 12-11 1 1 -0.37 423 H Duke 16- 8 8 5 + 2.80 428 A Virginia Tech 19- 6 13 12 0.00 429 N Duke 7- 6 1 4 - -3.06 501 N Syracuse 15-14 o 1 2 -1.51 515 H Duke 15-10 5 5 -0.20 521 H Notre Dame 10- 6 4 2 1.80 527 N Penn State 12-11 1 4 - -3.06 529 N Maryland 13- 7 6 -1 +++ 7.82UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 H Florida 15-16 -1 3 -- -4.06 312 A Virginia 11-10 o 1 5 -- -4.15 326 A Boston College 13-12 1 4 - -3.55 429 N Duke 7- 6 1 4 - -3.06 527 N Penn State 12-11 1 4 - -3.06OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 529 N Maryland 13- 7 6 -1 +++ 7.82 306 H Albany 20- 9 11 5 ++ 4.18 315 A Elon 13- 2 11 7 + 2.00 403 H Notre Dame 14- 8 6 2 + 3.80 409 H Louisville 15- 5 10 6 + 3.86 423 H Duke 16- 8 8 5 + 2.80/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 98.08 Local Power Rank........... 2 Local SOS Rating......... 83.47 Local SOS Rank............. 2 Local RPI Rating......... 0.71 Local RPI Rank............. 2 Championship Probability . 23.0 Championship Rank ....... 2 Local Quality Win Rating.280.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 1 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 20- 2 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 6.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 6.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 6.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.7