2014 NCAA Women's Division II/NAIA
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Adelphi Northeast 10 22 0 1 7 1 1 3 1 5 62.00 2 Lock Haven PSAC 19 3 2 4 2 3 1 3 7 14.00 3 Limestone Carolinas 18 1 4 32 3 2 5 2 9 6.00 4 Lindenwood Rocky Mountain 15 4 7 8 6 7 2 5 14 2.00 5 New Haven Northeast 10 16 4 9 1 7 6 4 6 16 0.10 6 LIU Post East Coast 18 2 3 20 4 5 9 4 18 8.00 7 Pfeiffer Carolinas 13 5 13 15 10 4 7 11 22 1.00 8 Mercyhurst PSAC 16 3 6 13 5 9 16 9 34 1.00 9 Dowling East Coast 14 5 15 38 20 13 10 15 38 0.10 10 Indiana (PA) PSAC 13 5 5 5 12 11 12 16 39 3.00 11 Stonehill Northeast 10 12 7 16 2 21 14 6 23 43 0.10 12 West Chester PSAC 12 5 8 10 17 12 13 22 47 2.00 13 Davenport NAIA NWLL 17 4 58 90 24 20 11 19 50 0.10 14 Le Moyne Northeast 10 12 5 11 12 18 19 18 17 54 0.10 15 Saint Anselm Northeast 10 13 5 14 16 19 23 14 18 55 0.10 16 Queens South Atlantic 13 4 19 45 14 22 24 13 59 0.10 17 Belmont Abbey Carolinas 9 6 31 39 26 15 23 27 65 0.10 18 Indiana Tech NAIA NWLL 12 6 65 85 43 25 8 32 65 0.10 19 Saint Leo Independent 10 7 33 33 29 27 17 26 70 0.10 20 Bloomsburg PSAC 9 8 18 3 25 26 15 31 72 0.10 21 Florida Southern Independent 16 2 12 34 8 10 54 8 72 0.10 22 Philadelphia CACC South 17 1 22 62 9 18 49 7 74 0.10 23 Seton Hill PSAC 13 5 17 24 16 21 36 20 77 0.10 24 Regis (CO) Rocky Mountain 14 3 10 29 13 17 50 14 81 1.00 25 St. Thomas Aquin East Coast 12 5 26 43 22 29 33 21 83 0.10 26 Gannon PSAC 9 8 27 21 33 30 25 39 94 0.10 27 Grand Valley Sta Great Lakes 13 5 23 50 23 32 41 24 97 0.10 28 Mount Olive Carolinas 12 6 36 55 27 33 39 25 97 0.10 29 Shippensburg PSAC 8 9 35 9 38 31 21 46 98 0.10 30 Bentley Northeast 10 8 9 21 6 39 34 19 49 102 0.10 31 Lenoir-Rhyne South Atlantic 11 8 37 53 44 38 26 38 102 0.10 32 Robert Morris (I NAIA NWLL 18 3 69 97 11 8 85 10 103 0.10 33 Assumption Northeast 10 9 7 25 17 30 35 35 34 104 0.10 34 Savannah Art & D NAIA NWLL 15 1 54 88 15 16 80 12 108 0.10 35 Molloy East Coast 9 7 40 40 34 39 40 35 114 0.10 36 Aquinas NAIA NWLL 12 5 67 86 36 24 63 29 116 0.10 37 Holy Family CACC South 9 9 43 51 61 40 22 56 118 0.10 38 Rollins Independent 8 8 20 11 37 28 55 45 128 0.10 39 Lake Erie Great Lakes 10 8 62 59 47 44 42 43 129 0.10 40 Fort Lewis Rocky Mountain 10 7 24 36 31 36 56 42 134 0.10 41 Tampa Independent 7 10 55 46 59 45 28 61 134 0.10 42 Shepherd Independent 10 6 41 54 35 43 58 36 137 0.10 43 East Stroudsburg PSAC 8 9 30 25 48 42 43 53 138 0.10 44 Saint Michael's Northeast 10 6 8 29 22 50 48 45 51 144 0.10 45 Edinboro PSAC 7 9 32 37 49 47 44 54 145 0.10 46 Mercy East Coast 6 11 45 31 66 53 20 72 145 0.10 47 Tiffin Great Lakes 9 11 48 58 67 50 27 68 145 0.10 48 Roberts Wesleyan East Coast 7 10 50 41 63 49 38 60 147 0.10 49 Slippery Rock PSAC 6 11 28 26 58 46 32 70 148 0.10 50 Georgian Court CACC North 13 5 49 76 32 55 64 33 152 0.10 51 S. New Hampshire Northeast 10 6 11 34 18 64 54 29 69 152 0.10 52 Mo. Baptist NAIA NWLL 10 7 82 100 41 37 95 28 160 0.10 53 Dominican CACC North 10 7 46 74 52 60 59 50 169 0.10 54 Millersville PSAC 5 12 39 28 75 52 34 84 170 0.10 55 Kutztown PSAC 4 12 51 23 79 58 31 83 172 0.10 56 Findlay Great Lakes 8 11 59 56 74 61 37 76 174 0.10 57 Reinhardt NAIA NWLL 15 6 76 98 45 41 96 37 174 0.10 58 Erskine Carolinas 9 8 57 65 53 62 66 48 176 0.10 59 Notre Dame (OH) Great Lakes 8 6 42 73 42 51 86 40 177 0.10 60 Shorter Independent 4 9 66 52 69 64 48 66 178 0.10 61 Converse Carolinas 7 11 70 64 71 56 62 63 181 0.10 62 Georgetown (KY) NAIA Indep. 2 3 97 93 28 66 94 30 190 0.10 63 American Interna Northeast 10 5 11 56 35 73 72 46 74 192 0.10 64 Wilmington CACC South 9 8 53 68 60 57 81 55 193 0.10 65 Lees-McRae Carolinas 5 8 75 79 56 78 65 52 195 0.10 66 Franklin Pierce Northeast 10 4 10 44 14 55 63 75 59 197 0.10 67 McKendree Independent 3 7 73 49 57 69 74 57 200 0.10 68 Midland NAIA NWLL 8 7 88 102 51 59 97 44 200 0.10 69 Tennessee Wesley NAIA NWLL 8 6 80 101 46 68 93 41 202 0.10 70 Merrimack Northeast 10 2 15 47 19 96 76 30 98 204 0.10 71 Adams State Rocky Mountain 2 12 61 27 76 70 53 82 205 0.10 72 Catawba South Atlantic 7 9 71 69 68 73 60 73 206 0.10 73 Wheeling Jesuit Great Lakes 9 8 63 81 62 77 72 62 211 0.10 74 Newberry South Atlantic 6 11 64 63 65 65 83 64 212 0.10 75 Colorado Mesa Rocky Mountain 8 7 38 42 40 67 101 47 215 0.10 76 Queens (NY) East Coast 2 11 68 44 86 81 52 86 219 0.10 77 Southern Connect Northeast 10 4 13 52 30 88 79 51 91 221 0.10 78 Chestnut Hill CACC South 3 14 72 61 101 82 47 100 229 0.10 79 Oklahoma Baptist NAIA NWLL 3 10 100 95 82 74 90 65 229 0.10 80 Siena Heights NAIA NWLL 9 10 84 91 72 71 91 67 229 0.10 81 Lawrence Tech NAIA NWLL 4 10 89 87 85 75 77 79 231 0.10 82 Rockhurst Rocky Mountain 0 10 81 48 77 90 70 77 237 0.10 83 St. Andrews NAIA NWLL 3 9 94 96 83 84 73 80 237 0.10 84 Emmanuel (GA) NAIA NWLL 9 10 86 92 81 80 84 75 239 0.10 85 West Virginia We Independent 5 12 77 75 90 83 69 90 242 0.10 86 Nyack CACC North 3 14 87 67 100 88 57 101 246 0.10 87 Bridgeport East Coast 4 13 60 57 91 89 67 92 248 0.10 88 Lindenwood-Belle NAIA NWLL 0 11 101 99 92 93 68 89 250 0.10 89 Wingate South Atlantic 2 6 79 70 54 95 99 58 252 0.10 90 Post CACC North 4 12 78 72 93 91 71 93 255 0.10 91 Lourdes NAIA NWLL 1 15 98 83 98 85 76 96 257 0.10 92 University of DC East Coast 0 10 91 47 87 92 78 87 257 0.10 93 Walsh Great Lakes 6 9 85 84 70 86 100 71 257 0.10 94 Young Harris Independent 1 16 83 60 102 94 61 102 257 0.10 95 Coker South Atlantic 3 10 74 66 78 87 98 78 263 0.10 96 Columbia (SC) NAIA NWLL 1 16 102 94 95 97 79 95 271 0.10 97 Urbana Great Lakes 1 11 95 77 89 96 87 88 271 0.10 98 Ursuline Great Lakes 5 11 93 82 84 98 92 85 275 0.10 99 Alderson-Broaddu Great Lakes 2 12 96 80 94 99 89 94 282 0.10 100 Brevard South Atlantic 0 13 99 78 99 102 82 99 283 0.10 101 Chowan Independent 4 9 90 89 80 101 102 81 284 0.10 102 Caldwell CACC North 0 12 92 71 97 100 88 97 285 0.10