Conf = Gulf South                 Region = South        State = AL
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Frank Rogers            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   67.3632431    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 205 H Point                  NAIA NWLL     (10- 6, 59.4)    12- 8   
 210 H Alabama-Huntsville     Gulf South    (14- 4, 66.7)     7-17   
 213 H Reinhardt              NAIA NWLL     ( 9- 5, 57.8)    15-18   
 220 N Saint Mary (KS)        NAIA NWLL     ( 2-10, 46.7)    20- 3   
 220 A Oklahoma Baptist       Rocky Mountai ( 4- 7, 59.4)    18-17  o
 227 H Shorter                Gulf South    ( 4-11, 64.7)     8-17   
 229 N Ursuline               Great Midwest ( 9- 8, 63.2)    13-18   
 305 H Truett-McConnell       NAIA NWLL     ( 2-16, 45.6)    22- 3   
 308 A Birmingham-Southern    SAA           (12- 5, 66.5)     7-21   
 311 H Tennessee Wesleyan     NAIA NWLL     (11- 7, 62.5)    16-22   
 319 H Emmanuel (GA)          Carolinas     ( 8- 9, 61.7)    13-14   
 323 H Oglethorpe             SAA           ( 3-12, 54.5)    13-10   
 402 A Davis & Elkins         Great Midwest ( 1-10, 47.2)    23- 9   
 403 A Alderson Broaddus      Great Midwest ( 9-10, 63.7)     4-20   
 408 A Alabama-Huntsville     Gulf South    (14- 4, 66.7)     5-18   
 410 H Young Harris           Gulf South    (13- 5, 68.4)     5-20   
 413 A Shorter                Gulf South    ( 4-11, 64.7)    10-16   
 422 A Young Harris           Gulf South    (13- 5, 68.4)     2-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   205 H Point                  12- 8       4     0    +      3.84
   210 H Alabama-Huntsville      7-17     -10    -7    -     -2.82
   213 H Reinhardt              15-18      -3     1    --    -4.71
   220 N Saint Mary (KS)        20- 3      17    11           0.00
   220 A Oklahoma Baptist       18-17  o    1    -1    +      2.64
   227 H Shorter                 8-17      -9    -5    -     -3.81
   229 N Ursuline               13-18      -5    -4          -0.46
   305 H Truett-McConnell       22- 3      19    13           0.00
   308 A Birmingham-Southern     7-21     -14    -8          n/a  
   311 H Tennessee Wesleyan     16-22      -6    -2    -     -3.05
   319 H Emmanuel (GA)          13-14      -1    -2           1.13
   323 H Oglethorpe             13-10       3     5          n/a  
   402 A Davis & Elkins         23- 9      14    10           0.00
   403 A Alderson Broaddus       4-20     -16    -5    --    -4.06
   408 A Alabama-Huntsville      5-18     -13    -8          -1.06
   410 H Young Harris            5-20     -15    -8          -1.16
   413 A Shorter                10-16      -6    -6           0.96
   422 A Young Harris            2-19     -17   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 A Birmingham-Southern     7-21   
   323 H Oglethorpe             13-10   
   213 H Reinhardt              15-18      -3     1    --    -4.71
   308 A Birmingham-Southern     7-21   
   323 H Oglethorpe             13-10   
   403 A Alderson Broaddus       4-20     -16    -5    --    -4.06
   210 H Alabama-Huntsville      7-17     -10    -7    -     -2.82
   227 H Shorter                 8-17      -9    -5    -     -3.81
   308 A Birmingham-Southern     7-21   
   311 H Tennessee Wesleyan     16-22      -6    -2    -     -3.05
   323 H Oglethorpe             13-10   

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 A Birmingham-Southern     7-21   
   323 H Oglethorpe             13-10   
   308 A Birmingham-Southern     7-21   
   323 H Oglethorpe             13-10   
   205 H Point                  12- 8       4     0    +      3.84
   220 A Oklahoma Baptist       18-17  o    1    -1    +      2.64
   308 A Birmingham-Southern     7-21   
   323 H Oglethorpe             13-10   
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 58.64 Local Power Rank...........   103
 Local SOS Rating......... 29.14 Local SOS Rank.............   102
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............    98
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    75
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   112
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   15.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -12.7
/