Conf = Big East Region = Mid-Atlantic State = TN Nickname = Commodores Coach = Cathy SwezeyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.9370956 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun ( 5-13, 72.3) 24- 1 215 A Liberty Big South ( 9-11, 83.7) 20-10 220 H Boston University Patriot Leagu ( 8-10, 87.6) 16- 9 223 H Denver MPSF (13- 5, 89.6) 9-13 301 A Penn Ivy League (14- 5, 94.0) 11-12 o 308 H Stanford MPSF (15- 3, 95.3) 11-22 315 A Penn State Big Ten (16- 5, 96.4) 10-17 318 A Louisville Atlantic Coas (10- 8, 94.0) 9-16 322 H Florida Big East (15- 6, 98.0) 10-19 325 A Johns Hopkins Independent (14- 4, 93.7) 3-13 328 A Georgetown Big East ( 7-10, 88.5) 6-10 404 H Temple Big East (10- 6, 87.1) 14- 8 408 A Cincinnati Big East ( 2-15, 79.5) 13- 8 412 H Connecticut Big East (11- 7, 91.6) 10- 9 2o 415 H Marquette Big East ( 5-12, 85.6) 11- 9 419 A Villanova Big East ( 9- 8, 87.0) 10-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Kennesaw State 24- 1 23 17 0.00 215 A Liberty 20-10 10 4 ++ 5.65 220 H Boston University 16- 9 7 2 ++ 4.81 223 H Denver 9-13 -4 0 -- -4.17 301 A Penn 11-12 o -1 -5 ++ 4.93 308 H Stanford 11-22 -11 -5 -- -4.47 315 A Penn State 10-17 -7 -8 1.29 318 A Louisville 9-16 -7 -5 -1.06 322 H Florida 10-19 -9 -8 -0.76 325 A Johns Hopkins 3-13 -10 -5 -- -4.39 328 A Georgetown 6-10 -4 0 - -3.56 404 H Temple 14- 8 6 2 + 3.24 408 A Cincinnati 13- 8 5 8 - -3.56 412 H Connecticut 10- 9 2o 1 -1 + 2.77 415 H Marquette 11- 9 2 4 - -2.19 419 A Villanova 10-12 -2 1 - -3.03UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 223 H Denver 9-13 -4 0 -- -4.17 308 H Stanford 11-22 -11 -5 -- -4.47 325 A Johns Hopkins 3-13 -10 -5 -- -4.39 328 A Georgetown 6-10 -4 0 - -3.56 408 A Cincinnati 13- 8 5 8 - -3.56 415 H Marquette 11- 9 2 4 - -2.19 419 A Villanova 10-12 -2 1 - -3.03OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 A Liberty 20-10 10 4 ++ 5.65 220 H Boston University 16- 9 7 2 ++ 4.81 301 A Penn 11-12 o -1 -5 ++ 4.93 404 H Temple 14- 8 6 2 + 3.24 412 H Connecticut 10- 9 2o 1 -1 + 2.77/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 88.94 Local Power Rank........... 33 Local SOS Rating......... 75.46 Local SOS Rank............. 30 Local RPI Rating......... 0.52 Local RPI Rank............. 37 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 100 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 54 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 7.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 7.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.3