Conf = Commonwealth Region = Metro State = PA Nickname = Falcons Coach = Heather GreerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.1709518 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 222 H Elizabethtown Landmark ( 1-14, 60.4) 18- 1 301 H Gettysburg Centennial (18- 3, 85.8) 6-16 305 H Dickinson Centennial ( 9- 8, 77.9) 11-12 308 A College of New Jersey NJAC (19- 2, 85.6) 14-16 312 A York Capital (15- 5, 81.5) 8-10 318 N McDaniel Centennial (11- 9, 78.1) 14-12 320 N Rowan NJAC (13- 5, 80.2) 15-13 325 H Franklin & Marshall Centennial (17- 6, 84.4) 10-14 329 A Lebanon Valley Commonwealth (16- 4, 78.4) 8-11 402 H Lycoming Commonwealth ( 5-11, 67.5) 17- 5 405 H Albright Commonwealth ( 8- 9, 72.2) 18-10 408 A Widener Commonwealth ( 4-11, 71.4) 16-11 410 H Swarthmore Centennial ( 7- 9, 74.1) 18- 5 415 A Hood Commonwealth ( 5- 8, 59.4) 19- 0 422 H Stevenson Commonwealth (13- 6, 80.8) 14- 8 426 A Alvernia Commonwealth ( 9- 9, 72.2) 19-14 501 H Alvernia Commonwealth ( 9- 9, 72.2) 19- 1 503 H Stevenson Commonwealth (13- 6, 80.8) 12-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 H Elizabethtown 18- 1 17 20 0.00 301 H Gettysburg 6-16 -10 -4 -- -5.33 305 H Dickinson 11-12 -1 3 -- -4.26 308 A College of New Jersey 14-16 -2 -6 ++ 4.44 312 A York 8-10 -2 -2 0.28 318 N McDaniel 14-12 2 2 -0.06 320 N Rowan 15-13 2 0 + 2.01 325 H Franklin & Marshall 10-14 -4 -3 -0.70 329 A Lebanon Valley 8-11 -3 0 - -3.82 402 H Lycoming 17- 5 12 13 0.00 405 H Albright 18-10 8 8 -0.97 408 A Widener 16-11 5 7 - -2.85 410 H Swarthmore 18- 5 13 7 + 2.96 415 A Hood 19- 0 19 19 0.00 422 H Stevenson 14- 8 6 0 ++ 5.67 426 A Alvernia 19-14 5 6 -2.00 501 H Alvernia 19- 1 18 8 1.08 503 H Stevenson 12-13 -1 0 -1.33UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Gettysburg 6-16 -10 -4 -- -5.33 305 H Dickinson 11-12 -1 3 -- -4.26 329 A Lebanon Valley 8-11 -3 0 - -3.82 408 A Widener 16-11 5 7 - -2.85OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 A College of New Jersey 14-16 -2 -6 ++ 4.44 422 H Stevenson 14- 8 6 0 ++ 5.67 320 N Rowan 15-13 2 0 + 2.01 410 H Swarthmore 18- 5 13 7 + 2.96/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 80.17 Local Power Rank........... 25 Local SOS Rating......... 50.81 Local SOS Rank............. 39 Local RPI Rating......... 0.58 Local RPI Rank............. 47 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 137 Local Quality Win Rating.-70.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 68 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 8.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 10.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 10.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 7.3