Conf = SAA                        Region = Mid-South    State = KY
   Nickname = Colonels               Coach  = Julie Beer              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.1596222    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 220 A Birmingham-Southern    SAA           (12- 5, 66.5)    13-14   
 221 A Huntingdon             USA South Atl ( 6- 9, 58.9)    18- 7   
 226 H Albion                 MIAA          (10- 7, 64.7)    17- 5   
 228 H Berry                  SAA           ( 8- 8, 64.4)    12- 8   
 307 H Siena Heights          NAIA NWLL     ( 7-10, 55.6)    17- 2   
 308 H Hanover                Ohio River    ( 5-11, 53.7)    16- 2   
 312 H Sewanee                SAA           ( 7-11, 67.1)    15-12   
 315 A Mount St. Joseph       Ohio River    ( 7- 9, 58.6)    18- 5   
 319 H Roanoke                Old Dominion  ( 9- 9, 72.4)    11-19   
 322 N Connecticut College    NESCAC        ( 5-10, 74.6)    12-20   
 401 H Meredith               USA South Atl (17- 2, 74.7)    12-16   
 403 H Rhodes                 SAA           (13- 5, 69.2)    15-11   
 409 A Hendrix                SAA           ( 7- 7, 60.6)    18- 5   
 415 H Thomas More            Ohio River    ( 3-11, 53.3)    18- 1   
 416 H Oglethorpe             SAA           ( 3-12, 54.5)    18- 6   
 424 H Sewanee                SAA           ( 7-11, 67.1)    15-12   
 501 H Rhodes                 SAA           (13- 5, 69.2)     7- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 A Birmingham-Southern    13-14      -1     1    -     -2.67
   221 A Huntingdon             18- 7      11     9           0.73
   226 H Albion                 17- 5      12     5    ++     4.52
   228 H Berry                  12- 8       4     5          -1.77
   307 H Siena Heights          17- 2      15    14          n/a  
   308 H Hanover                16- 2      14    16           0.00
   312 H Sewanee                15-12       3     3          -0.04
   315 A Mount St. Joseph       18- 5      13     9           0.41
   319 H Roanoke                11-19      -8    -2    --    -5.77
   322 N Connecticut College    12-20      -8    -5    -     -2.53
   401 H Meredith               12-16      -4    -4           0.57
   403 H Rhodes                 15-11       4     0    +      3.08
   409 A Hendrix                18- 5      13     7    +      2.38
   415 H Thomas More            18- 1      17    16           0.00
   416 H Oglethorpe             18- 6      12    15           0.00
   424 H Sewanee                15-12       3     3          -0.04
   501 H Rhodes                  7- 8      -1     0          -1.92

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 H Siena Heights          17- 2   
   307 H Siena Heights          17- 2   
   319 H Roanoke                11-19      -8    -2    --    -5.77
   220 A Birmingham-Southern    13-14      -1     1    -     -2.67
   307 H Siena Heights          17- 2   
   322 N Connecticut College    12-20      -8    -5    -     -2.53

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 H Siena Heights          17- 2   
   226 H Albion                 17- 5      12     5    ++     4.52
   307 H Siena Heights          17- 2   
   307 H Siena Heights          17- 2   
   403 H Rhodes                 15-11       4     0    +      3.08
   409 A Hendrix                18- 5      13     7    +      2.38
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 69.16 Local Power Rank...........   110
 Local SOS Rating......... 33.27 Local SOS Rank.............   164
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    82
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    50
 Local Quality Win Rating.-70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    74
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   12.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.7
/