Conf = Big South                  Region = South        State = VA
   Nickname = Flames                 Coach  = Kelly Nangle            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.7117233    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 206 H Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas ( 6-12, 88.4)    11-15   
 213 H Navy                   Patriot Leagu (15- 5, 92.8)     6-21   
 215 H Vanderbilt             Big East      ( 7- 9, 88.9)    10-20   
 225 H George Washington      Atlantic 10   ( 6-10, 83.6)    17-13   
 228 H Richmond               Atlantic 10   (10- 9, 86.4)    10-13   
 309 A Southern California    MPSF          (14- 6, 93.0)     6-20   
 313 A San Diego State        MPSF          ( 9- 8, 86.5)    12-18   
 318 A George Mason           Atlantic 10   (10- 7, 85.2)    11- 7   
 325 A James Madison          Colonial      (15- 5, 94.9)     5-18   
 328 A Elon                   Colonial      ( 8- 8, 86.1)     8-13   
 404 H Campbell               Big South     ( 5-13, 77.8)    21-11   
 406 H Coastal Carolina       Big South     (11- 6, 82.3)    18- 8   
 410 A Gardner-Webb           Big South     ( 1-16, 66.5)    23- 4   
 412 A Presbyterian           Big South     ( 3-14, 71.7)    23- 9   
 417 H High Point             Big South     ( 8-10, 86.0)    16-15  o
 421 A Winthrop               Big South     (17- 4, 88.3)     6-17   
 424 A Longwood               Big South     ( 6-12, 80.7)    11-13   
 428 H Gardner-Webb           Big South     ( 1-16, 66.5)    21- 4   
 501 N Coastal Carolina       Big South     (11- 6, 82.3)    14- 8   
 503 A Winthrop               Big South     (17- 4, 88.3)     8-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 H Virginia Tech          11-15      -4    -3          -0.15
   213 H Navy                    6-21     -15    -8          -1.81
   215 H Vanderbilt             10-20     -10    -4    --    -5.65
   225 H George Washington      17-13       4     1    +      2.98
   228 H Richmond               10-13      -3    -1          -1.16
   309 A Southern California     6-20     -14   -10           0.00
   313 A San Diego State        12-18      -6    -3    -     -2.33
   318 A George Mason           11- 7       4    -2    +++    6.32
   325 A James Madison           5-18     -13   -12           0.00
   328 A Elon                    8-13      -5    -3          -1.72
   404 H Campbell               21-11      10     6    +      3.24
   406 H Coastal Carolina       18- 8      10     2    +++    7.66
   410 A Gardner-Webb           23- 4      19    16           0.00
   412 A Presbyterian           23- 9      14    11           0.00
   417 H High Point             16-15  o    1    -1    +      2.45
   421 A Winthrop                6-17     -11    -5    --    -4.50
   424 A Longwood               11-13      -2     2    --    -4.12
   428 H Gardner-Webb           21- 4      17    18           0.00
   501 N Coastal Carolina       14- 8       6     1    ++     4.54
   503 A Winthrop                8-13      -5    -5           0.50

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 H Vanderbilt             10-20     -10    -4    --    -5.65
   421 A Winthrop                6-17     -11    -5    --    -4.50
   424 A Longwood               11-13      -2     2    --    -4.12
   313 A San Diego State        12-18      -6    -3    -     -2.33

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A George Mason           11- 7       4    -2    +++    6.32
   406 H Coastal Carolina       18- 8      10     2    +++    7.66
   501 N Coastal Carolina       14- 8       6     1    ++     4.54
   225 H George Washington      17-13       4     1    +      2.98
   404 H Campbell               21-11      10     6    +      3.24
   417 H High Point             16-15  o    1    -1    +      2.45
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.71 Local Power Rank...........    71
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.33 Local SOS Rank.............    79
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    63
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    59
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    79
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    8.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.0
/