Conf = Big South Region = South State = VA Nickname = Flames Coach = Kelly NangleGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 79.1729431 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas ( 5-13, 84.8) 4- 7 220 A Richmond Atlantic 10 ( 9-10, 84.8) 11-16 224 H Virginia Commonwealth Atlantic 10 ( 3-14, 76.6) 19- 9 227 A Navy Patriot Leagu (13- 6, 88.4) 7-21 305 A Old Dominion Atlantic Sun (16- 4, 83.1) 8-12 309 N Notre Dame Atlantic Coas (14- 7, 97.0) 2-25 312 H Lehigh Patriot Leagu (13- 5, 86.6) 5-16 323 H George Mason Atlantic 10 (12- 5, 86.0) 7-17 326 H William & Mary Colonial ( 7- 9, 85.0) 5-10 330 H Winthrop Big South (20- 3, 87.1) 6-17 402 A Coastal Carolina Big South (11- 7, 82.4) 10-11 o 406 H Longwood Big South ( 8-10, 81.2) 12-11 409 A Campbell Big South (10- 9, 81.2) 10-11 413 A High Point Big South (13- 6, 87.6) 1-19 416 H Gardner-Webb Big South ( 4-13, 70.8) 16-10 420 A Radford Big South ( 1-14, 67.4) 20- 4 423 H Presbyterian Big South ( 3-15, 70.5) 21- 6 430 A Coastal Carolina Big South (11- 7, 82.4) 8- 9 2oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A Virginia Tech 4- 7 -3 -6 + 3.75 220 A Richmond 11-16 -5 -6 1.77 224 H Virginia Commonwealth 19- 9 10 3 +++ 6.25 227 A Navy 7-21 -14 -10 0.00 305 A Old Dominion 8-12 -4 -5 1.10 309 N Notre Dame 2-25 -23 -17 0.00 312 H Lehigh 5-16 -11 -6 - -3.73 323 H George Mason 7-17 -10 -5 -- -4.35 326 H William & Mary 5-10 -5 -4 -0.27 330 H Winthrop 6-17 -11 -6 - -3.17 402 A Coastal Carolina 10-11 o -1 -4 + 3.40 406 H Longwood 12-11 1 0 1.86 409 A Campbell 10-11 -1 -3 + 2.16 413 A High Point 1-19 -18 -9 -0.40 416 H Gardner-Webb 16-10 6 9 - -3.50 420 A Radford 20- 4 16 10 0.00 423 H Presbyterian 21- 6 15 9 0.16 430 A Coastal Carolina 8- 9 2o -1 -4 + 3.40UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 323 H George Mason 7-17 -10 -5 -- -4.35 312 H Lehigh 5-16 -11 -6 - -3.73 330 H Winthrop 6-17 -11 -6 - -3.17 416 H Gardner-Webb 16-10 6 9 - -3.50OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 H Virginia Commonwealth 19- 9 10 3 +++ 6.25 213 A Virginia Tech 4- 7 -3 -6 + 3.75 402 A Coastal Carolina 10-11 o -1 -4 + 3.40 409 A Campbell 10-11 -1 -3 + 2.16 430 A Coastal Carolina 8- 9 2o -1 -4 + 3.40/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 79.17 Local Power Rank........... 91 Local SOS Rating......... 62.44 Local SOS Rank............. 79 Local RPI Rating......... 0.43 Local RPI Rank............. 85 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 63 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 97 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 5-13 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -3.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 10.0