Conf = NESCAC Region = New England State = MA Nickname = Ephs Coach = Chris MasonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.3509140 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 301 N Bowdoin NESCAC ( 8- 7, 84.7) 12- 8 305 H Springfield NEWMAC ( 8- 9, 79.8) 8- 4 308 H Trinity (CT) NESCAC (19- 3, 87.0) 10-13 316 A Connecticut College NESCAC ( 5-10, 80.1) 8- 7 322 H Bates NESCAC ( 8- 8, 83.7) 6- 5 326 N Union Liberty Leagu (10- 7, 79.0) 13- 8 327 N Wellesley NEWMAC ( 6- 9, 72.0) 17- 5 402 A Tufts NESCAC (10- 6, 82.8) 10- 5 403 A Castleton State North Atlanti ( 9- 7, 71.0) 16- 4 405 A Wesleyan (CT) NESCAC ( 5-10, 81.2) 13- 5 408 A Hamilton NESCAC ( 6- 8, 82.9) 9- 8 o 412 A Colby NESCAC (11- 7, 85.3) 10- 9 2o 416 A Rensselaer Liberty Leagu (13- 5, 81.5) 13- 6 419 H Amherst NESCAC (19- 3, 87.5) 6-13 423 H Middlebury NESCAC (12- 6, 87.3) 4-12 426 H Tufts NESCAC (10- 6, 82.8) 11- 6 503 N Amherst NESCAC (19- 3, 87.5) 4- 9 510 H Wheaton NEWMAC (14- 7, 77.2) 9- 6 517 N Colby NESCAC (11- 7, 85.3) 6- 8PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 N Bowdoin 12- 8 4 0 ++ 4.38 305 H Springfield 8- 4 4 5 -1.52 308 H Trinity (CT) 10-13 -3 -1 -1.36 316 A Connecticut College 8- 7 1 3 - -2.24 322 H Bates 6- 5 1 1 -0.61 326 N Union 13- 8 5 5 -0.31 327 N Wellesley 17- 5 12 12 0.00 402 A Tufts 10- 5 5 0 ++ 4.45 403 A Castleton State 16- 4 12 12 0.00 405 A Wesleyan (CT) 13- 5 8 2 ++ 5.84 408 A Hamilton 9- 8 o 1 0 0.50 412 A Colby 10- 9 2o 1 -1 + 2.90 416 A Rensselaer 13- 6 7 1 ++ 5.06 419 H Amherst 6-13 -7 -2 -- -4.83 423 H Middlebury 4-12 -8 -1 --- -6.06 426 H Tufts 11- 6 5 2 + 2.53 503 N Amherst 4- 9 -5 -3 -1.86 510 H Wheaton 9- 6 3 8 -- -5.06 517 N Colby 6- 8 -2 0 -1.06UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 423 H Middlebury 4-12 -8 -1 --- -6.06 419 H Amherst 6-13 -7 -2 -- -4.83 510 H Wheaton 9- 6 3 8 -- -5.06 316 A Connecticut College 8- 7 1 3 - -2.24OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 N Bowdoin 12- 8 4 0 ++ 4.38 402 A Tufts 10- 5 5 0 ++ 4.45 405 A Wesleyan (CT) 13- 5 8 2 ++ 5.84 416 A Rensselaer 13- 6 7 1 ++ 5.06 412 A Colby 10- 9 2o 1 -1 + 2.90 426 H Tufts 11- 6 5 2 + 2.53/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 84.35 Local Power Rank........... 11 Local SOS Rating......... 61.32 Local SOS Rank............. 8 Local RPI Rating......... 0.64 Local RPI Rank............. 14 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 11 Local Quality Win Rating.115.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 7 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -6.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.3