Conf = North Coast                Region = Mid-South    State = PA
   Nickname = Gators                 Coach  = Ashley Hughes           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   77.7712250    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 305 A Thiel                  Ohio River    (11- 7, 63.3)    18-15   
 307 H Frostburg State        Capital       ( 9- 8, 72.8)     6-11   
 311 A Washington & Jefferson Ohio River    ( 9- 5, 59.1)    20-10   
 318 N Western New England    Comm. Coast   (16- 3, 76.3)    10-14   
 320 N Rowan                  NJAC          (10- 7, 77.2)     8-22   
 328 H Mount Union            Ohio          (19- 1, 76.7)    10-17   
 329 H Albion                 MIAA          (15- 3, 66.5)    13- 4   
 402 A Buffalo State          SUNYAC        ( 4-13, 73.5)    13-18   
 404 A Kenyon                 North Coast   ( 9- 5, 72.0)    12-23   
 408 A Hiram                  North Coast   ( 4-11, 54.5)    18- 4   
 411 H Denison                North Coast   (11- 7, 76.5)     9-21   
 412 H Ohio Wesleyan          North Coast   ( 4-12, 65.1)    14-10   
 414 H Wooster                North Coast   (13- 4, 74.5)    13-18   
 418 A Wittenberg             North Coast   (11- 4, 74.6)     9-18   
 422 A Oberlin                North Coast   (11- 6, 73.7)    11-10   
 425 H DePauw                 North Coast   ( 7- 9, 67.8)     4-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 A Thiel                  18-15       3     3          -0.41
   307 H Frostburg State         6-11      -5    -3          -1.01
   311 A Washington & Jefferson 20-10      10     7    +      2.38
   318 N Western New England    10-14      -4    -8    ++     4.58
   320 N Rowan                   8-22     -14    -9          -0.53
   328 H Mount Union            10-17      -7    -7           0.83
   329 H Albion                 13- 4       9     2    +++    6.72
   402 A Buffalo State          13-18      -5    -6           1.78
   404 A Kenyon                 12-23     -11    -5    --    -4.68
   408 A Hiram                  18- 4      14    12           0.00
   411 H Denison                 9-21     -12    -7    -     -2.30
   412 H Ohio Wesleyan          14-10       4     3           0.29
   414 H Wooster                13-18      -5    -5           0.69
   418 A Wittenberg              9-18      -9    -7          -1.10
   422 A Oberlin                11-10       1    -6    +++    7.98
   425 H DePauw                  4-13      -9     1    ---  -10.02

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H DePauw                  4-13      -9     1    ---  -10.02
   404 A Kenyon                 12-23     -11    -5    --    -4.68
   411 H Denison                 9-21     -12    -7    -     -2.30

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Albion                 13- 4       9     2    +++    6.72
   422 A Oberlin                11-10       1    -6    +++    7.98
   318 N Western New England    10-14      -4    -8    ++     4.58
   311 A Washington & Jefferson 20-10      10     7    +      2.38
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 67.77 Local Power Rank...........   131
 Local SOS Rating......... 42.07 Local SOS Rank.............    98
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    98
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   201
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    9.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.7
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