Conf = Colonial Region = South State = NC Nickname = Phoenix Coach = Josh HexterGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.9433212 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 212 H San Diego State MPSF ( 4-11, 82.7) 11- 7 214 H Longwood Big South ( 8-10, 81.2) 15- 8 219 A Coastal Carolina Big South (11- 7, 82.4) 5- 4 225 A Duke Atlantic Coas (11- 9, 94.0) 7- 6 228 A Vanderbilt Big East ( 5-11, 87.6) 9-10 304 H Albany America East (11- 6, 93.4) 4-12 312 H Holy Cross Patriot Leagu ( 3-14, 80.7) 14- 3 315 H North Carolina Atlantic Coas (20- 2, 98.1) 2-13 319 A Davidson Atlantic 10 ( 8- 9, 84.0) 12- 6 322 A High Point Big South (13- 6, 87.6) 12- 8 408 H Delaware Colonial (11- 6, 91.2) 5- 4 o 410 H Towson Colonial (16- 4, 91.8) 9-11 415 H James Madison Colonial (10-10, 91.3) 7- 9 422 A Drexel Colonial (10- 7, 87.6) 8- 4 424 A Hofstra Colonial ( 3-13, 83.5) 12- 5 430 A William & Mary Colonial ( 7- 9, 85.0) 9-11 506 N Towson Colonial (16- 4, 91.8) 6- 8PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 212 H San Diego State 11- 7 4 7 - -3.36 214 H Longwood 15- 8 7 8 -1.91 219 A Coastal Carolina 5- 4 1 5 -- -4.37 225 A Duke 7- 6 1 -6 +++ 7.21 228 A Vanderbilt 9-10 -1 0 -1.20 304 H Albany 4-12 -8 -3 -- -4.68 312 H Holy Cross 14- 3 11 9 0.67 315 H North Carolina 2-13 -11 -7 - -2.00 319 A Davidson 12- 6 6 3 + 2.20 322 A High Point 12- 8 4 0 + 3.83 408 H Delaware 5- 4 o 1 -1 + 2.10 410 H Towson 9-11 -2 -1 -0.27 415 H James Madison 7- 9 -2 -1 -0.73 422 A Drexel 8- 4 4 0 + 3.76 424 A Hofstra 12- 5 7 4 + 2.65 430 A William & Mary 9-11 -2 2 -- -4.77 506 N Towson 6- 8 -2 -2 0.87UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 219 A Coastal Carolina 5- 4 1 5 -- -4.37 304 H Albany 4-12 -8 -3 -- -4.68 430 A William & Mary 9-11 -2 2 -- -4.77 212 H San Diego State 11- 7 4 7 - -3.36 315 H North Carolina 2-13 -11 -7 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 A Duke 7- 6 1 -6 +++ 7.21 319 A Davidson 12- 6 6 3 + 2.20 322 A High Point 12- 8 4 0 + 3.83 408 H Delaware 5- 4 o 1 -1 + 2.10 422 A Drexel 8- 4 4 0 + 3.76 424 A Hofstra 12- 5 7 4 + 2.65/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 88.94 Local Power Rank........... 31 Local SOS Rating......... 72.84 Local SOS Rank............. 35 Local RPI Rating......... 0.55 Local RPI Rank............. 29 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 42 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 38 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -8.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -8.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.0