2015 NCAA Women's Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Maryland Big Ten 21 1 2 5 1 1 4 1 6 26.00 2 North Carolina Atlantic Coast 18 4 1 2 2 2 2 2 6 43.00 3 Syracuse Atlantic Coast 16 8 5 1 3 3 1 6 10 5.00 4 Duke Atlantic Coast 16 5 4 6 6 4 9 3 16 6.00 5 Penn State Big Ten 16 5 6 7 7 7 5 4 16 3.00 6 Princeton Ivy League 16 4 16 11 8 6 7 8 21 0.10 7 Stony Brook America East 18 2 10 26 4 5 13 5 23 0.10 8 Northwestern Big Ten 14 7 14 3 10 9 3 12 24 1.00 9 Virginia Atlantic Coast 12 7 8 4 16 8 6 16 30 3.00 10 Boston College Atlantic Coast 15 4 7 10 5 10 17 7 34 2.00 11 Florida Big East 15 6 3 20 14 13 8 13 34 6.00 12 Loyola Patriot League 17 5 9 18 9 11 14 9 34 0.10 13 James Madison Colonial 15 5 13 16 17 12 19 17 48 0.10 14 Johns Hopkins Independent 14 4 20 28 12 17 20 11 48 1.00 15 Southern Califor MPSF 14 6 22 34 21 19 11 20 50 0.10 16 Albany America East 14 5 11 39 19 20 16 15 51 1.00 17 Notre Dame Atlantic Coast 11 9 19 8 22 21 10 21 52 0.10 18 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 19 2 23 60 11 15 29 10 54 0.10 19 Penn Ivy League 14 5 18 14 18 16 22 18 56 0.10 20 Ohio State Big Ten 13 8 21 22 25 22 12 26 60 1.00 21 Louisville Atlantic Coast 10 8 17 15 24 24 21 24 69 0.10 22 Stanford MPSF 15 3 12 31 13 14 37 19 70 1.00 23 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 17 3 30 88 15 18 44 14 76 0.10 24 Hofstra Colonial 11 6 29 24 30 23 28 28 79 0.10 25 Towson Colonial 9 9 28 19 42 26 15 42 83 0.10 26 Cornell Ivy League 9 7 15 21 32 25 27 32 84 0.10 27 Connecticut Big East 11 7 26 29 27 33 31 31 95 0.10 28 Harvard Ivy League 8 8 27 23 38 35 25 35 95 1.00 29 Vermont America East 11 7 37 49 35 34 34 36 104 0.10 30 Denver MPSF 13 5 31 44 26 27 53 25 105 0.10 31 Georgetown Big East 7 10 35 12 48 31 23 53 107 0.10 32 Delaware Colonial 11 7 25 37 39 29 42 37 108 0.10 33 Canisius Metro Atlantic 13 6 41 54 29 30 49 30 109 0.10 34 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 14 5 43 68 31 28 54 27 109 0.10 35 Navy Patriot League 15 5 24 46 20 32 56 22 110 0.10 36 Colorado MPSF 11 7 34 63 37 46 36 34 116 0.10 37 Virginia Tech Atlantic Coast 6 12 36 17 56 40 24 60 124 0.10 38 Vanderbilt Big East 7 9 33 30 54 37 33 58 128 0.10 39 Richmond Atlantic 10 10 9 56 56 53 36 47 46 129 0.10 40 San Diego State MPSF 9 8 55 57 52 41 41 52 134 0.10 41 UMBC America East 8 9 47 42 46 48 38 48 134 0.10 42 Yale Ivy League 7 8 42 36 58 38 43 54 135 0.10 43 New Hampshire America East 6 10 53 33 64 49 26 63 138 0.10 44 Oregon MPSF 10 8 46 71 50 45 46 47 138 0.10 45 Elon Colonial 8 8 57 47 44 39 58 43 140 0.10 46 Winthrop Big South 17 4 39 90 23 42 83 23 148 0.10 47 William & Mary Colonial 5 11 51 27 65 58 32 66 156 0.10 48 Colgate Patriot League 10 6 32 53 36 43 75 39 157 0.10 49 George Mason Atlantic 10 10 7 65 78 47 44 71 44 159 0.10 50 Lehigh Patriot League 9 8 38 58 49 53 57 50 160 0.10 51 Drexel Colonial 4 12 52 25 80 55 30 76 161 0.10 52 Boston Universit Patriot League 8 10 44 35 62 52 48 62 162 0.10 53 Marist Metro Atlantic 8 9 60 69 66 54 45 64 163 0.10 54 Villanova Big East 9 8 50 38 43 57 59 49 165 0.10 55 Bryant Northeast 14 5 66 87 28 47 95 29 171 0.10 56 Rutgers Big Ten 2 16 59 9 98 56 18 97 171 0.10 57 Monmouth Metro Atlantic 12 6 54 75 40 50 87 40 177 0.10 58 Michigan Big Ten 5 12 48 32 69 73 35 71 179 0.10 59 Dartmouth Ivy League 3 11 40 13 77 61 40 80 181 0.10 60 Temple Big East 10 6 49 51 34 51 91 41 183 0.10 61 Brown Ivy League 7 8 45 45 55 59 70 55 184 0.10 62 Duquesne Atlantic 10 9 9 61 66 60 60 64 61 185 0.10 63 High Point Big South 8 10 58 72 63 62 60 65 187 0.10 64 Furman Atlantic Sun 10 7 94 103 45 67 82 45 194 0.10 65 Old Dominion Atlantic Sun 13 5 69 96 33 64 99 33 196 0.10 66 Detroit Atlantic Sun 10 8 85 93 57 70 73 56 199 0.10 67 La Salle Atlantic 10 8 8 68 81 61 66 79 57 202 0.10 68 Siena Metro Atlantic 10 8 64 85 59 65 78 59 202 0.10 69 Coastal Carolina Big South 11 6 78 97 41 69 96 38 203 0.10 70 Davidson Atlantic 10 6 10 70 76 70 72 65 67 204 0.10 71 George Washingto Atlantic 10 6 10 73 64 78 68 63 73 204 0.10 72 Holy Cross Patriot League 4 14 67 40 95 75 39 92 206 0.10 73 Liberty Big South 9 11 71 79 79 63 69 78 210 0.10 74 Fresno State MPSF 4 11 91 77 82 82 52 82 216 0.10 75 Central Connecti Northeast 6 10 87 84 76 71 72 75 218 0.10 76 Marquette Big East 5 12 63 41 81 74 62 83 219 0.10 77 Binghamton America East 6 11 77 61 75 76 66 79 221 0.10 78 California MPSF 3 13 83 43 89 84 51 89 224 0.10 79 UC Davis MPSF 4 13 72 62 91 79 55 90 224 0.10 80 Robert Morris Northeast 10 7 79 102 51 77 100 51 228 0.10 81 Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 5 11 80 73 84 78 76 81 235 0.10 82 American Patriot League 4 12 74 52 87 85 68 87 240 0.10 83 Iona Metro Atlantic 7 10 76 83 73 80 88 77 245 0.10 84 Columbia Ivy League 5 10 62 50 72 83 92 72 247 0.10 85 Niagara Metro Atlantic 6 12 81 74 86 86 81 86 253 0.10 86 Massachusetts-Lo America East 0 17 99 48 106 98 50 106 254 0.10 87 Sacred Heart Northeast 7 9 89 91 68 88 98 69 255 0.10 88 Longwood Big South 6 12 86 82 88 81 89 88 258 0.10 89 Bucknell Patriot League 2 15 84 55 100 97 61 101 259 0.10 90 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 2 14 93 67 101 93 67 102 262 0.10 91 Wagner Northeast 9 10 75 92 74 87 102 74 263 0.10 92 Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun 5 13 103 100 96 94 77 93 264 0.10 93 Cincinnati Big East 2 15 92 59 102 90 74 103 267 0.10 94 LIU Brooklyn Northeast 7 9 97 104 67 96 104 68 268 0.10 95 Lafayette Patriot League 4 13 82 65 90 91 85 94 270 0.10 96 Mount St. Mary's Northeast 6 11 88 89 83 89 97 85 271 0.10 97 Campbell Big South 5 13 96 99 94 92 86 95 273 0.10 98 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 4 13 90 86 93 95 84 96 275 0.10 99 Mercer Atlantic Sun 5 9 101 107 71 101 105 70 276 0.10 100 Presbyterian Big South 3 14 104 94 103 102 80 100 282 0.10 101 Stetson Atlantic Sun 4 13 98 98 97 99 90 98 287 0.10 102 Howard Atlantic Sun 0 10 107 105 85 105 106 84 295 0.10 103 St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 2 15 95 80 104 100 94 104 298 0.10 104 St. Mary's (CA) MPSF 0 15 102 70 105 103 93 105 301 0.10 105 Delaware State Independent 2 13 106 106 92 107 107 91 305 0.10 106 Saint Francis Northeast 3 13 100 101 99 104 103 99 306 0.10 107 Gardner-Webb Big South 1 16 105 95 107 106 101 107 314 0.10