Conf = Liberty League             Region = East         State = NY
   Nickname = Herons                 Coach  = Brighde Dougherty       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.1641388    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 304 H Hamilton               NESCAC        (12- 6, 81.6)     7- 8   
 307 H Nazareth               Empire Eight  (12- 4, 78.2)    11-12  o
 311 H St. John Fisher        Empire Eight  (14- 6, 80.6)     9-10   
 316 N Connecticut College    NESCAC        ( 4-11, 76.5)    15- 8   
 318 N Denison                North Coast   (11- 7, 76.5)    17-15   
 324 A Brockport              SUNYAC        (10- 7, 82.2)     9-15   
 327 A Bard                   Liberty Leagu ( 2-13, 62.8)    14- 2   
 328 A Vassar                 Liberty Leagu (10- 6, 75.9)     8- 9   
 403 H RIT                    Liberty Leagu ( 7- 9, 75.6)    17-15   
 404 H Rochester              Liberty Leagu ( 9- 8, 75.6)     4- 9   
 408 H Ithaca                 Empire Eight  (11- 8, 81.0)     9-12   
 411 A Union                  Liberty Leagu (13- 4, 81.1)     4-15   
 417 A Clarkson               Liberty Leagu ( 8- 8, 74.4)    10- 6   
 418 A St. Lawrence           Liberty Leagu ( 4-11, 74.9)    11-10   
 424 H Skidmore               Liberty Leagu (13- 5, 77.6)    10-11   
 425 H Rensselaer             Liberty Leagu ( 6- 8, 77.1)    15- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 H Hamilton                7- 8      -1    -3    +      2.37
   307 H Nazareth               11-12  o   -1     0          -1.02
   311 H St. John Fisher         9-10      -1    -2           1.41
   316 N Connecticut College    15- 8       7     0    +++    6.29
   318 N Denison                17-15       2     0           1.36
   324 A Brockport               9-15      -6    -6           0.13
   327 A Bard                   14- 2      12    13           0.00
   328 A Vassar                  8- 9      -1     0          -1.18
   403 H RIT                    17-15       2     2          -0.64
   404 H Rochester               4- 9      -5     2    ---   -7.58
   408 H Ithaca                  9-12      -3    -2          -0.17
   411 A Union                   4-15     -11    -5    --    -4.98
   417 A Clarkson               10- 6       4     1    +      2.25
   418 A St. Lawrence           11-10       1     1          -0.23
   424 H Skidmore               10-11      -1     0          -1.62
   425 H Rensselaer             15- 8       7     1    ++     5.92

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Rochester               4- 9      -5     2    ---   -7.58
   411 A Union                   4-15     -11    -5    --    -4.98

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 N Connecticut College    15- 8       7     0    +++    6.29
   425 H Rensselaer             15- 8       7     1    ++     5.92
   304 H Hamilton                7- 8      -1    -3    +      2.37
   417 A Clarkson               10- 6       4     1    +      2.25
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.16 Local Power Rank...........    47
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.32 Local SOS Rank.............    27
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............   110
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   264
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   155
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   12.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/