Conf = Atlantic 10                Region = Mid-Atlantic State = DC
   Nickname = Colonials              Coach  = Tracy Coyne             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.5662842    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 218 A Johns Hopkins          Independent   (14- 4, 93.7)     3-16   
 221 H Yale                   Ivy League    ( 7- 8, 88.1)    13- 5   
 225 A Liberty                Big South     ( 9-11, 83.7)    13-17   
 303 H Navy                   Patriot Leagu (15- 5, 92.8)     3-14   
 310 A Oregon                 MPSF          (10- 8, 87.3)     6- 8   
 317 H Mount St. Mary's       Northeast     ( 6-11, 80.6)    18-12   
 321 A Delaware               Colonial      (11- 7, 92.4)     4-15   
 323 H California             MPSF          ( 3-13, 81.3)    11-15   
 327 A Davidson               Atlantic 10   ( 6-10, 84.1)    11-10   
 329 A La Salle               Atlantic 10   ( 8- 8, 84.9)     8-10   
 403 H Saint Joseph's         Atlantic 10   ( 5-11, 82.0)    13- 9   
 410 H Richmond               Atlantic 10   (10- 9, 86.4)     9-11   
 417 H Duquesne               Atlantic 10   ( 9- 9, 85.7)    14-13  o
 419 H St. Bonaventure        Atlantic 10   ( 2-15, 78.1)    16-10   
 424 A George Mason           Atlantic 10   (10- 7, 85.2)     5-17   
 426 A Massachusetts          Atlantic 10   (19- 2, 92.9)    11-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   218 A Johns Hopkins           3-16     -13   -10           0.00
   221 H Yale                   13- 5       8    -3    +++   11.63
   225 A Liberty                13-17      -4    -1    -     -2.98
   303 H Navy                    3-14     -11    -8          -1.67
   310 A Oregon                  6- 8      -2    -4    +      2.61
   317 H Mount St. Mary's       18-12       6     3    +      2.15
   321 A Delaware                4-15     -11    -9          -0.31
   323 H California             11-15      -4     3    ---   -7.15
   327 A Davidson               11-10       1    -1    +      2.46
   329 A La Salle                8-10      -2    -2           0.21
   403 H Saint Joseph's         13- 9       4     2           1.53
   410 H Richmond                9-11      -2    -1          -0.01
   417 H Duquesne               14-13  o    1    -1    +      2.23
   419 H St. Bonaventure        16-10       6     6          -0.31
   424 A George Mason            5-17     -12    -2    ---   -7.53
   426 A Massachusetts          11-18      -7   -10    +      3.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H California             11-15      -4     3    ---   -7.15
   424 A George Mason            5-17     -12    -2    ---   -7.53
   225 A Liberty                13-17      -4    -1    -     -2.98

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 H Yale                   13- 5       8    -3    +++   11.63
   310 A Oregon                  6- 8      -2    -4    +      2.61
   317 H Mount St. Mary's       18-12       6     3    +      2.15
   327 A Davidson               11-10       1    -1    +      2.46
   417 H Duquesne               14-13  o    1    -1    +      2.23
   426 A Massachusetts          11-18      -7   -10    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.57 Local Power Rank...........    73
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.34 Local SOS Rank.............    64
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    68
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    46
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    78
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3
/