2015 NCAA Women's Division II/NAIA
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Adelphi Northeast 10 21 1 1 3 1 2 2 1 5 44.00 2 Lock Haven PSAC 20 1 2 2 2 1 3 2 6 25.00 3 Le Moyne Northeast 10 18 4 3 1 3 4 1 3 8 12.00 4 Florida Southern Sunshine 19 4 8 26 5 6 4 4 14 2.00 5 Lindenwood Rocky Mountain 19 2 4 21 4 3 6 5 14 11.00 6 Stonehill Northeast 10 15 5 6 4 7 7 5 7 19 0.10 7 Rollins Sunshine 13 5 11 9 10 5 7 11 23 0.10 8 Mercyhurst PSAC 15 4 7 10 8 8 10 8 26 2.00 9 New Haven Northeast 10 15 4 5 6 6 11 9 6 26 2.00 10 Limestone Carolinas 15 3 14 46 12 9 15 9 33 0.10 11 LIU Post East Coast 15 4 9 31 9 10 13 15 38 1.00 12 Seton Hill PSAC 14 5 13 14 13 13 11 14 38 0.10 13 Regis (CO) Rocky Mountain 12 5 19 33 20 16 8 18 42 0.10 14 West Chester PSAC 13 5 10 12 15 14 14 16 44 1.00 15 Grand Valley Sta Great Lakes 15 4 12 37 11 17 16 12 45 0.10 16 Mount Olive Carolinas 15 3 18 58 14 15 25 10 50 0.10 17 Davenport NAIA NWLL 16 4 55 91 22 12 19 22 53 0.10 18 Bentley Northeast 10 10 6 17 7 17 21 17 20 58 0.10 19 Queens South Atlantic 13 5 16 41 21 18 26 19 63 0.10 20 Dowling East Coast 13 5 23 34 18 20 23 21 64 0.10 21 Indiana (PA) PSAC 10 8 20 8 29 23 12 31 66 0.10 22 Georgetown (KY) NAIA NWLL 12 4 77 106 27 22 22 23 67 0.10 23 Pfeiffer Carolinas 10 7 28 50 37 25 24 32 81 0.10 24 Fort Lewis Rocky Mountain 9 5 37 48 25 26 37 26 89 0.10 25 Savannah Art & D NAIA NWLL 15 2 56 101 16 19 57 13 89 0.10 26 Bloomsburg PSAC 8 8 21 15 35 29 18 44 91 0.10 27 Lenoir-Rhyne South Atlantic 10 8 26 44 46 28 30 35 93 0.10 28 Belmont Abbey Carolinas 11 7 31 61 40 31 36 29 96 0.10 29 Saint Leo Sunshine 9 8 39 32 49 30 31 36 97 0.10 30 Assumption Northeast 10 10 8 32 16 26 37 28 34 99 0.10 31 Indiana Tech NAIA NWLL 11 8 67 87 69 24 21 56 101 0.10 32 Saint Anselm Northeast 10 8 8 15 11 31 35 27 39 101 0.10 33 Slippery Rock PSAC 9 8 22 19 48 34 33 48 115 0.10 34 Colorado Mesa Rocky Mountain 9 6 41 47 33 27 59 30 116 0.10 35 Holy Family CACC South 14 3 30 52 19 33 66 17 116 0.10 36 St. Thomas Aquin East Coast 10 6 36 43 38 36 51 33 120 0.10 37 Franklin Pierce Northeast 10 7 8 40 13 41 43 38 52 133 0.10 38 Saint Michael's Northeast 10 6 9 34 5 47 45 29 59 133 0.10 39 Tiffin Great Lakes 11 8 25 45 50 41 40 53 134 0.10 40 Florida Tech Sunshine 7 9 47 40 63 38 35 62 135 0.10 41 Shepherd Mountain East 12 5 38 53 24 40 71 24 135 0.10 42 McKendree Great Lakes 11 7 48 72 34 50 47 41 138 0.10 43 S. New Hampshire Northeast 10 8 7 29 18 30 53 48 38 139 0.10 44 Gannon PSAC 8 9 24 20 54 42 42 60 144 0.10 45 Millersville PSAC 6 11 27 17 76 49 20 80 149 0.10 46 Molloy East Coast 9 7 45 49 52 46 53 50 149 0.10 47 Findlay Great Lakes 8 10 50 38 60 56 32 68 156 0.10 48 Roberts Wesleyan East Coast 8 7 35 39 55 44 55 58 157 0.10 49 Bridgeport East Coast 12 4 44 74 23 59 82 25 166 0.10 50 East Stroudsburg PSAC 8 8 33 27 51 54 58 54 166 0.10 51 Robert Morris (I NAIA NWLL 13 6 91 103 53 32 83 51 166 0.10 52 Tampa Sunshine 5 11 62 35 87 51 34 81 166 0.10 53 Aquinas NAIA NWLL 8 9 80 90 83 48 43 76 167 0.10 54 Catawba South Atlantic 9 9 66 69 74 47 49 71 167 0.10 55 Philadelphia CACC South 10 8 43 42 57 62 50 57 169 0.10 56 Lawrence Tech NAIA NWLL 11 7 74 95 61 39 85 49 173 0.10 57 Tennessee Wesley NAIA NWLL 13 4 79 104 28 52 94 27 173 0.10 58 Georgian Court CACC North 11 6 49 59 44 58 70 46 174 0.10 59 Siena Heights NAIA NWLL 8 6 83 96 56 60 68 47 175 0.10 60 Coker South Atlantic 9 8 71 76 64 57 60 61 178 0.10 61 Westminster Independent 3 2 42 62 32 85 69 28 182 0.10 62 Edinboro PSAC 6 9 46 30 62 65 54 67 186 0.10 63 Pace Northeast 10 5 11 51 23 77 70 44 83 197 0.10 64 Tusculum South Atlantic 9 5 72 92 43 64 92 43 199 0.10 65 Emmanuel (GA) Carolinas 7 7 94 97 59 68 78 55 201 0.10 66 Oklahoma Baptist NAIA NWLL 11 4 106 113 36 61 103 37 201 0.10 67 Wingate South Atlantic 9 8 76 85 73 63 67 73 203 0.10 68 Young Harris Independent 11 5 69 98 39 67 98 40 205 0.10 69 Lees-McRae Carolinas 7 9 82 86 80 66 64 79 209 0.10 70 American Interna Northeast 10 5 12 61 28 82 78 45 88 211 0.10 71 Mercy East Coast 7 10 58 55 86 71 56 85 212 0.10 72 Wheeling Jesuit Mountain East 6 7 63 64 58 72 80 63 215 0.10 73 Converse Carolinas 9 9 84 84 68 55 97 65 217 0.10 74 Merrimack Northeast 10 3 14 52 22 99 77 39 105 221 0.10 75 Shorter Independent 3 9 86 68 84 73 65 84 222 0.10 76 Lake Erie Great Lakes 6 8 57 63 71 76 74 75 225 0.10 77 Shippensburg PSAC 3 14 53 25 108 75 41 111 227 0.10 78 Adams State Rocky Mountain 1 12 75 36 101 90 52 99 241 0.10 79 CSU-Pueblo Rocky Mountain 4 12 85 57 85 81 75 86 242 0.10 80 West Virginia We Mountain East 13 5 68 93 45 84 115 45 244 0.10 81 Asbury NAIA NWLL 3 7 110 110 75 79 96 70 245 0.10 82 Reinhardt NAIA NWLL 7 10 89 100 92 69 87 89 245 0.10 83 Rockhurst Rocky Mountain 6 7 81 70 66 80 99 66 245 0.10 84 Southern Connect Northeast 10 3 14 54 29 100 92 46 109 247 0.10 85 Newberry South Atlantic 5 10 88 78 91 82 76 92 250 0.10 86 Lourdes NAIA NWLL 4 10 99 81 98 87 73 95 255 0.10 87 Chestnut Hill CACC South 7 10 64 66 89 88 81 90 259 0.10 88 Kutztown PSAC 1 15 59 24 112 86 61 112 259 0.10 89 Queens (NY) East Coast 2 12 70 56 111 91 63 108 262 0.10 90 Wilmington CACC South 7 11 60 51 94 74 93 96 263 0.10 91 Mo. Baptist NAIA NWLL 7 7 104 114 70 83 109 72 264 0.10 92 Columbia (SC) NAIA NWLL 9 8 95 112 65 97 110 64 271 0.10 93 Point NAIA NWLL 8 9 107 108 79 89 105 77 271 0.10 94 Dominican CACC North 4 11 65 60 102 93 79 100 272 0.10 95 Brevard South Atlantic 3 12 92 82 109 94 72 107 273 0.10 96 Erskine Carolinas 1 15 101 73 115 96 62 115 273 0.10 97 Saint Mary (KS) NAIA Indep. 0 3 115 116 42 116 116 42 274 0.10 98 Ave Maria NAIA NWLL 3 10 109 102 96 95 89 93 277 0.10 99 University of DC East Coast 0 12 105 54 104 99 77 101 277 0.10 100 Walsh Great Lakes 5 11 90 80 81 103 102 82 287 0.10 101 Midland NAIA NWLL 3 11 108 107 103 98 88 102 288 0.10 102 UVa-Wise Mountain East 3 11 97 88 106 101 84 103 288 0.10 103 North Greenville Carolinas 1 10 103 94 93 102 95 94 291 0.10 104 Notre Dame (OH) Mountain East 2 7 96 89 67 109 113 69 291 0.10 105 Ursuline Great Lakes 4 12 93 79 88 100 107 87 294 0.10 106 Lincoln Memorial South Atlantic 1 11 112 83 107 106 86 104 296 0.10 107 Caldwell CACC North 3 10 78 71 95 104 100 97 301 0.10 108 Chowan Independent 4 8 100 99 78 111 112 78 301 0.10 109 Pikeville NAIA NWLL 0 7 113 111 72 115 114 74 303 0.10 110 Nyack CACC North 5 12 73 77 110 105 90 110 305 0.10 111 St. Andrews NAIA NWLL 3 13 111 105 97 107 106 98 311 0.10 112 Lindenwood-Belle NAIA NWLL 3 10 114 115 90 110 111 91 312 0.10 113 Urbana Mountain East 1 12 98 75 105 108 101 106 315 0.10 114 Post CACC North 0 16 87 65 116 113 91 116 320 0.10 115 Alderson Broaddu Great Lakes 1 13 102 67 113 112 104 113 329 0.10 116 Truett-McConnell NAIA NWLL 0 14 116 109 114 114 108 114 336 0.10