Conf = Independent                Region = South        State = FL
   Nickname = Tars                   Coach  = Dennis Short            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.1246109    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 209 A Tampa                  Independent   ( 7-10, 66.7)    21- 7   
 217 A Queens                 South Atlanti (13- 4, 72.3)    10-15   
 226 H St. Bonaventure        Atlantic 10   ( 0-14, 75.8)     8- 7   
 302 H S. New Hampshire       Northeast 10  ( 6-11, 68.2)    16- 8   
 311 H Stonehill              Northeast 10  (12- 7, 74.6)    14- 9   
 314 H Bentley                Northeast 10  ( 8- 9, 72.1)    16-14  o
 320 H Indiana (PA)           PSAC          (13- 5, 78.9)    14-16   
 326 A Lenoir-Rhyne           South Atlanti (11- 8, 67.8)    17-10   
 329 A Limestone              Carolinas     (18- 1, 79.0)     5-18   
 330 A Coker                  South Atlanti ( 3-10, 63.1)    18- 1   
 402 H Lindenwood             Rocky Mountai (15- 4, 78.5)    11-19   
 411 A Regis (CO)             Rocky Mountai (14- 3, 76.9)     4-19   
 412 N Fort Lewis             Rocky Mountai (10- 7, 70.9)     4- 6   
 422 A Saint Leo              Independent   (10- 7, 68.4)     9-12   
 425 H Florida Southern       Independent   (16- 2, 76.2)    13-16   
 427 H Tampa                  Independent   ( 7-10, 66.7)    17- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 A Tampa                  21- 7      14     4    ++     5.33
   217 A Queens                 10-15      -5     0    --    -4.09
   226 H St. Bonaventure         8- 7       1    -2          n/a  
   302 H S. New Hampshire       16- 8       8     4    +      3.32
   311 H Stonehill              14- 9       5    -1    +++    6.81
   314 H Bentley                16-14  o    2     0           1.26
   320 H Indiana (PA)           14-16      -2    -6    ++     4.10
   326 A Lenoir-Rhyne           17-10       7     3    +      3.37
   329 A Limestone               5-18     -13    -7    -     -2.45
   330 A Coker                  18- 1      17     8           1.71
   402 H Lindenwood             11-19      -8    -5    -     -2.29
   411 A Regis (CO)              4-19     -15    -5    --    -4.49
   412 N Fort Lewis              4- 6      -2     1    -     -3.26
   422 A Saint Leo               9-12      -3     2    --    -5.98
   425 H Florida Southern       13-16      -3    -3           0.41
   427 H Tampa                  17- 6      11     6    +      3.91

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 H St. Bonaventure         8- 7   
   217 A Queens                 10-15      -5     0    --    -4.09
   226 H St. Bonaventure         8- 7   
   411 A Regis (CO)              4-19     -15    -5    --    -4.49
   422 A Saint Leo               9-12      -3     2    --    -5.98
   226 H St. Bonaventure         8- 7   
   329 A Limestone               5-18     -13    -7    -     -2.45
   402 H Lindenwood             11-19      -8    -5    -     -2.29
   412 N Fort Lewis              4- 6      -2     1    -     -3.26

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 H St. Bonaventure         8- 7   
   311 H Stonehill              14- 9       5    -1    +++    6.81
   209 A Tampa                  21- 7      14     4    ++     5.33
   226 H St. Bonaventure         8- 7   
   320 H Indiana (PA)           14-16      -2    -6    ++     4.10
   226 H St. Bonaventure         8- 7   
   302 H S. New Hampshire       16- 8       8     4    +      3.32
   326 A Lenoir-Rhyne           17-10       7     3    +      3.37
   427 H Tampa                  17- 6      11     6    +      3.91
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 72.12 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 44.78 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    28
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    75
 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    37
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    9.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
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