Conf = Sunshine                   Region = South        State = FL
   Nickname = Tars                   Coach  = Dennis Short            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.6904449    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 208 H Tampa                  Sunshine      ( 5-11, 68.6)    24- 5   
 212 A Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     (11- 7, 71.3)    17-10   
 215 A Lenoir-Rhyne           South Atlanti (10- 8, 72.7)    13-12   
 222 H Adelphi                Northeast 10  (21- 1, 84.9)     6-15   
 301 H Regis (CO)             Rocky Mountai (12- 5, 74.6)    17-11   
 305 H Mount Olive            Carolinas     (15- 3, 74.8)    11-10  o
 308 H Stonehill              Northeast 10  (15- 5, 79.1)     4- 9   
 310 H Coker                  South Atlanti ( 9- 8, 68.0)    18- 5   
 314 H Limestone              Carolinas     (15- 3, 76.8)    16- 9   
 319 H Lenoir-Rhyne           South Atlanti (10- 8, 72.7)    13- 9   
 327 A Florida Southern       Sunshine      (19- 4, 78.8)     8-15   
 403 H Saint Leo              Sunshine      ( 9- 8, 70.2)    14- 5   
 408 A Florida Tech           Sunshine      ( 7- 9, 69.1)    18- 6   
 417 N Shepherd               Mountain East (12- 5, 70.3)    25-16   
 419 N Seton Hill             PSAC          (14- 5, 77.3)    10-11   
 424 N Saint Leo              Sunshine      ( 9- 8, 70.2)    15- 3   
 426 A Florida Southern       Sunshine      (19- 4, 78.8)    12-10  o
 509 A Lock Haven             PSAC          (20- 1, 83.4)     3-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 H Tampa                  24- 5      19    10           0.00
   212 A Belmont Abbey          17-10       7     5           1.72
   215 A Lenoir-Rhyne           13-12       1     3    -     -2.87
   222 H Adelphi                 6-15      -9    -6    -     -2.88
   301 H Regis (CO)             17-11       6     4           1.82
   305 H Mount Olive            11-10  o    1     4    -     -3.01
   308 H Stonehill               4- 9      -5     0    --    -4.65
   310 H Coker                  18- 5      13    10           0.00
   314 H Limestone              16- 9       7     1    ++     5.05
   319 H Lenoir-Rhyne           13- 9       4     6    -     -2.04
   327 A Florida Southern        8-15      -7    -2    --    -4.81
   403 H Saint Leo              14- 5       9     8           0.40
   408 A Florida Tech           18- 6      12     7    +      2.50
   417 N Shepherd               25-16       9     7           1.58
   419 N Seton Hill             10-11      -1     0          -1.42
   424 N Saint Leo              15- 3      12     7    +      2.49
   426 A Florida Southern       12-10  o    2    -2    ++     4.19
   509 A Lock Haven              3-12      -9    -6    -     -2.16

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 H Stonehill               4- 9      -5     0    --    -4.65
   327 A Florida Southern        8-15      -7    -2    --    -4.81
   215 A Lenoir-Rhyne           13-12       1     3    -     -2.87
   222 H Adelphi                 6-15      -9    -6    -     -2.88
   305 H Mount Olive            11-10  o    1     4    -     -3.01
   319 H Lenoir-Rhyne           13- 9       4     6    -     -2.04
   509 A Lock Haven              3-12      -9    -6    -     -2.16

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Limestone              16- 9       7     1    ++     5.05
   426 A Florida Southern       12-10  o    2    -2    ++     4.19
   408 A Florida Tech           18- 6      12     7    +      2.50
   424 N Saint Leo              15- 3      12     7    +      2.49
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.69 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 48.36 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.68 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    84
 Local Quality Win Rating. 55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/