Conf = North Coast Region = Mid-South State = PA Nickname = Gators Coach = Ashley HughesGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 81.1548920 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 302 H Augustana CCIW (18- 3, 75.7) 8- 9 305 A Frostburg State Capital ( 6- 8, 69.7) 10- 9 312 H Buffalo State SUNYAC ( 5-12, 74.2) 15-17 315 H Washington & Jefferson Ohio River (13- 4, 63.0) 22- 8 317 H Thiel Ohio River ( 0-11, 50.5) 17- 1 321 N Birmingham-Southern SAA (12- 5, 66.5) 12- 3 323 N St. Lawrence Liberty Leagu (10- 8, 76.9) 6-12 329 A Mount Union Ohio (16- 4, 77.7) 3-18 401 A Baldwin Wallace Ohio (11- 7, 70.8) 9-11 406 A Wooster North Coast (11- 6, 69.5) 16-15 o 410 H Wittenberg North Coast (13- 4, 73.2) 14-10 416 A DePauw North Coast ( 5-11, 65.5) 12-13 o 417 A Ohio Wesleyan North Coast ( 7- 9, 65.0) 12- 6 421 H Hiram North Coast ( 3-13, 55.3) 14- 2 423 H Kenyon North Coast (10- 4, 73.6) 14-16 427 H Oberlin North Coast (10- 7, 72.0) 14-10 430 A Denison North Coast (13- 6, 76.4) 14-16 504 A Wittenberg North Coast (13- 4, 73.2) 10-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 H Augustana 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.55 305 A Frostburg State 10- 9 1 0 0.56 312 H Buffalo State 15-17 -2 -2 0.05 315 H Washington & Jefferson 22- 8 14 9 0.81 317 H Thiel 17- 1 16 21 0.00 321 N Birmingham-Southern 12- 3 9 4 ++ 4.34 323 N St. Lawrence 6-12 -6 -5 -0.25 329 A Mount Union 3-18 -15 -7 - -2.51 401 A Baldwin Wallace 9-11 -2 0 -1.32 406 A Wooster 16-15 o 1 0 0.30 410 H Wittenberg 14-10 4 -1 ++ 5.07 416 A DePauw 12-13 o -1 4 -- -5.67 417 A Ohio Wesleyan 12- 6 6 5 0.85 421 H Hiram 14- 2 12 16 0.00 423 H Kenyon 14-16 -2 -1 -0.53 427 H Oberlin 14-10 4 0 + 3.88 430 A Denison 14-16 -2 -6 ++ 4.27 504 A Wittenberg 10-14 -4 -3 -0.95UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 416 A DePauw 12-13 o -1 4 -- -5.67 329 A Mount Union 3-18 -15 -7 - -2.51OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 N Birmingham-Southern 12- 3 9 4 ++ 4.34 410 H Wittenberg 14-10 4 -1 ++ 5.07 430 A Denison 14-16 -2 -6 ++ 4.27 302 H Augustana 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.55 427 H Oberlin 14-10 4 0 + 3.88/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 71.15 Local Power Rank........... 92 Local SOS Rating......... 40.88 Local SOS Rank............. 94 Local RPI Rating......... 0.54 Local RPI Rank............. 91 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 17 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 157 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.7