Conf = Big South Region = South State = VA Nickname = Flames Coach = Kelly NangleGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 83.7117233 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas ( 6-12, 88.4) 11-15 213 H Navy Patriot Leagu (15- 5, 92.8) 6-21 215 H Vanderbilt Big East ( 7- 9, 88.9) 10-20 225 H George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 83.6) 17-13 228 H Richmond Atlantic 10 (10- 9, 86.4) 10-13 309 A Southern California MPSF (14- 6, 93.0) 6-20 313 A San Diego State MPSF ( 9- 8, 86.5) 12-18 318 A George Mason Atlantic 10 (10- 7, 85.2) 11- 7 325 A James Madison Colonial (15- 5, 94.9) 5-18 328 A Elon Colonial ( 8- 8, 86.1) 8-13 404 H Campbell Big South ( 5-13, 77.8) 21-11 406 H Coastal Carolina Big South (11- 6, 82.3) 18- 8 410 A Gardner-Webb Big South ( 1-16, 66.5) 23- 4 412 A Presbyterian Big South ( 3-14, 71.7) 23- 9 417 H High Point Big South ( 8-10, 86.0) 16-15 o 421 A Winthrop Big South (17- 4, 88.3) 6-17 424 A Longwood Big South ( 6-12, 80.7) 11-13 428 H Gardner-Webb Big South ( 1-16, 66.5) 21- 4 501 N Coastal Carolina Big South (11- 6, 82.3) 14- 8 503 A Winthrop Big South (17- 4, 88.3) 8-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 H Virginia Tech 11-15 -4 -3 -0.15 213 H Navy 6-21 -15 -8 -1.81 215 H Vanderbilt 10-20 -10 -4 -- -5.65 225 H George Washington 17-13 4 1 + 2.98 228 H Richmond 10-13 -3 -1 -1.16 309 A Southern California 6-20 -14 -10 0.00 313 A San Diego State 12-18 -6 -3 - -2.33 318 A George Mason 11- 7 4 -2 +++ 6.32 325 A James Madison 5-18 -13 -12 0.00 328 A Elon 8-13 -5 -3 -1.72 404 H Campbell 21-11 10 6 + 3.24 406 H Coastal Carolina 18- 8 10 2 +++ 7.66 410 A Gardner-Webb 23- 4 19 16 0.00 412 A Presbyterian 23- 9 14 11 0.00 417 H High Point 16-15 o 1 -1 + 2.45 421 A Winthrop 6-17 -11 -5 -- -4.50 424 A Longwood 11-13 -2 2 -- -4.12 428 H Gardner-Webb 21- 4 17 18 0.00 501 N Coastal Carolina 14- 8 6 1 ++ 4.54 503 A Winthrop 8-13 -5 -5 0.50UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 H Vanderbilt 10-20 -10 -4 -- -5.65 421 A Winthrop 6-17 -11 -5 -- -4.50 424 A Longwood 11-13 -2 2 -- -4.12 313 A San Diego State 12-18 -6 -3 - -2.33OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 A George Mason 11- 7 4 -2 +++ 6.32 406 H Coastal Carolina 18- 8 10 2 +++ 7.66 501 N Coastal Carolina 14- 8 6 1 ++ 4.54 225 H George Washington 17-13 4 1 + 2.98 404 H Campbell 21-11 10 6 + 3.24 417 H High Point 16-15 o 1 -1 + 2.45/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 83.71 Local Power Rank........... 71 Local SOS Rating......... 65.33 Local SOS Rank............. 79 Local RPI Rating......... 0.47 Local RPI Rank............. 63 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 59 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 79 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 13.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 10.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 8.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 6.0