Conf = Big South Region = South State = VA Nickname = Lancers Coach = Elaine JonesGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 81.1711731 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Navy Patriot Leagu (13- 6, 88.4) 5-15 214 A Elon Colonial (10- 7, 88.9) 8-15 217 H Old Dominion Atlantic Sun (16- 4, 83.1) 13-14 226 A Mercer Atlantic Sun ( 7-11, 74.8) 13- 7 228 A Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun ( 5-12, 73.5) 18-15 305 H Mount St. Mary's Northeast ( 5-12, 78.2) 16- 9 308 A California MPSF ( 4-12, 80.2) 11-13 310 A St. Mary's (CA) MPSF ( 0-14, 69.1) 25- 6 319 A George Mason Atlantic 10 (12- 5, 86.0) 11-16 326 H Presbyterian Big South ( 3-15, 70.5) 20- 4 402 H Gardner-Webb Big South ( 4-13, 70.8) 22- 8 406 A Liberty Big South ( 5-13, 79.2) 11-12 409 A Winthrop Big South (20- 3, 87.1) 8-10 413 H Radford Big South ( 1-14, 67.4) 16- 4 416 A Coastal Carolina Big South (11- 7, 82.4) 6-14 420 H High Point Big South (13- 6, 87.6) 7-13 423 A Campbell Big South (10- 9, 81.2) 13-12 430 A Campbell Big South (10- 9, 81.2) 5-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Navy 5-15 -10 -6 - -3.93 214 A Elon 8-15 -7 -8 1.91 217 H Old Dominion 13-14 -1 0 -0.17 226 A Mercer 13- 7 6 5 0.74 228 A Kennesaw State 18-15 3 6 - -3.58 305 H Mount St. Mary's 16- 9 7 4 + 2.88 308 A California 11-13 -2 0 -1.87 310 A St. Mary's (CA) 25- 6 19 10 0.00 319 A George Mason 11-16 -5 -5 0.93 326 H Presbyterian 20- 4 16 11 0.00 402 H Gardner-Webb 22- 8 14 11 0.00 406 A Liberty 11-12 -1 0 -1.86 409 A Winthrop 8-10 -2 -7 ++ 5.10 413 H Radford 16- 4 12 14 0.00 416 A Coastal Carolina 6-14 -8 -2 -- -5.60 420 H High Point 7-13 -6 -5 -0.67 423 A Campbell 13-12 1 -1 + 2.16 430 A Campbell 5-14 -9 -1 --- -7.84UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 430 A Campbell 5-14 -9 -1 --- -7.84 416 A Coastal Carolina 6-14 -8 -2 -- -5.60 207 H Navy 5-15 -10 -6 - -3.93 228 A Kennesaw State 18-15 3 6 - -3.58OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 A Winthrop 8-10 -2 -7 ++ 5.10 305 H Mount St. Mary's 16- 9 7 4 + 2.88 423 A Campbell 13-12 1 -1 + 2.16/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 81.17 Local Power Rank........... 83 Local SOS Rating......... 56.98 Local SOS Rank............. 99 Local RPI Rating......... 0.44 Local RPI Rank............. 82 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 65 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 80 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.7