Conf = Atlantic 10 Region = Mid-Atlantic State = VA Nickname = Patriots Coach = Jessy MorganGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 85.9608917 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 305 H Lafayette Patriot Leagu ( 6-11, 83.5) 10- 7 309 A Oregon MPSF ( 9- 8, 86.1) 9-15 311 N Fresno State MPSF ( 5-10, 80.4) 12- 5 316 H Georgetown Big East ( 6-11, 89.7) 11-15 319 H Longwood Big South ( 8-10, 81.2) 16-11 323 A Liberty Big South ( 5-13, 79.2) 17- 7 330 H Mount St. Mary's Northeast ( 5-12, 78.2) 15- 4 401 A George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 4-13, 79.7) 10- 4 403 A Richmond Atlantic 10 ( 9-10, 84.8) 9- 8 408 H Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (20- 2, 92.5) 9-13 410 H Davidson Atlantic 10 ( 8- 9, 84.0) 8- 7 415 A La Salle Atlantic 10 ( 5-11, 80.1) 14- 8 417 H Duquesne Atlantic 10 ( 9- 8, 83.8) 8- 9 422 A St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 ( 3-14, 74.0) 17-10 424 A Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 ( 9-10, 83.9) 16- 7 430 H Virginia Commonwealth Atlantic 10 ( 3-14, 76.6) 16- 5 506 N Richmond Atlantic 10 ( 9-10, 84.8) 10-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 305 H Lafayette 10- 7 3 3 -0.59 309 A Oregon 9-15 -6 -1 -- -4.77 311 N Fresno State 12- 5 7 5 1.45 316 H Georgetown 11-15 -4 -2 -1.43 319 H Longwood 16-11 5 5 -0.93 323 A Liberty 17- 7 10 5 ++ 4.35 330 H Mount St. Mary's 15- 4 11 8 1.09 401 A George Washington 10- 4 6 5 0.91 403 A Richmond 9- 8 1 0 0.98 408 H Massachusetts 9-13 -4 -5 1.41 410 H Davidson 8- 7 1 3 - -2.09 415 A La Salle 14- 8 6 4 1.32 417 H Duquesne 8- 9 -1 3 -- -4.25 422 A St. Bonaventure 17-10 7 10 - -3.00 424 A Saint Joseph's 16- 7 9 0 +++ 8.08 430 H Virginia Commonwealth 16- 5 11 10 0.00 506 N Richmond 10-12 -2 1 - -3.16UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 309 A Oregon 9-15 -6 -1 -- -4.77 417 H Duquesne 8- 9 -1 3 -- -4.25 410 H Davidson 8- 7 1 3 - -2.09 422 A St. Bonaventure 17-10 7 10 - -3.00 506 N Richmond 10-12 -2 1 - -3.16OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 A Saint Joseph's 16- 7 9 0 +++ 8.08 323 A Liberty 17- 7 10 5 ++ 4.35/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 85.96 Local Power Rank........... 50 Local SOS Rating......... 62.16 Local SOS Rank............. 81 Local RPI Rating......... 0.50 Local RPI Rank............. 51 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 47 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 31 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 6.0