Conf = Capital Region = Mid-Atlantic State = MD Nickname = Sea Gulls Coach = Jim NestorGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.7330704 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 224 H Stevenson Commonwealth (12- 7, 79.6) 10- 9 2o 228 A Catholic (DC) Landmark (16- 4, 84.3) 12-13 o 307 A Washington & Lee Old Dominion (16- 3, 78.1) 8- 9 314 H York Capital (15- 6, 81.8) 10- 7 317 H Brockport SUNYAC (10- 7, 82.2) 9- 3 320 A Southern Virginia Capital ( 0-15, 57.7) 18- 1 322 H Cortland SUNYAC (22- 1, 89.9) 13-11 325 A Franklin & Marshall Centennial (20- 3, 86.6) 8- 7 328 H Mary Washington Capital (10- 8, 78.2) 16- 3 401 A Wesley Capital ( 6-10, 62.2) 19- 2 404 A Frostburg State Capital ( 9- 8, 72.8) 17- 2 407 H Christopher Newport Capital ( 9- 8, 77.9) 15- 2 410 H St. Mary's (MD) Capital (13- 5, 78.4) 13- 3 412 H College of New Jersey NJAC (18- 4, 82.6) 3-10 415 A Marymount Capital ( 4-11, 70.3) 19- 5 425 H Mary Washington Capital (10- 8, 78.2) 6- 4 502 H York Capital (15- 6, 81.8) 6- 3 510 H Hamilton NESCAC (12- 6, 81.6) 8- 9 2oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 H Stevenson 10- 9 2o 1 5 -- -4.18 228 A Catholic (DC) 12-13 o -1 -1 0.61 307 A Washington & Lee 8- 9 -1 4 -- -5.53 314 H York 10- 7 3 2 0.01 317 H Brockport 9- 3 6 2 + 3.45 320 A Southern Virginia 18- 1 17 24 0.00 322 H Cortland 13-11 2 -5 +++ 7.11 325 A Franklin & Marshall 8- 7 1 -3 ++ 4.94 328 H Mary Washington 16- 3 13 6 + 3.45 401 A Wesley 19- 2 17 20 0.00 404 A Frostburg State 17- 2 15 9 0.13 407 H Christopher Newport 15- 2 13 6 + 3.10 410 H St. Mary's (MD) 13- 3 10 6 + 3.63 412 H College of New Jersey 3-10 -7 2 --- -9.21 415 A Marymount 19- 5 14 12 0.00 425 H Mary Washington 6- 4 2 6 -- -4.55 502 H York 6- 3 3 2 0.01 510 H Hamilton 8- 9 2o -1 3 -- -4.20UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 412 H College of New Jersey 3-10 -7 2 --- -9.21 224 H Stevenson 10- 9 2o 1 5 -- -4.18 307 A Washington & Lee 8- 9 -1 4 -- -5.53 425 H Mary Washington 6- 4 2 6 -- -4.55 510 H Hamilton 8- 9 2o -1 3 -- -4.20OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 H Cortland 13-11 2 -5 +++ 7.11 325 A Franklin & Marshall 8- 7 1 -3 ++ 4.94 317 H Brockport 9- 3 6 2 + 3.45 328 H Mary Washington 16- 3 13 6 + 3.45 407 H Christopher Newport 15- 2 13 6 + 3.10 410 H St. Mary's (MD) 13- 3 10 6 + 3.63/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 83.73 Local Power Rank........... 7 Local SOS Rating......... 54.75 Local SOS Rank............. 19 Local RPI Rating......... 0.67 Local RPI Rank............. 7 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 208 Local Quality Win Rating. 70.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 10 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 5.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3