Conf = Big South Region = South State = VA Nickname = Lancers Coach = Elaine JonesGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 80.7212067 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 208 A Navy Patriot Leagu (15- 5, 92.8) 2-17 214 H Elon Colonial ( 8- 8, 86.1) 7-10 222 A Old Dominion Atlantic Sun (13- 5, 84.5) 7-19 225 H Richmond Atlantic 10 (10- 9, 86.4) 5- 4 307 A Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 ( 5-11, 82.0) 7-15 311 H William & Mary Colonial ( 5-11, 87.0) 9-20 313 H Mercer Atlantic Sun ( 5- 9, 73.7) 15- 5 318 H Colgate Patriot Leagu (10- 6, 89.5) 7-18 322 H George Mason Atlantic 10 (10- 7, 85.2) 13-16 o 325 H Louisville Atlantic Coas (10- 8, 94.0) 4-15 404 H Coastal Carolina Big South (11- 6, 82.3) 8- 9 406 H Campbell Big South ( 5-13, 77.8) 10- 6 410 A Presbyterian Big South ( 3-14, 71.7) 21- 7 412 A Gardner-Webb Big South ( 1-16, 66.5) 24- 2 417 H Winthrop Big South (17- 4, 88.3) 4-15 419 A High Point Big South ( 8-10, 86.0) 6-15 424 H Liberty Big South ( 9-11, 83.7) 13-11 428 A High Point Big South ( 8-10, 86.0) 9-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 A Navy 2-17 -15 -12 0.00 214 H Elon 7-10 -3 -4 1.52 222 A Old Dominion 7-19 -12 -4 -- -5.40 225 H Richmond 5- 4 1 -4 ++ 5.83 307 A Saint Joseph's 7-15 -8 -2 -- -5.87 311 H William & Mary 9-20 -11 -5 -- -4.60 313 H Mercer 15- 5 10 7 + 2.08 318 H Colgate 7-18 -11 -7 - -2.12 322 H George Mason 13-16 o -3 -3 0.56 325 H Louisville 4-15 -11 -12 0.00 404 H Coastal Carolina 8- 9 -1 0 -0.35 406 H Campbell 10- 6 4 3 0.23 410 A Presbyterian 21- 7 14 8 1.85 412 A Gardner-Webb 24- 2 22 13 0.00 417 H Winthrop 4-15 -11 -6 - -3.26 419 A High Point 6-15 -9 -6 - -2.81 424 H Liberty 13-11 2 -2 ++ 4.12 428 A High Point 9-14 -5 -6 1.19UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 A Old Dominion 7-19 -12 -4 -- -5.40 307 A Saint Joseph's 7-15 -8 -2 -- -5.87 311 H William & Mary 9-20 -11 -5 -- -4.60 318 H Colgate 7-18 -11 -7 - -2.12 417 H Winthrop 4-15 -11 -6 - -3.26 419 A High Point 6-15 -9 -6 - -2.81OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 H Richmond 5- 4 1 -4 ++ 5.83 424 H Liberty 13-11 2 -2 ++ 4.12 313 H Mercer 15- 5 10 7 + 2.08/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 80.72 Local Power Rank........... 86 Local SOS Rating......... 64.57 Local SOS Rank............. 82 Local RPI Rating......... 0.43 Local RPI Rank............. 81 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 61 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 88 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-12 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -2.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.0