Conf = Atlantic Sun               Region = South        State = VA
   Nickname = Monarchs               Coach  = Heather Holt            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.4505615    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 214 A Gardner-Webb           Big South     ( 1-16, 66.5)    22- 1   
 220 A Campbell               Big South     ( 5-13, 77.8)    18-12   
 222 H Longwood               Big South     ( 6-12, 80.7)    19- 7   
 227 A Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas ( 6-12, 88.4)     4-17   
 301 H Davidson               Atlantic 10   ( 6-10, 84.1)    10- 8   
 304 A Richmond               Atlantic 10   (10- 9, 86.4)     8-15   
 308 A California             MPSF          ( 3-13, 81.3)    13-12   
 310 A UC Davis               MPSF          ( 4-13, 83.7)    12- 8   
 315 H William & Mary         Colonial      ( 5-11, 87.0)     9-15   
 321 H American               Patriot Leagu ( 4-12, 83.4)     7- 6   
 327 H Jacksonville           Atlantic Sun  (17- 3, 90.2)     4-14   
 329 H Stetson                Atlantic Sun  ( 4-13, 76.4)    13- 8   
 402 A Mercer                 Atlantic Sun  ( 5- 9, 73.7)    24-10   
 404 A Kennesaw State         Atlantic Sun  ( 5-13, 72.3)    19- 4   
 411 A Furman                 Atlantic Sun  (10- 7, 79.0)    17- 5   
 418 H Detroit                Atlantic Sun  (10- 8, 81.1)    16- 9   
 425 A Howard                 Atlantic Sun  ( 0-10, 65.4)    24- 6   
 501 N Detroit                Atlantic Sun  (10- 8, 81.1)    11-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 A Gardner-Webb           22- 1      21    17           0.00
   220 A Campbell               18-12       6     5           0.25
   222 H Longwood               19- 7      12     4    ++     5.40
   227 A Virginia Tech           4-17     -13    -4    --    -5.13
   301 H Davidson               10- 8       2     1           0.82
   304 A Richmond                8-15      -7    -2    --    -4.15
   308 A California             13-12       1     2          -1.29
   310 A UC Davis               12- 8       4     0    ++     4.08
   315 H William & Mary          9-15      -6    -1    --    -4.33
   321 H American                7- 6       1     1          -0.97
   327 H Jacksonville            4-14     -10    -4    --    -5.12
   329 H Stetson                13- 8       5     8    -     -3.97
   402 A Mercer                 24-10      14     9           0.10
   404 A Kennesaw State         19- 4      15    11           0.00
   411 A Furman                 17- 5      12     4    ++     5.45
   418 H Detroit                16- 9       7     4    +      2.74
   425 A Howard                 24- 6      18    18           0.00
   501 N Detroit                11-14      -3     3    ---   -6.38

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 N Detroit                11-14      -3     3    ---   -6.38
   227 A Virginia Tech           4-17     -13    -4    --    -5.13
   304 A Richmond                8-15      -7    -2    --    -4.15
   315 H William & Mary          9-15      -6    -1    --    -4.33
   327 H Jacksonville            4-14     -10    -4    --    -5.12
   329 H Stetson                13- 8       5     8    -     -3.97

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 H Longwood               19- 7      12     4    ++     5.40
   310 A UC Davis               12- 8       4     0    ++     4.08
   411 A Furman                 17- 5      12     4    ++     5.45
   418 H Detroit                16- 9       7     4    +      2.74
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.45 Local Power Rank...........    69
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.85 Local SOS Rank.............    96
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    64
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    77
 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    33
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    7.3
/