Conf = Atlantic Coast Region = South State = NC Nickname = Tar Heels Coach = Jenny LevyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 99.9000015 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 201 H James Madison Colonial (15- 5, 94.9) 13- 9 207 A Florida Big East (15- 6, 98.0) 17-11 213 H High Point Big South ( 8-10, 86.0) 19- 5 222 A Maryland Big Ten (21- 1, 99.8) 11-13 228 H Northwestern Big Ten (14- 7, 94.8) 12-11 301 H Elon Colonial ( 8- 8, 86.1) 21- 2 307 H Virginia Atlantic Coas (12- 7, 95.8) 10- 7 313 N Albany America East (14- 5, 95.5) 10- 6 315 A Towson Colonial ( 9- 9, 91.2) 15-14 2o 321 H Boston College Atlantic Coas (15- 4, 95.9) 9-10 o 325 A Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas ( 6-12, 88.4) 14- 5 329 A Notre Dame Atlantic Coas (11- 9, 93.7) 9- 8 404 A Louisville Atlantic Coas (10- 8, 94.0) 19- 5 411 H Syracuse Atlantic Coas (16- 8, 96.9) 15- 8 417 A Duke Atlantic Coas (16- 5, 97.0) 12- 6 423 N Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas ( 6-12, 88.4) 18-12 424 N Notre Dame Atlantic Coas (11- 9, 93.7) 18- 4 426 N Syracuse Atlantic Coas (16- 8, 96.9) 8- 9 2o 510 H Florida Big East (15- 6, 98.0) 11- 6 516 H Penn State Big Ten (16- 5, 96.4) 11- 8 522 N Duke Atlantic Coas (16- 5, 97.0) 16- 7 524 N Maryland Big Ten (21- 1, 99.8) 8- 9PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 201 H James Madison 13- 9 4 5 -1.87 207 A Florida 17-11 6 0 ++ 5.02 213 H High Point 19- 5 14 14 0.00 222 A Maryland 11-13 -2 0 -1.19 228 H Northwestern 12-11 1 6 -- -5.02 301 H Elon 21- 2 19 14 0.00 307 H Virginia 10- 7 3 4 -1.94 313 N Albany 10- 6 4 4 -0.35 315 A Towson 15-14 2o 1 7 --- -6.82 321 H Boston College 9-10 o -1 4 -- -5.92 325 A Virginia Tech 14- 5 9 10 -1.00 329 A Notre Dame 9- 8 1 5 -- -4.29 404 A Louisville 19- 5 14 5 ++ 4.98 411 H Syracuse 15- 8 7 3 + 3.10 417 A Duke 12- 6 6 1 ++ 4.00 423 N Virginia Tech 18-12 6 11 -- -4.00 424 N Notre Dame 18- 4 14 6 + 3.84 426 N Syracuse 8- 9 2o -1 3 -- -4.02 510 H Florida 11- 6 5 2 + 2.27 516 H Penn State 11- 8 3 4 -1.42 522 N Duke 16- 7 9 2 +++ 6.13 524 N Maryland 8- 9 -1 0 -1.07UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 315 A Towson 15-14 2o 1 7 --- -6.82 228 H Northwestern 12-11 1 6 -- -5.02 321 H Boston College 9-10 o -1 4 -- -5.92 329 A Notre Dame 9- 8 1 5 -- -4.29 423 N Virginia Tech 18-12 6 11 -- -4.00 426 N Syracuse 8- 9 2o -1 3 -- -4.02OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 522 N Duke 16- 7 9 2 +++ 6.13 207 A Florida 17-11 6 0 ++ 5.02 404 A Louisville 19- 5 14 5 ++ 4.98 417 A Duke 12- 6 6 1 ++ 4.00 411 H Syracuse 15- 8 7 3 + 3.10 424 N Notre Dame 18- 4 14 6 + 3.84 510 H Florida 11- 6 5 2 + 2.27/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 99.90 Local Power Rank........... 1 Local SOS Rating......... 87.05 Local SOS Rank............. 2 Local RPI Rating......... 0.70 Local RPI Rank............. 2 Championship Probability . 43.0 Championship Rank ....... 1 Local Quality Win Rating.240.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 2 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 18- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 1.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.7