Conf = Atlantic Sun Region = South State = VA Nickname = Monarchs Coach = Heather HoltGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 84.4505615 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 214 A Gardner-Webb Big South ( 1-16, 66.5) 22- 1 220 A Campbell Big South ( 5-13, 77.8) 18-12 222 H Longwood Big South ( 6-12, 80.7) 19- 7 227 A Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas ( 6-12, 88.4) 4-17 301 H Davidson Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 84.1) 10- 8 304 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (10- 9, 86.4) 8-15 308 A California MPSF ( 3-13, 81.3) 13-12 310 A UC Davis MPSF ( 4-13, 83.7) 12- 8 315 H William & Mary Colonial ( 5-11, 87.0) 9-15 321 H American Patriot Leagu ( 4-12, 83.4) 7- 6 327 H Jacksonville Atlantic Sun (17- 3, 90.2) 4-14 329 H Stetson Atlantic Sun ( 4-13, 76.4) 13- 8 402 A Mercer Atlantic Sun ( 5- 9, 73.7) 24-10 404 A Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun ( 5-13, 72.3) 19- 4 411 A Furman Atlantic Sun (10- 7, 79.0) 17- 5 418 H Detroit Atlantic Sun (10- 8, 81.1) 16- 9 425 A Howard Atlantic Sun ( 0-10, 65.4) 24- 6 501 N Detroit Atlantic Sun (10- 8, 81.1) 11-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Gardner-Webb 22- 1 21 17 0.00 220 A Campbell 18-12 6 5 0.25 222 H Longwood 19- 7 12 4 ++ 5.40 227 A Virginia Tech 4-17 -13 -4 -- -5.13 301 H Davidson 10- 8 2 1 0.82 304 A Richmond 8-15 -7 -2 -- -4.15 308 A California 13-12 1 2 -1.29 310 A UC Davis 12- 8 4 0 ++ 4.08 315 H William & Mary 9-15 -6 -1 -- -4.33 321 H American 7- 6 1 1 -0.97 327 H Jacksonville 4-14 -10 -4 -- -5.12 329 H Stetson 13- 8 5 8 - -3.97 402 A Mercer 24-10 14 9 0.10 404 A Kennesaw State 19- 4 15 11 0.00 411 A Furman 17- 5 12 4 ++ 5.45 418 H Detroit 16- 9 7 4 + 2.74 425 A Howard 24- 6 18 18 0.00 501 N Detroit 11-14 -3 3 --- -6.38UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 501 N Detroit 11-14 -3 3 --- -6.38 227 A Virginia Tech 4-17 -13 -4 -- -5.13 304 A Richmond 8-15 -7 -2 -- -4.15 315 H William & Mary 9-15 -6 -1 -- -4.33 327 H Jacksonville 4-14 -10 -4 -- -5.12 329 H Stetson 13- 8 5 8 - -3.97OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 H Longwood 19- 7 12 4 ++ 5.40 310 A UC Davis 12- 8 4 0 ++ 4.08 411 A Furman 17- 5 12 4 ++ 5.45 418 H Detroit 16- 9 7 4 + 2.74/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 84.45 Local Power Rank........... 69 Local SOS Rating......... 57.85 Local SOS Rank............. 96 Local RPI Rating......... 0.47 Local RPI Rank............. 64 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 77 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 33 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 7.3