Conf = Atlantic 10 Region = Mid-Atlantic State = DC Nickname = Colonials Coach = Tracy CoyneGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 83.5662842 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 218 A Johns Hopkins Independent (14- 4, 93.7) 3-16 221 H Yale Ivy League ( 7- 8, 88.1) 13- 5 225 A Liberty Big South ( 9-11, 83.7) 13-17 303 H Navy Patriot Leagu (15- 5, 92.8) 3-14 310 A Oregon MPSF (10- 8, 87.3) 6- 8 317 H Mount St. Mary's Northeast ( 6-11, 80.6) 18-12 321 A Delaware Colonial (11- 7, 92.4) 4-15 323 H California MPSF ( 3-13, 81.3) 11-15 327 A Davidson Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 84.1) 11-10 329 A La Salle Atlantic 10 ( 8- 8, 84.9) 8-10 403 H Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 ( 5-11, 82.0) 13- 9 410 H Richmond Atlantic 10 (10- 9, 86.4) 9-11 417 H Duquesne Atlantic 10 ( 9- 9, 85.7) 14-13 o 419 H St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 ( 2-15, 78.1) 16-10 424 A George Mason Atlantic 10 (10- 7, 85.2) 5-17 426 A Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (19- 2, 92.9) 11-18PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 218 A Johns Hopkins 3-16 -13 -10 0.00 221 H Yale 13- 5 8 -3 +++ 11.63 225 A Liberty 13-17 -4 -1 - -2.98 303 H Navy 3-14 -11 -8 -1.67 310 A Oregon 6- 8 -2 -4 + 2.61 317 H Mount St. Mary's 18-12 6 3 + 2.15 321 A Delaware 4-15 -11 -9 -0.31 323 H California 11-15 -4 3 --- -7.15 327 A Davidson 11-10 1 -1 + 2.46 329 A La Salle 8-10 -2 -2 0.21 403 H Saint Joseph's 13- 9 4 2 1.53 410 H Richmond 9-11 -2 -1 -0.01 417 H Duquesne 14-13 o 1 -1 + 2.23 419 H St. Bonaventure 16-10 6 6 -0.31 424 A George Mason 5-17 -12 -2 --- -7.53 426 A Massachusetts 11-18 -7 -10 + 3.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 323 H California 11-15 -4 3 --- -7.15 424 A George Mason 5-17 -12 -2 --- -7.53 225 A Liberty 13-17 -4 -1 - -2.98OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 H Yale 13- 5 8 -3 +++ 11.63 310 A Oregon 6- 8 -2 -4 + 2.61 317 H Mount St. Mary's 18-12 6 3 + 2.15 327 A Davidson 11-10 1 -1 + 2.46 417 H Duquesne 14-13 o 1 -1 + 2.23 426 A Massachusetts 11-18 -7 -10 + 3.00/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 83.57 Local Power Rank........... 73 Local SOS Rating......... 69.34 Local SOS Rank............. 64 Local RPI Rating......... 0.46 Local RPI Rank............. 68 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 46 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 78 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -2.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.3