Conf = Amer. Lac. Conf Region = West/Midwest State = TN Nickname = Commodores Coach = Cathy SwezeyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 89.5121460 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 207 A Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun ( 1-12, 69.5) 20- 5 209 H Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (18- 2, 94.4) 6-13 215 H Liberty Big South ( 2-16, 77.7) 20- 8 222 A North Carolina Atlantic Coas (15- 5, 98.9) 8-22 302 A Stanford MPSF (14- 5, 93.0) 16-15 o 305 A Denver MPSF (19- 2, 91.3) 8-10 315 H Penn State Amer. Lac. Co (10- 8, 94.7) 8-14 319 H Louisville Big East (16- 4, 95.0) 14-18 o 323 H Penn Ivy League (13- 5, 93.5) 10-11 329 H Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Co (15- 5, 94.2) 12-11 402 A Harvard Ivy League ( 9- 7, 91.1) 8-12 406 H Ohio State Amer. Lac. Co (13- 7, 93.8) 5-16 410 A Northwestern Amer. Lac. Co (14- 7, 96.1) 9-15 413 A Florida Amer. Lac. Co (18- 3, 97.5) 9-14 416 H Jacksonville Atlantic Sun (14- 6, 88.9) 10-11 419 A Michigan Amer. Lac. Co ( 4-13, 82.9) 16- 9 501 A Northwestern Amer. Lac. Co (14- 7, 96.1) 9-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 A Kennesaw State 20- 5 15 18 0.00 209 H Massachusetts 6-13 -7 -3 - -3.30 215 H Liberty 20- 8 12 13 0.00 222 A North Carolina 8-22 -14 -10 0.00 302 A Stanford 16-15 o 1 -4 ++ 5.71 305 A Denver 8-10 -2 -2 0.99 315 H Penn State 8-14 -6 -4 -2.00 319 H Louisville 14-18 o -4 -4 0.28 323 H Penn 10-11 -1 -2 1.75 329 H Johns Hopkins 12-11 1 -3 ++ 4.53 402 A Harvard 8-12 -4 -2 -1.23 406 H Ohio State 5-16 -11 -3 --- -6.88 410 A Northwestern 9-15 -6 -7 1.75 413 A Florida 9-14 -5 -9 ++ 4.17 416 H Jacksonville 10-11 -1 1 - -2.79 419 A Michigan 16- 9 7 5 1.56 501 A Northwestern 9-12 -3 -7 ++ 4.75UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 H Ohio State 5-16 -11 -3 --- -6.88 209 H Massachusetts 6-13 -7 -3 - -3.30 416 H Jacksonville 10-11 -1 1 - -2.79OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 A Stanford 16-15 o 1 -4 ++ 5.71 329 H Johns Hopkins 12-11 1 -3 ++ 4.53 413 A Florida 9-14 -5 -9 ++ 4.17 501 A Northwestern 9-12 -3 -7 ++ 4.75/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 89.51 Local Power Rank........... 34 Local SOS Rating......... 80.15 Local SOS Rank............. 13 Local RPI Rating......... 0.52 Local RPI Rank............. 44 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 96 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 58 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 5-12 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.0