Erie                          6 - 5


 
                                                           State = NY
   Nickname = Kats                   Coach  = Gary Boughton           



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   83.3771820    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Harford                              (14- 4, 73.4)     4-13   
 402 H Jefferson                            ( 7- 7, 65.2)    19-13   
 409 A Herkimer                             ( 5- 6, 63.3)     9- 8   
 413 H Broome                               ( 1- 8, 59.1)    16- 7   
 416 A Mohawk Valley                        ( 3- 9, 63.9)     8-17   
 418 A Broome                               ( 1- 8, 59.1)    16- 8   
 420 H Onondaga                             (13- 4, 78.8)     7-17   
 423 H North Country                        ( 2- 7, 51.8)    15- 1   
 424 H Mohawk Valley                        ( 3- 9, 63.9)    13- 7   
 430 A Monroe                               (17- 0, 81.9)     1-21   
 507 A Onondaga                             (13- 4, 78.8)     2-17   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Harford                 4-13      -9    -7          -1.82
   402 H Jefferson              19-13       6     1    ++     4.97
   409 A Herkimer                9- 8       1     1          -0.25
   413 H Broome                 16- 7       9     7           1.86
   416 A Mohawk Valley           8-17      -9     0    ---   -9.65
   418 A Broome                 16- 8       8     5    +      2.58
   420 H Onondaga                7-17     -10   -12           0.00
   423 H North Country          15- 1      14    14           0.00
   424 H Mohawk Valley          13- 7       6     2    +      3.63
   430 A Monroe                  1-21     -20   -17           0.00
   507 A Onondaga                2-17     -15   -14           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Mohawk Valley           8-17      -9     0    ---   -9.65


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Jefferson              19-13       6     1    ++     4.97
   418 A Broome                 16- 8       8     5    +      2.58
   424 H Mohawk Valley          13- 7       6     2    +      3.63




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 65.38 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 38.30 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating. 55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.7


  
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