Conf = Great Lakes Region = North State = OH Nickname = Dragons Coach = Erica BrownGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.7567444 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 308 N Lock Haven PSAC (20- 1, 83.4) 4-15 310 A St. Thomas Aquinas East Coast (10- 6, 71.1) 11-15 312 A Assumption Northeast 10 (10- 8, 71.2) 10-11 o 313 A Franklin Pierce Northeast 10 ( 7- 8, 70.1) 15-16 318 A Roberts Wesleyan East Coast ( 8- 7, 71.1) 10-13 319 A Mercyhurst PSAC (15- 4, 79.1) 11-14 321 A Slippery Rock PSAC ( 9- 8, 74.1) 16-15 324 A Urbana Mountain East ( 1-12, 60.5) 20- 1 327 A Shepherd Mountain East (12- 5, 70.3) 11- 8 329 A Wheeling Jesuit Mountain East ( 6- 7, 68.6) 14- 4 402 H Lake Erie Great Lakes ( 6- 8, 68.8) 17- 8 404 H Ursuline Great Lakes ( 4-12, 61.4) 21- 4 410 H Alderson Broaddus Great Lakes ( 1-13, 58.6) 18- 2 412 A Findlay Great Lakes ( 8-10, 69.0) 22-16 417 A McKendree Great Lakes (11- 7, 69.1) 13- 9 419 A Grand Valley State Great Lakes (15- 4, 77.4) 8-19 424 H Walsh Great Lakes ( 5-11, 61.6) 24- 3 501 N Findlay Great Lakes ( 8-10, 69.0) 26-13 503 A Grand Valley State Great Lakes (15- 4, 77.4) 13-22PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 N Lock Haven 4-15 -11 -10 0.00 310 A St. Thomas Aquinas 11-15 -4 0 -- -4.57 312 A Assumption 10-11 o -1 0 -1.43 313 A Franklin Pierce 15-16 -1 1 - -2.59 318 A Roberts Wesleyan 10-13 -3 0 - -3.52 319 A Mercyhurst 11-14 -3 -7 ++ 4.43 321 A Slippery Rock 16-15 1 -2 + 3.38 324 A Urbana 20- 1 19 11 0.00 327 A Shepherd 11- 8 3 1 1.60 329 A Wheeling Jesuit 14- 4 10 3 +++ 6.95 402 H Lake Erie 17- 8 9 5 + 4.00 404 H Ursuline 21- 4 17 12 0.00 410 H Alderson Broaddus 18- 2 16 15 0.00 412 A Findlay 22-16 6 2 + 3.33 417 A McKendree 13- 9 4 2 1.41 419 A Grand Valley State 8-19 -11 -5 -- -4.30 424 H Walsh 24- 3 21 12 0.00 501 N Findlay 26-13 13 3 +++ 6.24 503 A Grand Valley State 13-22 -9 -5 - -3.30UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 A St. Thomas Aquinas 11-15 -4 0 -- -4.57 419 A Grand Valley State 8-19 -11 -5 -- -4.30 313 A Franklin Pierce 15-16 -1 1 - -2.59 318 A Roberts Wesleyan 10-13 -3 0 - -3.52 503 A Grand Valley State 13-22 -9 -5 - -3.30OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 329 A Wheeling Jesuit 14- 4 10 3 +++ 6.95 501 N Findlay 26-13 13 3 +++ 6.24 319 A Mercyhurst 11-14 -3 -7 ++ 4.43 321 A Slippery Rock 16-15 1 -2 + 3.38 402 H Lake Erie 17- 8 9 5 + 4.00 412 A Findlay 22-16 6 2 + 3.33/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 72.76 Local Power Rank........... 25 Local SOS Rating......... 41.77 Local SOS Rank............. 45 Local RPI Rating......... 0.53 Local RPI Rank............. 41 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 103 Local Quality Win Rating.-90.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 50 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 16.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 7.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 7.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 8.3