Conf = Atlantic Coast             Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Tar Heels              Coach  = Jenny Levy              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.9000015    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 201 H James Madison          Colonial      (15- 5, 94.9)    13- 9   
 207 A Florida                Big East      (15- 6, 98.0)    17-11   
 213 H High Point             Big South     ( 8-10, 86.0)    19- 5   
 222 A Maryland               Big Ten       (21- 1, 99.8)    11-13   
 228 H Northwestern           Big Ten       (14- 7, 94.8)    12-11   
 301 H Elon                   Colonial      ( 8- 8, 86.1)    21- 2   
 307 H Virginia               Atlantic Coas (12- 7, 95.8)    10- 7   
 313 N Albany                 America East  (14- 5, 95.5)    10- 6   
 315 A Towson                 Colonial      ( 9- 9, 91.2)    15-14 2o
 321 H Boston College         Atlantic Coas (15- 4, 95.9)     9-10  o
 325 A Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas ( 6-12, 88.4)    14- 5   
 329 A Notre Dame             Atlantic Coas (11- 9, 93.7)     9- 8   
 404 A Louisville             Atlantic Coas (10- 8, 94.0)    19- 5   
 411 H Syracuse               Atlantic Coas (16- 8, 96.9)    15- 8   
 417 A Duke                   Atlantic Coas (16- 5, 97.0)    12- 6   
 423 N Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas ( 6-12, 88.4)    18-12   
 424 N Notre Dame             Atlantic Coas (11- 9, 93.7)    18- 4   
 426 N Syracuse               Atlantic Coas (16- 8, 96.9)     8- 9 2o
 510 H Florida                Big East      (15- 6, 98.0)    11- 6   
 516 H Penn State             Big Ten       (16- 5, 96.4)    11- 8   
 522 N Duke                   Atlantic Coas (16- 5, 97.0)    16- 7   
 524 N Maryland               Big Ten       (21- 1, 99.8)     8- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   201 H James Madison          13- 9       4     5          -1.87
   207 A Florida                17-11       6     0    ++     5.02
   213 H High Point             19- 5      14    14           0.00
   222 A Maryland               11-13      -2     0          -1.19
   228 H Northwestern           12-11       1     6    --    -5.02
   301 H Elon                   21- 2      19    14           0.00
   307 H Virginia               10- 7       3     4          -1.94
   313 N Albany                 10- 6       4     4          -0.35
   315 A Towson                 15-14 2o    1     7    ---   -6.82
   321 H Boston College          9-10  o   -1     4    --    -5.92
   325 A Virginia Tech          14- 5       9    10          -1.00
   329 A Notre Dame              9- 8       1     5    --    -4.29
   404 A Louisville             19- 5      14     5    ++     4.98
   411 H Syracuse               15- 8       7     3    +      3.10
   417 A Duke                   12- 6       6     1    ++     4.00
   423 N Virginia Tech          18-12       6    11    --    -4.00
   424 N Notre Dame             18- 4      14     6    +      3.84
   426 N Syracuse                8- 9 2o   -1     3    --    -4.02
   510 H Florida                11- 6       5     2    +      2.27
   516 H Penn State             11- 8       3     4          -1.42
   522 N Duke                   16- 7       9     2    +++    6.13
   524 N Maryland                8- 9      -1     0          -1.07

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Towson                 15-14 2o    1     7    ---   -6.82
   228 H Northwestern           12-11       1     6    --    -5.02
   321 H Boston College          9-10  o   -1     4    --    -5.92
   329 A Notre Dame              9- 8       1     5    --    -4.29
   423 N Virginia Tech          18-12       6    11    --    -4.00
   426 N Syracuse                8- 9 2o   -1     3    --    -4.02

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   522 N Duke                   16- 7       9     2    +++    6.13
   207 A Florida                17-11       6     0    ++     5.02
   404 A Louisville             19- 5      14     5    ++     4.98
   417 A Duke                   12- 6       6     1    ++     4.00
   411 H Syracuse               15- 8       7     3    +      3.10
   424 N Notre Dame             18- 4      14     6    +      3.84
   510 H Florida                11- 6       5     2    +      2.27
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 99.90 Local Power Rank...........     1
 Local SOS Rating......... 87.05 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.70 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   43.0 Championship Rank .......     1
 Local Quality Win Rating.240.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 18- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/