Conf = Atlantic Sun Region = South State = VA Nickname = Monarchs Coach = Heather HoltGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 83.1349030 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 217 A Longwood Big South ( 8-10, 81.2) 14-13 220 H Campbell Big South (10- 9, 81.2) 12-11 227 H Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas ( 5-13, 84.8) 10- 7 302 H Richmond Atlantic 10 ( 9-10, 84.8) 7-13 305 H Liberty Big South ( 5-13, 79.2) 12- 8 310 A William & Mary Colonial ( 7- 9, 85.0) 14-17 312 A American Patriot Leagu ( 5-12, 81.9) 7- 6 319 A George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 4-13, 79.7) 10- 7 326 H Virginia Commonwealth Atlantic 10 ( 3-14, 76.6) 19- 2 403 H Furman Atlantic Sun (12- 7, 81.5) 9- 6 408 A Stetson Atlantic Sun ( 5-12, 75.3) 13- 9 410 A Jacksonville Atlantic Sun (13- 5, 88.9) 6-16 415 H Mercer Atlantic Sun ( 7-11, 74.8) 16- 4 417 H Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun ( 5-12, 73.5) 18- 7 423 H Howard Atlantic Sun ( 0-14, 64.0) 20- 4 429 A Detroit Atlantic Sun (12- 8, 80.0) 17-12 501 A Central Michigan Atlantic Sun ( 6-10, 75.1) 17- 8 506 N Furman Atlantic Sun (12- 7, 81.5) 10- 9 508 N Detroit Atlantic Sun (12- 8, 80.0) 11-10 o 513 A Towson Colonial (16- 4, 91.8) 5-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 A Longwood 14-13 1 0 0.17 220 H Campbell 12-11 1 3 - -2.08 227 H Virginia Tech 10- 7 3 0 + 3.51 302 H Richmond 7-13 -6 0 -- -5.47 305 H Liberty 12- 8 4 5 -1.10 310 A William & Mary 14-17 -3 -3 0.04 312 A American 7- 6 1 0 0.93 319 A George Washington 10- 7 3 2 0.74 326 H Virginia Commonwealth 19- 2 17 7 + 2.28 403 H Furman 9- 6 3 2 0.19 408 A Stetson 13- 9 4 6 - -2.65 410 A Jacksonville 6-16 -10 -6 - -3.13 415 H Mercer 16- 4 12 9 0.50 417 H Kennesaw State 18- 7 11 10 0.00 423 H Howard 20- 4 16 20 0.00 429 A Detroit 17-12 5 1 + 3.02 501 A Central Michigan 17- 8 9 6 + 2.13 506 N Furman 10- 9 1 1 -0.67 508 N Detroit 11-10 o 1 3 - -2.12 513 A Towson 5-16 -11 -9 -0.19UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 H Richmond 7-13 -6 0 -- -5.47 220 H Campbell 12-11 1 3 - -2.08 408 A Stetson 13- 9 4 6 - -2.65 410 A Jacksonville 6-16 -10 -6 - -3.13 508 N Detroit 11-10 o 1 3 - -2.12OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 H Virginia Tech 10- 7 3 0 + 3.51 326 H Virginia Commonwealth 19- 2 17 7 + 2.28 429 A Detroit 17-12 5 1 + 3.02 501 A Central Michigan 17- 8 9 6 + 2.13/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 83.13 Local Power Rank........... 72 Local SOS Rating......... 57.88 Local SOS Rank............. 97 Local RPI Rating......... 0.54 Local RPI Rank............. 33 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 80 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 25 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.0