Conf = Great Lakes Region = North State = OH Nickname = Dragons Coach = Erica BrownGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.2824554 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 221 A Seton Hill PSAC ( 8-10, 73.5) 9-10 229 A Mount Olive Carolinas (13- 6, 73.6) 13-14 302 A Pfeiffer Carolinas ( 6-12, 66.8) 10- 9 306 H Mercyhurst PSAC (17- 3, 77.9) 10-18 311 A Wheeling Jesuit Mountain East (12- 6, 67.0) 13- 7 320 A Findlay Great Lakes (12- 8, 68.2) 11-12 324 H Walsh Great Lakes ( 5-13, 64.0) 16- 7 326 H Lake Erie Great Lakes ( 6-11, 66.8) 17- 8 330 H Findlay Great Lakes (12- 8, 68.2) 20- 9 401 A Grand Valley State Great Lakes (15- 5, 77.9) 10-13 408 A McKendree Great Lakes ( 9-10, 68.3) 18-15 410 A Indianapolis Great Lakes ( 6-12, 66.9) 15- 5 416 H Grand Valley State Great Lakes (15- 5, 77.9) 16-15 o 422 A Lake Erie Great Lakes ( 6-11, 66.8) 11- 3 424 A Walsh Great Lakes ( 5-13, 64.0) 19- 7 429 H Indianapolis Great Lakes ( 6-12, 66.9) 18-14 501 H McKendree Great Lakes ( 9-10, 68.3) 23-10 506 H Findlay Great Lakes (12- 8, 68.2) 10-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 A Seton Hill 9-10 -1 -2 1.11 229 A Mount Olive 13-14 -1 -2 1.20 302 A Pfeiffer 10- 9 1 4 - -3.58 306 H Mercyhurst 10-18 -8 -4 - -3.30 311 A Wheeling Jesuit 13- 7 6 4 1.56 320 A Findlay 11-12 -1 3 -- -4.18 324 H Walsh 16- 7 9 9 -0.21 326 H Lake Erie 17- 8 9 6 + 2.61 330 H Findlay 20- 9 11 4 ++ 5.06 401 A Grand Valley State 10-13 -3 -6 + 3.47 408 A McKendree 18-15 3 3 -0.07 410 A Indianapolis 15- 5 10 4 ++ 5.52 416 H Grand Valley State 16-15 o 1 -4 ++ 5.70 422 A Lake Erie 11- 3 8 4 + 3.37 424 A Walsh 19- 7 12 7 + 2.56 429 H Indianapolis 18-14 4 6 - -2.25 501 H McKendree 23-10 13 4 ++ 5.16 506 H Findlay 10-13 -3 4 --- -7.94UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 506 H Findlay 10-13 -3 4 --- -7.94 320 A Findlay 11-12 -1 3 -- -4.18 302 A Pfeiffer 10- 9 1 4 - -3.58 306 H Mercyhurst 10-18 -8 -4 - -3.30 429 H Indianapolis 18-14 4 6 - -2.25OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 330 H Findlay 20- 9 11 4 ++ 5.06 410 A Indianapolis 15- 5 10 4 ++ 5.52 416 H Grand Valley State 16-15 o 1 -4 ++ 5.70 501 H McKendree 23-10 13 4 ++ 5.16 326 H Lake Erie 17- 8 9 6 + 2.61 401 A Grand Valley State 10-13 -3 -6 + 3.47 422 A Lake Erie 11- 3 8 4 + 3.37 424 A Walsh 19- 7 12 7 + 2.56/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 72.28 Local Power Rank........... 26 Local SOS Rating......... 40.59 Local SOS Rank............. 48 Local RPI Rating......... 0.56 Local RPI Rank............. 29 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 116 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 33 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.7