Conf = Atlantic Coast Region = South State = NY Nickname = Orange Coach = Gary GaitGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.8777466 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Denver MPSF (13- 5, 89.6) 18-10 207 H Canisius Metro Atlanti (13- 6, 88.1) 21-13 215 H Canisius Metro Atlanti (13- 6, 88.1) 19- 7 223 H Virginia Atlantic Coas (12- 7, 95.8) 14-13 225 H Connecticut Big East (11- 7, 91.6) 12-11 228 H Boston College Atlantic Coas (15- 4, 95.9) 9-10 307 A Maryland Big Ten (21- 1, 99.8) 7-10 310 A Florida Big East (15- 6, 98.0) 14-13 o 314 N Harvard Ivy League ( 8- 8, 91.2) 11-10 317 H Cornell Ivy League ( 9- 7, 94.7) 14- 8 322 A Northwestern Big Ten (14- 7, 94.8) 10-11 328 A Duke Atlantic Coas (16- 5, 97.0) 9-10 404 H Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas ( 6-12, 88.4) 22- 8 407 H Notre Dame Atlantic Coas (11- 9, 93.7) 11-12 o 411 A North Carolina Atlantic Coas (18- 4, 99.9) 8-15 416 A Louisville Atlantic Coas (10- 8, 94.0) 16- 8 419 H Albany America East (14- 5, 95.5) 14-12 423 N Boston College Atlantic Coas (15- 4, 95.9) 14-13 2o 424 N Duke Atlantic Coas (16- 5, 97.0) 14-10 426 N North Carolina Atlantic Coas (18- 4, 99.9) 9- 8 2o 502 H Loyola Patriot Leagu (17- 5, 95.6) 8- 9 510 H Penn Ivy League (14- 5, 94.0) 13-10 516 H Loyola Patriot Leagu (17- 5, 95.6) 10- 7 522 N Maryland Big Ten (21- 1, 99.8) 8-10PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Denver 18-10 8 8 -0.12 207 H Canisius 21-13 8 9 -1.64 215 H Canisius 19- 7 12 9 0.36 223 H Virginia 14-13 1 1 -0.91 225 H Connecticut 12-11 1 6 -- -5.17 228 H Boston College 9-10 -1 1 - -2.90 307 A Maryland 7-10 -3 -3 0.83 310 A Florida 14-13 o 1 -2 + 3.05 314 N Harvard 11-10 1 5 -- -4.64 317 H Cornell 14- 8 6 3 + 2.91 322 A Northwestern 10-11 -1 1 - -2.25 328 A Duke 9-10 -1 -1 0.03 404 H Virginia Tech 22- 8 14 9 0.69 407 H Notre Dame 11-12 o -1 4 -- -5.02 411 A North Carolina 8-15 -7 -3 - -3.10 416 A Louisville 16- 8 8 2 ++ 6.00 419 H Albany 14-12 2 2 -0.21 423 N Boston College 14-13 2o 1 1 -0.02 424 N Duke 14-10 4 0 ++ 4.15 426 N North Carolina 9- 8 2o 1 -3 ++ 4.02 502 H Loyola 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.13 510 H Penn 13-10 3 3 -0.76 516 H Loyola 10- 7 3 2 0.87 522 N Maryland 8-10 -2 -2 0.95UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 H Connecticut 12-11 1 6 -- -5.17 314 N Harvard 11-10 1 5 -- -4.64 407 H Notre Dame 11-12 o -1 4 -- -5.02 228 H Boston College 9-10 -1 1 - -2.90 322 A Northwestern 10-11 -1 1 - -2.25 411 A North Carolina 8-15 -7 -3 - -3.10 502 H Loyola 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.13OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 416 A Louisville 16- 8 8 2 ++ 6.00 424 N Duke 14-10 4 0 ++ 4.15 426 N North Carolina 9- 8 2o 1 -3 ++ 4.02 310 A Florida 14-13 o 1 -2 + 3.05 317 H Cornell 14- 8 6 3 + 2.91/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 96.88 Local Power Rank........... 5 Local SOS Rating......... 87.64 Local SOS Rank............. 1 Local RPI Rating......... 0.68 Local RPI Rank............. 3 Championship Probability . 5.0 Championship Rank ....... 5 Local Quality Win Rating.140.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 3 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 0.7 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 0.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 6- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.1 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3